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Atletico-MG crestAtletico-MG
v
Cienciano crestCienciano

CONMEBOL Sudamericana | Thu 21 May, 23:00

Atletico-MG v Cienciano Stats

BT4Y best bet

Cienciano to Win

  • At 17, Cienciano to Win is priced at roughly 6% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 58%, so the current line is showing a +52.5-point value edge.
  • Atletico-MG have a recent record of 1W-1D-2L, while Cienciano come in at 2W-2D-1L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Cienciano to Win angle: Atletico-MG have taken 1 win from their last 4 matches, averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.5 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Cienciano to Win angle: Cienciano have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 17, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 14% · edge +52.7 pts
7
Bet HERE @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
17
Bet HERE @ 17
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
6
Bet HERE @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

75%Atletico-MG Over 2.5
20%Cienciano Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Atletico-MG

DLWL
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
05 May 2026A Juventud2-2
30 Apr 2026A Cienciano0-1
16 Apr 2026H Juventud2-1
09 Apr 2026A Puerto Cabello1-2

Cienciano

LWWDD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
06 May 2026A Puerto Cabello0-3
30 Apr 2026H Atletico-MG1-0
17 Apr 2026H Puerto Cabello2-0
09 Apr 2026A Juventud1-1
06 Mar 2026H FBC Melgar1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 14% · edge +52.7 pts
7
Bet HERE @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
17
Bet HERE @ 17
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 83%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
6
Bet HERE @ 6
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.01
Bet HERE @ 1.01
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Atletico-MG1.25
Avg goals scored
Cienciano1
Atletico-MG1.5
Avg goals conceded
Cienciano1
Atletico-MG75%
BTTS rate
Cienciano40%
Atletico-MG75%
Over 2.5 goals
Cienciano20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 44% · edge +27.3 pts
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.35
Bet HERE @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.17
Bet HERE @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 23%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 32%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

0Atletico-MG wins
2Draws
1Cienciano wins
30 Apr 2026Cienciano v Atletico-MG1-0
30 May 2025Atletico-MG v Cienciano1-1
02 Apr 2025Cienciano v Atletico-MG0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 6% · edge +52.5 pts
17
Bet HERE @ 17
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 72%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
DrawBetUK guide price · model 25%
6
Bet HERE @ 6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Atletico-MG2.5
Avg corners for
Cienciano5.5
Atletico-MG7.25
Avg total corners
Cienciano7.25
Atletico-MG2
Avg yellow cards
Cienciano1.25
Atletico-MG8.75
Avg shots
Cienciano16.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 50% · edge -5.6 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleM. Cassierra Anytime GoalscorerM. Cassierra · 1 goals · 2.08 SOT/90
71/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
M. Cassierra 1+ Shot On TargetM. Cassierra · 2.08 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
A. Hohberg 2+ ShotsA. Hohberg · 3.53 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
T. Cuello To Assist / Key Pass AngleT. Cuello · 2 assists · 3 key passes/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Victor Hugo To Be FouledVictor Hugo · 3.86 fouls won/90
75/100
Bet HERE
S. Arias Card RiskS. Arias · 1 yellows · 2 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
M. Cassierra
M. CassierraAtletico-MG · Attacker
Goal threat51/100
Shots /902.77
SOT /902.08
A. Hohberg
A. HohbergCienciano · Midfielder
Goal threat49/100
Shots /903.53
SOT /901.25
A. Minda
A. MindaAtletico-MG · Attacker
Goal threat47/100
Shots /901.62
SOT /901.62
Victor Hugo
Victor HugoAtletico-MG · Attacker
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.29
SOT /901.29
C. Garcés
C. GarcésCienciano · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /902.13
SOT /901.06
S. Arias
S. AriasCienciano · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
S. Cavero
S. CaveroCienciano · Defender
Goal threat3/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
T. Cuello
T. CuelloAtletico-MG · Attacker
Goal threat26/100
Shots /901
SOT /901
Season team stats

CONMEBOL Sudamericana

Atletico-MG4
Played
Cienciano5
Atletico-MG1.3
Avg goals for
Cienciano1.2
Atletico-MG1.5
Avg goals against
Cienciano1
Atletico-MG0
Clean sheets
Cienciano2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 14% · edge +52.7 pts
7
Bet HERE @ 7
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
17
Bet HERE @ 17
Home Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.1
Bet HERE @ 1.1
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Cienciano742110
4Atletico-MG44112-1

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.

Football Stats, Match Data & Daily Betting Analysis

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