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Austria crestAustria
v
Kosovo crestKosovo

UEFA Nations League | Sun 27 Sep, 17:00

Austria v Kosovo Stats

Data last updated: Sun 18 Oct 2026, 13:03 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Austria face Kosovo in UEFA Nations League on Sun 27 Sep, 17:00. Austria travel to Pristina with control of Nations League Group 3, but their position at the top should not disguise the difficulty of Sunday’s assignment.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 4/6, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Austria show a 100% BTTS rate and Kosovo show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Austria average 3 goals scored and Kosovo average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Austria show a 100% BTTS rate and Kosovo show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Positive
Austria show a 100% BTTS rate and Kosovo show a.Visible data support
Positive
Austria average 3 goals scored and Kosovo average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Austria show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Kosovo show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The visitors have already shown they possess enough attacking quality to hurt Foda’s side, but the hosts’ ability to score regularly on their own ground raises the prospect of a much tighter.

Main risk

The visitors have already shown they possess enough attacking quality to hurt Foda’s side, but the hosts’ ability to score regularly on their own ground raises the prospect of a much tighter.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Austria show a 100% BTTS rate and Kosovo show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Austria average 3 goals scored and Kosovo average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Austria3
Avg goals scored
Kosovo1
Austria1
Avg goals conceded
Kosovo0
Austria100%
BTTS rate
Kosovo0%
Austria100%
Over 2.5 goals
Kosovo0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Kosovo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Austria to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Austria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Kosovo to WinBetfred guide price · model 19%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Austria

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
24 Sep 2026H Israel3-1

Kosovo

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
24 Sep 2026H Rep. Of Ireland1-0
Best odds for this sectionKosovo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13 pts
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Austria to WinBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Austria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Kosovo to WinBetfred guide price · model 19%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetfred guide price · model 23%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Austria Over 2.5
0%Kosovo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Austria sit at 100% and Kosovo sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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