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Arsenal crestArsenal
v
Fulham crestFulham

Premier League | Sat 20 Feb, 15:00

Arsenal v Fulham Stats

Data last updated: Sun 27 Sep 2026, 08:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arsenal face Fulham in Premier League on Sat 20 Feb, 15:00. A 2-0 scoreline reflects their control and Fulham's inability to penetrate the league leaders' defensive structure. Fulham have failed to score in three consecutive away matches and face a tight Arsenal defence.

BT4Y best bet

Arsenal Win

  • At 11/10, Arsenal Win implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded
  • Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham.
  • Arsenal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Arsenal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Arsenal sit 2 in the table, while Fulham sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Arsenal Win sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham. Defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Arsenal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive Authority: Home Goals ConcededArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Arsenal Win is the preferred angle because defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham. There is a risk here.

Main risk

There is a risk here.

Key Data Signals

Arsenal Win evidence

Defensive Authority: Home Goals Conceded

Arsenal have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 2 for Fulham.

Arsenal have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Arsenal Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Arsenal sit 2 in the table, while Fulham sit 19, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Arsenal Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Arsenal1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Fulham1
    Arsenal0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Fulham1.6
    Arsenal20%
    BTTS rate
    Fulham60%
    Arsenal60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Fulham40%

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Arsenal

    LWWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 0D 1L
    19 Sep 2026A Brighton0-3
    12 Sep 2026A Sunderland2-0
    06 Sep 2026H Chelsea2-1
    31 Aug 2026A Aston Villa1-0
    21 Aug 2026H Coventry3-0

    Fulham

    DDLLL
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 2D 3L
    20 Sep 2026H Manchester United1-1
    12 Sep 2026A Liverpool0-0
    05 Sep 2026H Crystal Palace2-3
    30 Aug 2026A Sunderland0-1
    24 Aug 2026H Chelsea2-3

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Arsenal Over 2.5
    40%Fulham Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Arsenal sit at 60% and Fulham sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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