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Atletico Paranaensev
FlamengoSerie A | Sun 17 May, 23:30
Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo Stats
BT4Y best bet
Flamengo to Win
- At 2.2, Flamengo to Win is priced at roughly 46% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 70%, so the current line is showing a +24.5-point value edge.
- Atletico Paranaense have a recent record of 2W-1D-2L, while Flamengo come in at 4W-1D-0L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Flamengo to Win angle: Atletico Paranaense have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.6 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Flamengo to Win angle: Flamengo have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.2, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Atletico Paranaense Over 2.5
60%Flamengo Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Atletico Paranaense
LDWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 105W 1D 4L
11 May 2026A Vasco DA Gama0-1
03 May 2026H Gremio0-0
26 Apr 2026H Vitoria3-1
19 Apr 2026A Palmeiras0-1
12 Apr 2026H Chapecoense-sc2-0
Flamengo
WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 107W 2D 1L
10 May 2026A Gremio1-0
03 May 2026H Vasco DA Gama2-2
27 Apr 2026A Atletico-MG4-0
19 Apr 2026H Bahia2-0
12 Apr 2026A Fluminense2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Atletico Paranaense1
Avg goals scoredFlamengo2.2
Atletico Paranaense0.6
Avg goals concededFlamengo0.6
Atletico Paranaense20%
BTTS rateFlamengo40%
Atletico Paranaense20%
Over 2.5 goalsFlamengo60%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 49% vs implied 47% · edge +2.4 pts
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Atletico Paranaense wins
2Draws
6Flamengo wins
30 Sep 2024Flamengo v Atletico Paranaense1-0
16 Jun 2024Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo1-1
14 Sep 2023Flamengo v Atletico Paranaense0-3
13 Jul 2023Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo0-2
06 Jul 2023Flamengo v Atletico Paranaense2-1
07 May 2023Atletico Paranaense v Flamengo2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Atletico Paranaense4.4
Avg corners forFlamengo4
Atletico Paranaense8.4
Avg total cornersFlamengo8.6
Atletico Paranaense2.8
Avg yellow cardsFlamengo2.6
Atletico Paranaense13.2
Avg shotsFlamengo15.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 57% · edge +9 pts
1.75
Bet HERE @ 1.75Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
K. ViverosAtletico Paranaense · Attacker
Goal threat76/100
Shots /901.95
SOT /901.46
PedroFlamengo · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /901.63
SOT /901.14
G. PlataFlamengo · Midfielder
Goal threat71/100
Shots /902.8
SOT /901.98
BruninhoAtletico Paranaense · Midfielder
Goal threat41/100
Shots /902.39
SOT /901.86
João CruzAtletico Paranaense · Midfielder
Goal threat26/100
Shots /902.41
SOT /900.72
E. PulgarFlamengo · Midfielder
Goal threat19/100
Shots /900.31
SOT /900.31
JádsonAtletico Paranaense · Midfielder
Goal threat4/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
B. ZapelliAtletico Paranaense · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /901.3
SOT /900.33
Season team stats
Serie A
Atletico Paranaense15
PlayedFlamengo14
Atletico Paranaense1.3
Avg goals forFlamengo1.9
Atletico Paranaense1.1
Avg goals againstFlamengo0.9
Atletico Paranaense4
Clean sheetsFlamengo6
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 46% · edge +24.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Flamengo | 30 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 15 |
| 5 | Atletico Paranaense | 23 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 4 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
