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Atletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid
v
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

La Liga | Sat 09 May, 17:30

Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.57, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 64% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 76%, so the current line is showing a +12.3-point value edge.
  • Atletico Madrid have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Celta Vigo have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Atletico Madrid have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Celta Vigo have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.57, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Atletico Madrid Over 2.5
80%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Atletico Madrid

WWLLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 4L
02 May 2026A Valencia2-0
25 Apr 2026H Athletic Club3-2
22 Apr 2026A Elche2-3
11 Apr 2026A Sevilla1-2
04 Apr 2026H Barcelona1-2

Celta Vigo

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
03 May 2026H Elche3-1
26 Apr 2026A Villarreal1-2
22 Apr 2026A Barcelona0-1
12 Apr 2026H Oviedo0-3
05 Apr 2026A Valencia3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 67% · edge +0.3 pts
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.25
Bet HERE @ 1.25
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Atletico Madrid1.8
Avg goals scored
Celta Vigo1.4
Atletico Madrid1.8
Avg goals conceded
Celta Vigo1.8
Atletico Madrid80%
BTTS rate
Celta Vigo60%
Atletico Madrid80%
Over 2.5 goals
Celta Vigo80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.2
Bet HERE @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.62
Bet HERE @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

7Atletico Madrid wins
3Draws
0Celta Vigo wins
05 Oct 2025Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid1-1
15 Feb 2025Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo1-1
26 Sep 2024Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid0-1
12 May 2024Atletico Madrid v Celta Vigo1-0
21 Oct 2023Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid0-3
12 Feb 2023Celta Vigo v Atletico Madrid0-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
Away WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Atletico Madrid4
Avg corners for
Celta Vigo3.2
Atletico Madrid10.6
Avg total corners
Celta Vigo7.4
Atletico Madrid3
Avg yellow cards
Celta Vigo2.6
Atletico Madrid10.2
Avg shots
Celta Vigo7.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 46% vs implied 50% · edge -4.5 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleI. Luque Anytime GoalscorerI. Luque · 1 goals · 6.67 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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I. Luque 1+ Shot On TargetI. Luque · 6.67 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
I. Luque 2+ ShotsI. Luque · 10 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Iago Aspas To Assist / Key Pass AngleIago Aspas · 3 assists · 2.69 key passes/90
73/100
Bet HERE
W. Swedberg To Be FouledW. Swedberg · 2.71 fouls won/90
79/100
Bet HERE
Yoel Lago Card RiskYoel Lago · 4 yellows · 2.45 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
I. Luque
I. LuqueAtletico Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9010
SOT /906.67
M. Llorente
M. LlorenteAtletico Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /903.33
SOT /903.33
A. Sørloth
A. SørlothAtletico Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat84/100
Shots /902.49
SOT /901.57
Alejandro Monserrate
Alejandro MonserrateAtletico Madrid · Midfielder
Goal threat45/100
Shots /903.21
SOT /903.21
Yoel Lago
Yoel LagoCelta Vigo · Defender
Goal threat5/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
T. Seidu
T. SeiduAtletico Madrid · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
J. Cardoso
J. CardosoAtletico Madrid · Midfielder
Goal threat8/100
Shots /900.1
SOT /900
Season team stats

La Liga

Atletico Madrid34
Played
Celta Vigo34
Atletico Madrid1.7
Avg goals for
Celta Vigo1.4
Atletico Madrid1.1
Avg goals against
Celta Vigo1.3
Atletico Madrid13
Clean sheets
Celta Vigo8
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetfred guide price · Model 38% vs implied 29% · edge +9.4 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.25
Bet HERE @ 2.25
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
2.05
Bet HERE @ 2.05
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Atletico Madrid6334196921
6Celta Vigo47341211114

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.