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Arsenal crestArsenal
v
Newcastle crestNewcastle

Premier League | Sat 23 Jan, 15:00

Arsenal v Newcastle Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 17:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arsenal face Newcastle in Premier League on Sat 23 Jan, 15:00. The 2-1 scoreline was the exact result in the reverse fixture and has appeared frequently in Newcastle's recent defeats. Arsenal have seen BTTS land in their last three domestic matches, while Newcastle have scored in 18 consecutive games.

BT4Y best bet

Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score Arsenal come into this match under immense pressure to respond following their defeat to Manchester City

  • At 2/1, Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score Arsenal come into this match under immense pressure to respond following their defeat to Manchester City implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • Newcastle matches average 3.5 goals, while Arsenal have conceded twice in each of their last four games.
  • Arsenal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Arsenal on 12 and Newcastle on 7.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 40% for Arsenal and 80% for Newcastle.
  • Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score Arsenal come into this match under immense pressure to respond following their defeat to Manchester City needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score Arsenal come into this match under immense pressure to respond following their defeat to Manchester City sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price. Arsenal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Arsenal on 12 and Newcastle on 7. Newcastle matches average 3.5 goals, while Arsenal have conceded twice in each of their last four games.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Positive
Arsenal need the result edge to pair with scoring at.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Newcastle matches average 3.5 goals, while Arsenal have conceded.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Arsenal Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because newcastle matches average that scoring level, while Arsenal have conceded twice in each of their last four games. Arsenal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Arsenal on 12 and Newcastle on 7. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score Arsenal come into this match under immense pressure to respond following their defeat to Manchester City evidence

Newcastle matches average 3.5 goals, while Arsenal have conceded twice in each of their last four games.

Arsenal need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Arsenal on 12 and Newcastle on 7.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 40% for Arsenal and 80% for Newcastle.

Arsenal Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1.4 for Arsenal and 1.6 for Newcastle are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

Arsenal to Win & Both Teams to Score Arsenal come into this match under immense pressure to respond following their defeat to Manchester City notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Arsenal1.4
Avg goals scored
Newcastle1.6
Arsenal1
Avg goals conceded
Newcastle2.2
Arsenal40%
BTTS rate
Newcastle80%
Arsenal60%
Over 2.5 goals
Newcastle80%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Arsenal

WLWWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 0D 1L
10 Oct 2026H Leeds2-1
19 Sep 2026A Brighton0-3
12 Sep 2026A Sunderland2-0
06 Sep 2026H Chelsea2-1
31 Aug 2026A Aston Villa1-0

Newcastle

LWLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
12 Oct 2026A Coventry1-4
19 Sep 2026H Hull City2-1
14 Sep 2026A Leeds1-4
05 Sep 2026H Bournemouth2-2
29 Aug 2026A Tottenham2-0

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Arsenal Over 2.5
80%Newcastle Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Arsenal sit at 60% and Newcastle sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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