Aston Villa
TottenhamPremier League | Sun 03 May, 19:00
Aston Villa v Tottenham Stats
Data last updated: Sun 14 Jun 2026, 16:31 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Aston Villa face Tottenham in Premier League on Sun 03 May, 19:00. Having already beaten Spurs twice this season and winning the last four head-to-heads, their dominance in this fixture is clear. Aston Villa have turned Villa Park into a fortress with four consecutive home wins.
Aston Villa Win
- At 11/10, Aston Villa Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 56%.
- Villa have won their last four home matches across all competitions, turning Villa Park into a decisive advantage at the business end of the.
- Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Tottenham.
- Tottenham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Aston Villa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
- Aston Villa sit 4 in the table, while Tottenham sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The 56% for Aston Villa Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Tottenham. Villa have won their last four home matches across all competitions, turning Villa Park into a decisive advantage at the business end of the.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
BT4Y analyst view: Aston Villa Win is the preferred angle because villa have won their last four home matches across all competitions, turning Villa Park into a decisive advantage at the business end of the season. Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Tottenham. Tottenham’s improved pressing under Roberto De Zerbi suggests they can find the net, but Villa’s superior quality and psychological edge make a repeat of their favourite scoreline against Spurs highly plausible.
Tottenham’s improved pressing under Roberto De Zerbi suggests they can find the net, but Villa’s superior quality and psychological edge make a repeat of their favourite scoreline against Spurs highly plausible.
Key Data Signals
Aston Villa Win evidence
Villa have won their last four home matches across all competitions, turning Villa Park into a decisive advantage.
Aston Villa have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 5 for Tottenham.
Tottenham have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Aston Villa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
Aston Villa sit 4 in the table, while Tottenham sit 17, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
What To Watch In The Data
Aston Villa Win notes
Market odds
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Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Aston Villa
Tottenham
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Season team stats
Premier League
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aston Villa | 65 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 7 |
| 17 | Tottenham | 41 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | -9 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
