Football Stats Hub

Atletico San Luis crestAtletico San Luis
v
Atlas crestAtlas

Liga MX | Sat 31 Oct, 01:00

Atletico San Luis v Atlas Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atletico San Luis hosts Atlas in a Liga MX clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and a tendency to create set-piece opportunities. Atletico San Luis ranks 11th with 19 points, while Atlas sits higher in 4th place with 24 points, reflecting a competitive fixture. Both sides average a high number of corners per game, with Atlas particularly strong in this area. Recent matches suggest a dynamic tempo with sustained wing play and frequent deliveries into the box, setting the stage for a corner-heavy encounter under the floodlights.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Atlas averages 8 corners per game, significantly higher than Atletico San Luis's 3.4.
  • Both teams have a combined of 69% for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.
  • Recent form shows both teams engage in wide attacks and sustained pressure leading to set pieces.
  • Player data highlights attackers and midfielders who frequently win fouls and create crossing opportunities.
  • The model indicates a positive of 13.4% at of 1.8, supporting the corners market.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners with a 69% chance, well above the implied market chance of 55.6%, reflecting a clear value opportunity. Both teams demonstrate aggressive wing play and high corner counts, with Atlas averaging 8 corners per match and Atletico San Luis contributing 3.4. Player tendencies to win fouls and deliver crosses further enhance corner potential. The level at 84% underscores the robustness of this angle, making it a compelling bet based on tempo, territory, and set-piece frequency.

Model Chance69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Value Edge69% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+13.4 pts)
Strong positive
Atlas Corner Average8 per game
Strong positive
Atletico San Luis Corner Average3.4 per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a high-tempo match with both teams pushing wide and creating multiple crossing chances, driving up corner counts. Atlas's strong corner average and Atletico San Luis's willingness to contest set pieces suggest the Over 9.5 Corners bet is well supported by both tactical intent and statistical trends.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“This fixture features two teams that rely heavily on wing play and set-piece deliveries, naturally leading to a high number of corners. Atlas's consistent corner production combined with Atletico San Luis's attacking style makes the Over 9.5 Corners a logical and data-backed choice.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Atlas averages 8 corners per game, significantly higher than Atletico San Luis's 3.4.

Both teams have a combined of 69% for over 9.5 corners, indicating strong statistical support.

Recent form shows both teams engage in wide attacks and sustained pressure leading to set pieces.

Player data highlights attackers and midfielders who frequently win fouls and create crossing opportunities.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last ten matches, the average goals stand at 2.6, with both teams maintaining a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals.
  • This trend indicates open games with offensive transitions and set-piece opportunities, which typically lead to elevated corner counts and support the Over 9.5 Corners angle.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atletico San Luis1.6
Avg goals scored
Atlas2.4
Atletico San Luis1.2
Avg goals conceded
Atlas2.2
Atletico San Luis80%
BTTS rate
Atlas80%
Atletico San Luis60%
Over 2.5 goals
Atlas60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and an 80% BTTS rate, reflecting open play and offensive intent. This attacking mindset often correlates with increased corner counts as teams push wide and generate set-piece chances through crosses and defensive clearances.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Atletico San Luis Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Atlas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Atletico San Luis to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Atlas to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+13.4 pts). Atlas lead the corner sample at 7.75 per match, with Atletico San Luis lower at 3.75.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atletico San Luis

WWDLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
24 Oct 2026A Atlante FC1-0
21 Oct 2026H Club Queretaro2-1
18 Oct 2026A Toluca1-1
12 Oct 2026H Santos Laguna1-2
27 Sep 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas3-2

Atlas

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
25 Oct 2026H Puebla4-3
22 Oct 2026H Club America2-5
17 Oct 2026A Necaxa2-0
11 Oct 2026H Guadalajara Chivas1-1
26 Sep 2026A Club Tijuana3-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Atletico San Luis Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Atlas Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Atletico San Luis to WinBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Atlas to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Recent form data shows both teams consistently engage in matches with high corner counts, supported by their aggressive wing play and pressing styles. The combined recent corner averages and attacking output reinforce the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Atletico San Luis Over 2.5
60%Atlas Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten matches, the average goals stand at 2.6, with both teams maintaining a 60% rate of over 2.5 goals. This trend indicates open games with offensive transitions and set-piece opportunities, which typically lead to elevated corner counts and support the Over 9.5 Corners angle.

Loading deeper match data…