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Athletic Club crestAthletic Club
v
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

La Liga | Sun 17 May, 18:00

Athletic Club v Celta Vigo Stats

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 3.5, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 29% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 67%, so the current line is showing a +38.1-point value edge.
  • Athletic Club have scored in 60% of the recent sample and Celta Vigo have scored in 80%, with BTTS rates of 40% and 60%.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Athletic Club have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded.
  • The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Celta Vigo have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.5, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 29% · edge +38.1 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Away Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

40%Athletic Club Over 2.5
60%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Athletic Club

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 7L
13 May 2026A Espanyol0-2
10 May 2026H Valencia0-1
02 May 2026A Alaves4-2
25 Apr 2026A Atletico Madrid2-3
21 Apr 2026H Osasuna1-0

Celta Vigo

LWWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
12 May 2026H Levante2-3
09 May 2026A Atletico Madrid1-0
03 May 2026H Elche3-1
26 Apr 2026A Villarreal1-2
22 Apr 2026A Barcelona0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 44% · edge +8.9 pts
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Athletic Club1.4
Avg goals scored
Celta Vigo1.4
Athletic Club1.6
Avg goals conceded
Celta Vigo1.4
Athletic Club40%
BTTS rate
Celta Vigo60%
Athletic Club40%
Over 2.5 goals
Celta Vigo60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 29% · edge +38.1 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.36
Bet HERE @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
4
Bet HERE @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

5Athletic Club wins
1Draws
4Celta Vigo wins
14 Dec 2025Celta Vigo v Athletic Club2-0
19 Jan 2025Celta Vigo v Athletic Club1-2
22 Sep 2024Athletic Club v Celta Vigo3-1
15 May 2024Celta Vigo v Athletic Club2-1
10 Nov 2023Athletic Club v Celta Vigo4-3
20 May 2023Athletic Club v Celta Vigo2-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 29% · edge +38.1 pts
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Bet HERE @ 3.2
Corners, cards and shots

Detailed stat markets where available.

Athletic Club9.67
Avg corners for
Celta Vigo3.2
Athletic Club15.33
Avg total corners
Celta Vigo8.8
Athletic Club1.67
Avg yellow cards
Celta Vigo2.2
Athletic Club11.33
Avg shots
Celta Vigo7
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15.1 pts
1.67
Bet HERE @ 1.67
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleBorja Iglesias Anytime GoalscorerBorja Iglesias · 14 goals · 1.32 SOT/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Load more player angles
Andrés Antañón 1+ Shot On TargetAndrés Antañón · 2.9 shots on target/90
84/100
Bet HERE
Urko Izeta 2+ ShotsUrko Izeta · 3.89 shots/90
82/100
Bet HERE
Iago Aspas To Assist / Key Pass AngleIago Aspas · 3 assists · 2.55 key passes/90
71/100
Bet HERE
W. Swedberg To Be FouledW. Swedberg · 2.63 fouls won/90
78/100
Bet HERE
Alejandro Rego Card RiskAlejandro Rego · 6 yellows · 2.96 fouls/90
80/100
Bet HERE
Borja Iglesias
Borja IglesiasCelta Vigo · Attacker
Goal threat80/100
Shots /901.93
SOT /901.32
Ferran Jutglà
Ferran JutglàCelta Vigo · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /902.33
SOT /901.48
Gorka Guruzeta
Gorka GuruzetaAthletic Club · Attacker
Goal threat68/100
Shots /902.4
SOT /901.26
Andrés Antañón
Andrés AntañónCelta Vigo · Midfielder
Goal threat41/100
Shots /902.9
SOT /902.9
Urko Izeta
Urko IzetaAthletic Club · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /903.89
SOT /902.22
Alejandro Rego
Alejandro RegoAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat18/100
Shots /900.37
SOT /900.22
Beñat Prados
Beñat PradosAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat6/100
Shots /901.06
SOT /900
E. Garcia
E. GarciaAthletic Club · Midfielder
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

La Liga

Athletic Club36
Played
Celta Vigo36
Athletic Club1.1
Avg goals for
Celta Vigo1.4
Athletic Club1.5
Avg goals against
Celta Vigo1.3
Athletic Club6
Clean sheets
Celta Vigo9
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 44% · edge +8.9 pts
2.3
Bet HERE @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Away WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.4
Bet HERE @ 3.4
Home WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Bet HERE @ 2.15
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.6
Bet HERE @ 1.6
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Celta Vigo50361311124
9Athletic Club443613518-13

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.