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Arsenalv
BurnleyPremier League | Mon 18 May, 20:00
Arsenal v Burnley Stats
BT4Y best bet
Both Teams to Score
- At 2.5, Both Teams to Score is priced at roughly 40% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 67%, so the current line is showing a +26.7-point value edge.
- Arsenal have scored in 100% of the recent sample and Burnley have scored in 60%, with BTTS rates of 40% and 60%.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Arsenal have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Both Teams to Score angle: Burnley have taken 0 wins from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 60% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 2.5, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 40% · edge +26.7 pts
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
60%Arsenal Over 2.5
60%Burnley Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Arsenal
WWWLL
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 recordLast 107W 1D 2L
10 May 2026A West Ham1-0
02 May 2026H Fulham3-0
25 Apr 2026H Newcastle1-0
19 Apr 2026A Manchester City1-2
11 Apr 2026H Bournemouth1-2
Burnley
DLLLL
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 recordLast 100W 3D 7L
10 May 2026H Aston Villa2-2
01 May 2026A Leeds1-3
22 Apr 2026H Manchester City0-1
19 Apr 2026A Nottingham Forest1-4
11 Apr 2026H Brighton0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 31% · edge +14.2 pts
3.25
Bet HERE @ 3.25Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Arsenal1.4
Avg goals scoredBurnley0.8
Arsenal0.8
Avg goals concededBurnley2.4
Arsenal40%
BTTS rateBurnley60%
Arsenal60%
Over 2.5 goalsBurnley60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 40% · edge +26.7 pts
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
6Arsenal wins
3Draws
1Burnley wins
01 Nov 2025Burnley v Arsenal0-2
17 Feb 2024Burnley v Arsenal0-5
11 Nov 2023Arsenal v Burnley3-1
23 Jan 2022Arsenal v Burnley0-0
18 Sep 2021Burnley v Arsenal0-1
06 Mar 2021Burnley v Arsenal1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 40% · edge +26.7 pts
2.5
Bet HERE @ 2.5Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Arsenal5.6
Avg corners forBurnley3.4
Arsenal9.4
Avg total cornersBurnley9.4
Arsenal1.8
Avg yellow cardsBurnley1.6
Arsenal13.6
Avg shotsBurnley9.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +12.9 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
Gabriel JesusArsenal · Attacker
Goal threat72/100
Shots /903.12
SOT /902.6
Z. FlemmingBurnley · Midfielder
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.04
SOT /901.1
V. GyökeresArsenal · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /901.62
SOT /900.89
Z. AmdouniBurnley · Attacker
Goal threat64/100
Shots /907.2
SOT /903.6
C. NørgaardArsenal · Midfielder
Goal threat21/100
Shots /901.43
SOT /901.43
M. DowmanArsenal · Midfielder
Goal threat51/100
Shots /904.5
SOT /900.9
H. MejbriBurnley · Midfielder
Goal threat24/100
Shots /900.64
SOT /900.32
A. BarnesBurnley · Attacker
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
Premier League
Arsenal36
PlayedBurnley36
Arsenal1.9
Avg goals forBurnley1
Arsenal0.7
Avg goals againstBurnley2
Arsenal18
Clean sheetsBurnley4
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBet365 guide price · Model 23% vs implied 4% · edge +18.7 pts
23
Bet HERE @ 23Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Arsenal | 79 | 36 | 24 | 7 | 5 | 42 |
| 19 | Burnley | 21 | 36 | 4 | 9 | 23 | -36 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
