Football Stats Hub

Arsenal crestArsenal
v
Fulham crestFulham

Premier League | Sat 20 Feb, 15:00

Arsenal v Fulham Stats

Data last updated: Tue 10 Nov 2026, 15:55 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arsenal face Fulham in Premier League on Sat 20 Feb, 15:00. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their control and Fulham's inability to penetrate the league leaders' defensive structure. Fulham have failed to score in three consecutive away matches and face a tight Arsenal defence.

BT4Y best bet

Arsenal Win

  • At 11/10, Arsenal Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded
  • Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Fulham.
  • Arsenal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Arsenal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Arsenal sit 1 in the table, while Fulham sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Arsenal Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Fulham. Defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points.Visible data support
Positive
Arsenal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Authority: Home Goals ConcededArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Arsenal Win is the preferred angle because defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Fulham. There is a risk here.

Main risk

There is a risk here.

Key Data Signals

Arsenal Win evidence

Defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded

Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 15 points from the sample compared with 8 for Fulham.

Arsenal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.2 conceded per match, which helps the Arsenal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Arsenal sit 1 in the table, while Fulham sit 15, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Arsenal Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Arsenal1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Fulham1
    Arsenal0.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Fulham0.8
    Arsenal20%
    BTTS rate
    Fulham60%
    Arsenal20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fulham20%

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Arsenal

    WWWWW
    Last 55W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 109W 0D 1L
    07 Nov 2026H Hull City1-0
    01 Nov 2026A Liverpool1-0
    24 Oct 2026H Everton2-0
    18 Oct 2026A Nottingham Forest1-0
    10 Oct 2026H Leeds2-1

    Fulham

    DDWWL
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 4L
    07 Nov 2026H Newcastle1-1
    31 Oct 2026A Aston Villa1-1
    24 Oct 2026A Coventry1-0
    17 Oct 2026H Hull City1-0
    10 Oct 2026A Ipswich1-2

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

    Check odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Arsenal Over 2.5
    20%Fulham Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Arsenal sit at 20% and Fulham sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…