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Athletic Club crestAthletic Club
v
Valencia crestValencia

La Liga | Sun 10 May, 15:15

Athletic Club v Valencia Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.91, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 52% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 73%, so the current line is showing a +20.9-point value edge.
  • Athletic Club have scored in 80% of the recent sample and Valencia have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 60% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Athletic Club have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Valencia have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 1.91, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

60%Athletic Club Over 2.5
40%Valencia Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Athletic Club

WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
02 May 2026A Alaves4-2
25 Apr 2026A Atletico Madrid2-3
21 Apr 2026H Osasuna1-0
12 Apr 2026H Villarreal1-2
05 Apr 2026A Getafe0-2

Valencia

LWDLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
02 May 2026H Atletico Madrid0-2
25 Apr 2026H Girona2-1
21 Apr 2026A Mallorca1-1
11 Apr 2026A Elche0-1
05 Apr 2026H Celta Vigo2-3
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +14.1 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 81%
1.12
Bet HERE @ 1.12
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.57
Bet HERE @ 1.57
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Athletic Club1.6
Avg goals scored
Valencia1
Athletic Club1.8
Avg goals conceded
Valencia1.6
Athletic Club60%
BTTS rate
Valencia60%
Athletic Club60%
Over 2.5 goals
Valencia40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

6Athletic Club wins
2Draws
2Valencia wins
04 Feb 2026Valencia v Athletic Club1-2
20 Sep 2025Valencia v Athletic Club2-0
18 May 2025Valencia v Athletic Club0-1
28 Aug 2024Athletic Club v Valencia1-0
20 Jan 2024Valencia v Athletic Club1-0
29 Oct 2023Athletic Club v Valencia2-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 52% · edge +20.9 pts
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.91
Bet HERE @ 1.91
DrawBetfred guide price · model 26%
3.8
Bet HERE @ 3.8
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Athletic Club6.8
Avg corners for
Valencia4.8
Athletic Club10.4
Avg total corners
Valencia9.4
Athletic Club1.8
Avg yellow cards
Valencia1.4
Athletic Club10.2
Avg shots
Valencia13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +3.7 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleL. Ramazani Anytime GoalscorerL. Ramazani · 6 goals · 1.41 SOT/90
79/100
Bet HERE
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Urko Izeta 1+ Shot On TargetUrko Izeta · 2.22 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Urko Izeta 2+ ShotsUrko Izeta · 3.89 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Nico Williams To Assist / Key Pass AngleNico Williams · 3 assists · 1.85 key passes/90
70/100
Bet HERE
L. Beltrán To Be FouledL. Beltrán · 2.57 fouls won/90
79/100
Bet HERE
Alejandro Rego Card RiskAlejandro Rego · 5 yellows · 2.9 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
L. Ramazani
L. RamazaniValencia · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /902.43
SOT /901.41
Gorka Guruzeta
Gorka GuruzetaAthletic Club · Attacker
Goal threat67/100
Shots /902.32
SOT /901.2
Nico Williams
Nico WilliamsAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat55/100
Shots /901.8
SOT /900.87
Urko Izeta
Urko IzetaAthletic Club · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /903.89
SOT /902.22
Maroan Sannadi
Maroan SannadiAthletic Club · Attacker
Goal threat42/100
Shots /901.98
SOT /901.32
Alejandro Rego
Alejandro RegoAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat19/100
Shots /900.43
SOT /900.26
Beñat Prados
Beñat PradosAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901.06
SOT /900
E. Garcia
E. GarciaAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

La Liga

Athletic Club34
Played
Valencia34
Athletic Club1.2
Avg goals for
Valencia1.1
Athletic Club1.5
Avg goals against
Valencia1.5
Athletic Club6
Clean sheets
Valencia8
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 50% · edge +14.1 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
5
Bet HERE @ 5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Away Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.8
Bet HERE @ 1.8
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Athletic Club443413516-10
14Valencia393410915-13

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.