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Arbroath crestArbroath
v
ST Mirren crestST Mirren

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 14:00

Arbroath v ST Mirren Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arbroath face ST Mirren in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 27 Jun, 14:00. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Arbroath to Win

  • At 3, Arbroath Win implies roughly 33%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for Arbroath Win sits against roughly 33% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 33% implied
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +9.7 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Arbroath Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

What To Watch In The Data

Arbroath Win notes

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Arbroath wins
    1Draws
    1ST Mirren wins
    12 Jul 2025Arbroath v ST Mirren0-0
    22 Jul 2023ST Mirren v Arbroath4-0
    09 Jul 2022ST Mirren v Arbroath0-1
    Market aligned with main pickArbroath to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 33% · edge +9.7 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Arbroath to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Arbroath

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Arbroath yet.

    ST Mirren

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for ST Mirren yet.

    Market aligned with main pickArbroath to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 33% · edge +9.7 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Arbroath Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Arbroath-
    Avg goals scored
    ST Mirren-
    Arbroath-
    Avg goals conceded
    ST Mirren-
    Arbroath-
    BTTS rate
    ST Mirren-
    Arbroath-
    Over 2.5 goals
    ST Mirren-
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 56% · edge +2.4 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 64%
    1.32
    Check odds @ 1.32
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
    3.45
    Check odds @ 3.45
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickArbroath to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 33% · edge +9.7 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Arbroath Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Arbroath to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Arbroath1
    Played
    ST Mirren1
    Arbroath2
    Avg goals for
    ST Mirren4
    Arbroath4
    Avg goals against
    ST Mirren2
    Arbroath0
    Clean sheets
    ST Mirren0
    Market aligned with main pickArbroath to WinBetfred guide price · Model 43% vs implied 33% · edge +9.7 pts
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Load more odds for this section
    Arbroath Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Season data supports Arbroath to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Arbroath Over 2.5
    -ST Mirren Over 2.5
    1.67H2H avg goals

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre