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Atletico Goianiense crestAtletico Goianiense
v
Cuiaba crestCuiaba

Serie B | Sat 14 Nov, 19:30

Atletico Goianiense v Cuiaba Stats

Data last updated: Fri 13 Nov 2026, 01:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atletico Goianiense hosts Cuiaba in a Serie B clash where the home side shows stronger recent form and a higher league standing. Atletico Goianiense has collected 6 points recently with a solid defensive record, while Cuiaba has struggled to gain points and concedes more goals on average. The match shapes as a tactical battle with Atletico Goianiense aiming to leverage home advantage and defensive solidity against a Cuiaba side that relies on individual attacking threats but lacks consistency. This fixture carries importance for Atletico Goianiense to maintain their top-half position and for Cuiaba to climb out of the lower mid-table.

BT4Y best bet

Atletico Goianiense Draw No Bet

  • Atletico Goianiense has earned 6 points recently versus Cuiaba's 0 points.
  • Atletico Goianiense concedes fewer goals per game (1.0) compared to Cuiaba (1.4).
  • Atletico Goianiense averages more corners (11.4) indicating territorial control.
  • Cuiaba's key attackers like Guilherme Mansano show high shot volume but low goal conversion.
  • Atletico Goianiense ranks 8th with 58 points, Cuiaba 13th with 47 points in Serie B.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Atletico Goianiense Draw No Bet with a 78% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and defensive stability. Atletico Goianiense's ability to limit goals against and maintain possession through set pieces and corners supports this . Cuiaba's attacking players generate many shots but lack finishing efficiency, increasing the likelihood Atletico Goianiense avoids defeat. The price offers positive value with a 28% edge, making this a solid pick without major price sensitivity or data limitations.

Recent formAtletico Goianiense 6 points vs Cuiaba 0 points
Strong positive
Defensive recordAtletico Goianiense concedes 1.0 goals per game vs Cuiaba 1.4
Positive
Attacking threatCuiaba's Guilherme Mansano high shots but 0 goals
Neutral
League standingAtletico Goianiense 8th vs Cuiaba 13th
Positive
Price value65% model chance vs 50% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Atletico Goianiense's recent form and defensive discipline make them the safer side to avoid defeat against a less consistent Cuiaba. Their home advantage and ability to control set pieces provide a tactical edge, while Cuiaba's inefficiency in front of goal limits their threat. This bet balances Atletico Goianiense's solidity with the possibility of a draw, offering a prudent choice.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and defensive solidity

“Atletico Goianiense's defensive resilience and home control position them well to avoid defeat here, especially given Cuiaba's struggles to finish chances despite decent shot volumes.”

Key Data Signals

Atletico Goianiense Draw No Bet evidence

Atletico Goianiense has earned 6 points recently versus Cuiaba's 0 points.

Atletico Goianiense concedes fewer goals per game (1.0) compared to Cuiaba (1.4).

Atletico Goianiense averages more corners (11.4) indicating territorial control.

Cuiaba's key attackers like Guilherme Mansano show high shot volume but low goal conversion.

What To Watch In The Data

Atletico Goianiense Draw No Bet notes

  • Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.4, indicating generally low-scoring encounters.
  • This trend suggests a tactical, cautious approach from both sides, with limited goal-scoring opportunities.
  • The low Over 2.5 goals rate aligns with the expected tempo and defensive focus, reinforcing the probability of a tight match with few goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atletico Goianiense1
Avg goals scored
Cuiaba0.4
Atletico Goianiense1
Avg goals conceded
Cuiaba1.4
Atletico Goianiense60%
BTTS rate
Cuiaba40%
Atletico Goianiense20%
Over 2.5 goals
Cuiaba40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Goal trends suggest a modest scoring environment, with Atletico Goianiense averaging 1 goal per game and Cuiaba 0.4. Both teams to score rates are mixed, with Atletico Goianiense at 60% and Cuiaba at 40%, indicating a moderate chance of BTTS. Over 2.5 goals occur less frequently, especially for Atletico Goianiense (20%), suggesting a likely tight game with limited scoring opportunities.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAtletico Goianiense Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Atletico Goianiense to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 65% for Atletico Goianiense Draw No Bet sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Atletico Goianiense have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Cuiaba.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atletico Goianiense

WDLDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
08 Nov 2026A Athletic Club3-2
02 Nov 2026A Fortaleza EC0-0
24 Oct 2026H Novorizontino0-1
16 Oct 2026A Ponte Preta1-1
11 Oct 2026H Sport Recife1-1

Cuiaba

LLLLL
Last 50W 0D 5L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
07 Nov 2026H Juventude1-2
01 Nov 2026H São Bernardo1-2
26 Oct 2026A America Mineiro0-1
20 Oct 2026A Londrina0-1
11 Oct 2026H Avai0-1
Market aligned with main pickAtletico Goianiense Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Atletico Goianiense to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Atletico Goianiense's recent form shows 6 points gained with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1 goal per game, while Cuiaba has failed to secure points and concedes more frequently. This contrast in momentum and defensive stability favors Atletico Goianiense's ability to control the match tempo and limit opponent chances, reinforcing the Draw No Bet selection.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Atletico Goianiense Over 2.5
40%Cuiaba Over 2.5
1.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 1.4, indicating generally low-scoring encounters. This trend suggests a tactical, cautious approach from both sides, with limited goal-scoring opportunities. The low Over 2.5 goals rate aligns with the expected tempo and defensive focus, reinforcing the probability of a tight match with few goals.

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