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Aston Villa Wv
Arsenal WFA WSL | Sat 09 May, 12:00
Aston Villa W v Arsenal W Stats
BT4Y best bet
Aston Villa W Draw No Bet
- At 5.75, Aston Villa W Draw No Bet is priced at roughly 17% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 45%, so the current line is showing a +27.6-point value edge.
- Aston Villa W have a recent record of 1W-1D-3L, while Arsenal W come in at 4W-1D-0L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the Aston Villa W Draw No Bet angle: Aston Villa W have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 2.8 conceded.
- The result profile supports the Aston Villa W Draw No Bet angle: Arsenal W have taken 4 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 5.75, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 17% · edge +27.6 pts
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%Aston Villa W Over 2.5
60%Arsenal W Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Aston Villa W
LLWDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 102W 1D 7L
04 May 2026H West Ham W0-2
29 Mar 2026A Chelsea W3-4
22 Mar 2026A Leicester City WFC2-1
15 Mar 2026H Manchester City W0-0
15 Feb 2026H Tottenham Hotspur W3-7
Arsenal W
DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 recordLast 108W 2D 0L
06 May 2026A Brighton W1-1
29 Apr 2026H Leicester City WFC7-0
28 Mar 2026H Tottenham Hotspur W5-2
21 Mar 2026H West Ham W5-0
15 Mar 2026A London City Lionesses2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 17% · edge +27.6 pts
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Aston Villa W1.6
Avg goals scoredArsenal W4
Aston Villa W2.8
Avg goals concededArsenal W0.6
Aston Villa W60%
BTTS rateArsenal W40%
Aston Villa W60%
Over 2.5 goalsArsenal W60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.7 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
2Aston Villa W wins
1Draws
7Arsenal W wins
18 Jan 2026Arsenal W v Aston Villa W2-0
27 Sep 2025Arsenal W v Aston Villa W1-1
30 Apr 2025Aston Villa W v Arsenal W5-2
08 Dec 2024Arsenal W v Aston Villa W4-0
24 Mar 2024Aston Villa W v Arsenal W1-3
06 Mar 2024Arsenal W v Aston Villa W4-0
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 55% · edge +8.7 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Aston Villa W6
Avg corners forArsenal W7
Aston Villa W11.33
Avg total cornersArsenal W8.75
Aston Villa W1
Avg yellow cardsArsenal W1.75
Aston Villa W10.67
Avg shotsArsenal W19.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 58% · edge +0.6 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Best player angleS. Blackstenius Anytime GoalscorerS. Blackstenius · 5 goals · 2.7 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERELoad more player angles
S. BlacksteniusArsenal W · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /905.01
SOT /902.7
K. HansonAston Villa W · Attacker
Goal threat96/100
Shots /902.89
SOT /901.72
A. RussoArsenal W · Attacker
Goal threat96/100
Shots /902.95
SOT /902.03
C. KellyArsenal W · Attacker
Goal threat89/100
Shots /903.31
SOT /901.81
V. PelovaArsenal W · Midfielder
Goal threat11/100
Shots /900.26
SOT /900.26
O. DeslandesAston Villa W · Defender
Goal threat13/100
Shots /900.44
SOT /900.15
Season team stats
FA WSL
Aston Villa W20
PlayedArsenal W19
Aston Villa W1.4
Avg goals forArsenal W2.4
Aston Villa W2.2
Avg goals againstArsenal W0.7
Aston Villa W6
Clean sheetsArsenal W9
Best odds for this sectionHome Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 17% · edge +27.6 pts
5.75
Bet HERE @ 5.75Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Arsenal W | 42 | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| 9 | Aston Villa W | 20 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -16 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
