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Arbroath crestArbroath
v
Dunfermline crestDunfermline

Premiership | Fri 08 May, 19:30

Arbroath v Dunfermline Stats

BT4Y best bet

Dunfermline to Win

  • At 3.3, Dunfermline to Win is priced at roughly 30% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 66%, so the current line is showing a +35.9-point value edge.
  • Arbroath have a recent record of 0W-0D-1L, while Dunfermline come in at 1W-0D-0L across the same last-five lens.
  • The result profile supports the Dunfermline to Win angle: Arbroath have taken 0 wins from their last 1 matches, averaging 0 goals scored and 1 conceded.
  • The result profile supports the Dunfermline to Win angle: Dunfermline have taken 1 win from their last 1 matches, with BTTS landing in 0% of that sample.
  • If the bookmaker is still close to 3.3, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 30% · edge +35.9 pts
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Key match trends

A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.

0%Arbroath Over 2.5
0%Dunfermline Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Recent form

Results and scoring shape from recent games.

Arbroath

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
05 May 2026A Dunfermline0-1

Dunfermline

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
05 May 2026H Arbroath1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 30% · edge +35.9 pts
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Bet HERE @ 1.4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.28
Bet HERE @ 1.28
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Goal-market data and related prices.

Arbroath0
Avg goals scored
Dunfermline1
Arbroath1
Avg goals conceded
Dunfermline0
Arbroath0%
BTTS rate
Dunfermline0%
Arbroath0%
Over 2.5 goals
Dunfermline0%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 68% vs implied 46% · edge +22.5 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
2.08
Bet HERE @ 2.08
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
2.75
Bet HERE @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.22
Bet HERE @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and related markets.

2Arbroath wins
3Draws
5Dunfermline wins
05 May 2026Dunfermline v Arbroath1-0
01 May 2026Dunfermline v Arbroath0-0
21 Feb 2026Arbroath v Dunfermline4-2
06 Dec 2025Dunfermline v Arbroath1-2
13 Sep 2025Arbroath v Dunfermline0-5
30 Mar 2024Arbroath v Dunfermline2-3
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 30% · edge +35.9 pts
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetfred guide price · model 22%
3.5
Bet HERE @ 3.5
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.62
Bet HERE @ 1.62
Player stats

Player props and player-level signals.

Best player angleL. Kenny Card RiskL. Kenny · 1 yellows · 0 fouls/90
68/100
Bet HERE
R. MacLeod
R. MacLeodDunfermline · Attacker
Goal threat35/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
L. Kenny
L. KennyArbroath · Defender
Goal threat0/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats

Premiership

Arbroath0
Played
Dunfermline1
Arbroath-
Avg goals for
Dunfermline1
Arbroath-
Avg goals against
Dunfermline0
Arbroath-
Clean sheets
Dunfermline1
Best odds for this sectionAway WinBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 30% · edge +35.9 pts
3.3
Bet HERE @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
Away Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 74%
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2
Home Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.65
Bet HERE @ 1.65
Home WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.1
Bet HERE @ 2.1
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD

Next step

Betting context

Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.