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Athletic Club crestAthletic Club
v
Celta Vigo crestCelta Vigo

La Liga | Sun 17 May, 18:00

Athletic Club v Celta Vigo Stats

Data last updated: Sat 13 Jun 2026, 12:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Athletic Club face Celta Vigo in La Liga on Sun 17 May, 18:00. Athletic Club come in with 6 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Celta Vigo have 6 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.8, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Athletic Club show a 40% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Athletic Club average 1.4 goals scored and Celta Vigo average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Athletic Club show a 40% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 56% implied
Positive
Athletic Club show a 40% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo.Visible data support
Positive
Athletic Club average 1.4 goals scored and Celta Vigo average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Athletic Club show a 40% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

Athletic Club show a 40% BTTS rate and Celta Vigo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Athletic Club average 1.4 goals scored and Celta Vigo average 1.4, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Athletic Club7.6
Avg corners for
Celta Vigo3.2
Athletic Club12.4
Avg total corners
Celta Vigo8.8
Athletic Club1.6
Avg yellow cards
Celta Vigo2.2
Athletic Club10.6
Avg shots
Celta Vigo7
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +7.2 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 4.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 56%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Athletic Club1.4
Avg goals scored
Celta Vigo1.4
Athletic Club1.6
Avg goals conceded
Celta Vigo1.4
Athletic Club40%
BTTS rate
Celta Vigo60%
Athletic Club40%
Over 2.5 goals
Celta Vigo60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Celta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Athletic Club Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Athletic Club

LLWLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 0D 7L
13 May 2026A Espanyol0-2
10 May 2026H Valencia0-1
02 May 2026A Alaves4-2
25 Apr 2026A Atletico Madrid2-3
21 Apr 2026H Osasuna1-0

Celta Vigo

LWWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
12 May 2026H Levante2-3
09 May 2026A Atletico Madrid1-0
03 May 2026H Elche3-1
26 Apr 2026A Villarreal1-2
22 Apr 2026A Barcelona0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +12.5 pts
1.69
Check odds @ 1.69
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Celta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Athletic Club Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Athletic Club wins
1Draws
4Celta Vigo wins
14 Dec 2025Celta Vigo v Athletic Club2-0
19 Jan 2025Celta Vigo v Athletic Club1-2
22 Sep 2024Athletic Club v Celta Vigo3-1
15 May 2024Celta Vigo v Athletic Club2-1
10 Nov 2023Athletic Club v Celta Vigo4-3
20 May 2023Athletic Club v Celta Vigo2-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 56% · edge +11.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Celta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

La Liga

Athletic Club38
Played
Celta Vigo38
Athletic Club1.1
Avg goals for
Celta Vigo1.4
Athletic Club1.5
Avg goals against
Celta Vigo1.3
Athletic Club6
Clean sheets
Celta Vigo10
Best odds for this sectionCelta Vigo to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 29% · edge +13.4 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
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Athletic Club Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Celta Vigo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Athletic Club to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Season data supports Celta Vigo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Celta Vigo54381412125
12Athletic Club453813619-15
Athletic Club sit in position 12, while Celta Vigo sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Athletic Club Over 2.5
60%Celta Vigo Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Athletic Club sit at 40% and Celta Vigo sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.6 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

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