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Atlante FC crestAtlante FC
v
U.N.A.M. - Pumas crestU.N.A.M. - Pumas

Liga MX | Sat 17 Oct, 04:00

Atlante FC v U.N.A.M. - Pumas Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Atlante FC hosts U.N.A.M. - Pumas in a Liga MX clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Atlante FC ranks 16th with 11 points, while U.N.A.M. - Pumas sit 12th with 13 points, reflecting a mid-table tussle. Recent matches highlight U.N.A.M.'s higher goal involvement and Atlante's willingness to press forward, suggesting an open game with frequent wide play and set-piece opportunities. Both sides have averaged over 5 corners per match, setting the stage for a contest rich in territorial battles and wing play.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Atlante FC averages 5.4 corners per match, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 6.6, combining for over 12 on average.
  • Both teams have aggressive attacking styles leading to frequent wing play and set-piece chances.
  • Recent form shows Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas matches often exceed 9.5 corners.
  • Model estimates a 69% chance of over 9.5 corners, with positive value at 1.73 .
  • Player data indicates high shot volumes and fouls won near the box, increasing corner likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 9.5 Corners at a 69% probability, well above the implied 57.8% chance from , indicating clear value. Both teams generate high corner counts through sustained pressure and wide attacks, with Atlante FC averaging 5.4 and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 6.6 corners per game. Player stats show attackers like Jairón Andrés Charcopa Cabezas and G. Martínez create frequent shooting and fouling opportunities near the box, fueling corner accumulation. The level at 81% reinforces the robustness of this corner market selection.

Model Chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance69% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+11.2 pts)
Strong positive
Atlante FC Avg Corners5.4 per match
Positive
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Avg Corners6.6 per match
Positive
Player Shot/Foul ActivityHigh near box
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with open flanks and frequent attacking transitions, as both Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas push forward aggressively. This style naturally generates numerous corners, supported by their season averages and player tendencies to draw fouls near the box. The corner count should surpass 9.5, reflecting the teams' offensive patterns and territorial battles.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market rationale

“Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas both rely on wide play and high pressing, which typically results in a high volume of corners. Their attacking duels and fouls in dangerous areas make Over 9.5 Corners a compelling market to watch.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Atlante FC averages 5.4 corners per match, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 6.6, combining for over 12 on average.

Both teams have aggressive attacking styles leading to frequent wing play and set-piece chances.

Recent form shows Atlante FC and U.N.A.M. - Pumas matches often exceed 9.5 corners.

Model estimates a 69% chance of over 9.5 corners, with positive value at 1.73 .

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last five matches, both teams have contributed to games with a high tempo and frequent goal attempts, resulting in elevated Over 2.5 Goals rates, especially for U.N.A.M.
  • This attacking tempo correlates with increased corner counts, as sustained pressure and transitions often lead to corners.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Atlante FC1.2
Avg goals scored
U.N.A.M. - Pumas1.8
Atlante FC1.8
Avg goals conceded
U.N.A.M. - Pumas2.2
Atlante FC60%
BTTS rate
U.N.A.M. - Pumas80%
Atlante FC40%
Over 2.5 goals
U.N.A.M. - Pumas80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Both teams have shown attacking intent with U.N.A.M. - Pumas averaging 1.8 goals for and Atlante FC 1.2, alongside BTTS rates of 80% and 60% respectively. This offensive openness suggests frequent attacking sequences that often lead to corners, especially as defenses concede space on the flanks during transitions.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 62% · edge +14.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Atlante FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Atlante FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
The 69% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+11.2 pts). - Pumas lead the corner sample at 6.6 per match, with Atlante FC lower at 5.4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Atlante FC

LWDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 3L
11 Oct 2026A Club Queretaro0-2
26 Sep 2026H Monterrey4-2
19 Sep 2026A Puebla1-1
12 Sep 2026H CF Pachuca0-3
06 Sep 2026A Atlas1-1

U.N.A.M. - Pumas

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
12 Oct 2026H Cruz Azul3-3
27 Sep 2026H Atletico San Luis2-3
20 Sep 2026A Atlas1-1
14 Sep 2026A Guadalajara Chivas0-3
11 Sep 2026H Leon3-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 70%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
U.N.A.M. - Pumas to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Atlante FC Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Atlante FC to WinBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.68
Check odds @ 1.68
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows both teams averaging over 5 corners per match, with U.N.A.M. - Pumas particularly strong at 6.6. Atlante FC’s matches have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate and 60% BTTS, indicating open play that often translates into more corners. This recent trend supports the likelihood of surpassing 9.5 corners in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Atlante FC Over 2.5
80%U.N.A.M. - Pumas Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, both teams have contributed to games with a high tempo and frequent goal attempts, resulting in elevated Over 2.5 Goals rates, especially for U.N.A.M. This attacking tempo correlates with increased corner counts, as sustained pressure and transitions often lead to corners.

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