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Atalanta
GenoaSerie A | Sat 02 May, 19:45
Atalanta v Genoa Stats
Data last updated: Sun 31 May 2026, 00:47 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Atalanta face Genoa in Serie A on Sat 02 May, 19:45. While Atalanta are strong at home, Genoa have seen both teams score in nineteen league matches this season.
Atalanta Win
- At 1/2, Atalanta Win implies roughly 67%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 55%.
- Atalanta have scored an average of 2.22 goals per game at home against bottom-half teams this season, underlining their attacking threat in fixtures like.
- Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Genoa.
- Atalanta have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Atalanta Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Atalanta sit 7 in the table, while Genoa sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Atalanta Win is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 67% while the model sits nearer 55% (-11.9 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +31.4 pts edge at 3.5.
Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive
Football case vs market price
The 55% for Atalanta Win sits against roughly 67% implied by the current price. Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Genoa. Atalanta have scored an average of that scoring level per game at home against bottom-half teams this season, underlining their attacking threat in fixtures like.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Atalanta Win is the preferred angle because atalanta have scored an average of that scoring level per game at home against bottom-half teams this season, underlining their attacking threat in fixtures like this. Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Genoa. Raffaele Palladino, however, will take comfort from one undeniable trend: his flawless record against Genoa.
Raffaele Palladino, however, will take comfort from one undeniable trend: his flawless record against Genoa.
Key Data Signals
Atalanta Win evidence
Atalanta have scored an average of 2.22 goals per game at home against bottom-half teams this season, underlining.
Atalanta have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 6 for Genoa.
Atalanta have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Atalanta Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Atalanta sit 7 in the table, while Genoa sit 16, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Atalanta Win notes
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Useful next reads
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Atalanta
Genoa
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Atalanta | 59 | 38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 15 |
| 16 | Genoa | 41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -10 |
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Serie A
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
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