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Atletico Madrid crestAtletico Madrid
v
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

La Liga | Sat 25 Apr, 20:00

Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.25, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 31% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 73%, so the current line is showing a +42.5-point value edge.
  • Atletico Madrid have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Athletic Club have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 80% and 40%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Atletico Madrid have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 2 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Athletic Club have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.25, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 31% · edge +42.5 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.55
Bet HERE @ 1.55
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

80%Atletico Madrid Over 2.5
60%Athletic Club Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Atletico Madrid

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 6L
22 Apr 2026A Elche2-3
11 Apr 2026A Sevilla1-2
04 Apr 2026H Barcelona1-2
22 Mar 2026A Real Madrid2-3
14 Mar 2026H Getafe1-0

Athletic Club

WLLWL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
21 Apr 2026H Osasuna1-0
12 Apr 2026H Villarreal1-2
05 Apr 2026A Getafe0-2
22 Mar 2026H Real Betis2-1
14 Mar 2026A Girona0-3
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 29% · edge +22.5 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.55
Bet HERE @ 1.55
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Atletico Madrid1.4
Avg goals scored
Athletic Club0.8
Atletico Madrid2
Avg goals conceded
Athletic Club1.6
Atletico Madrid80%
BTTS rate
Athletic Club40%
Atletico Madrid80%
Over 2.5 goals
Athletic Club60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 31% · edge +42.5 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 77%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
7.5
Bet HERE @ 7.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
11
Bet HERE @ 11
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

5Atletico Madrid wins
0Draws
5Athletic Club wins
06 Dec 2025Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid1-0
01 Mar 2025Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club1-0
31 Aug 2024Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid0-1
27 Apr 2024Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club3-1
29 Feb 2024Athletic Club v Atletico Madrid3-0
07 Feb 2024Atletico Madrid v Athletic Club0-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 31% · edge +42.5 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
5.5
Bet HERE @ 5.5
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 51%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.7
Bet HERE @ 3.7
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Atletico Madrid4.2
Avg corners for
Athletic Club7.6
Atletico Madrid11.2
Avg total corners
Athletic Club11.2
Atletico Madrid3.8
Avg yellow cards
Athletic Club1.8
Atletico Madrid10.8
Avg shots
Athletic Club12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 53% · edge +15.8 pts
1.88
Bet HERE @ 1.88
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleM. Llorente Anytime GoalscorerM. Llorente · 1 goals · 3.75 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERE
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I. Luque 1+ Shot On TargetI. Luque · 6.67 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
I. Luque 2+ ShotsI. Luque · 10 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Álex Baena To Assist / Key Pass AngleÁlex Baena · 3 assists · 2.61 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
M. Llorente To Be FouledM. Llorente · 5.63 fouls won/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Alejandro Rego Card RiskAlejandro Rego · 6 yellows · 2.96 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
M. Llorente
M. LlorenteAtletico Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /905.63
SOT /903.75
I. Luque
I. LuqueAtletico Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9010
SOT /906.67
A. Sørloth
A. SørlothAtletico Madrid · Attacker
Goal threat85/100
Shots /902.55
SOT /901.6
Alejandro Monserrate
Alejandro MonserrateAtletico Madrid · Midfielder
Goal threat45/100
Shots /903.21
SOT /903.21
Urko Izeta
Urko IzetaAthletic Club · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /903.89
SOT /902.22
Alejandro Rego
Alejandro RegoAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /900.37
SOT /900.22
Beñat Prados
Beñat PradosAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901.06
SOT /900
E. Garcia
E. GarciaAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

La Liga

Atletico Madrid36
Played
Athletic Club36
Atletico Madrid1.7
Avg goals for
Athletic Club1.1
Atletico Madrid1.1
Avg goals against
Athletic Club1.5
Atletico Madrid13
Clean sheets
Athletic Club6
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 29% · edge +22.5 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 61%
2.38
Bet HERE @ 2.38
Home Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.55
Bet HERE @ 1.55
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 33%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Atletico Madrid66362061021
9Athletic Club443613518-13

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.