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Annan Athletic crestAnnan Athletic
v
Dundee crestDundee

League Cup | Tue 14 Jul, 19:45

Annan Athletic v Dundee Stats

Data last updated: Tue 14 Jul 2026, 10:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Annan Athletic face Dundee in League Cup on Tue 14 Jul, 19:45. Dundee defeated Annan 3-1 in their last League Cup meeting in July 2024. Dundee’s competitive form with four wins in six matches marks them out as heavy favourites against hosts Annan Athletic. Annan’s high average of 48.

BT4Y best bet

Dundee in the straight Match market

  • At 10/1, Dundee in the straight Match market implies roughly 9%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 24%.
  • Dundee showed attacking power with four goals against Airdrieonians but conceded twice, demonstrating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Annan Athletic.
  • Dundee have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee in the straight Match market angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 24% for Dundee in the straight Match market sits against roughly 9% implied by the current price. Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Annan Athletic. Dundee showed attacking power with four goals against Airdrieonians but conceded twice, demonstrating defensive vulnerabilities.

Model chance vs price24% model chance against roughly 9% implied
Strong positive
Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points.Visible data support
Positive
Dundee have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Dundee showed attacking power with four goals against Airdrieonians.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Annan Athletic Win is the preferred angle because dundee showed attacking power with four goals against Airdrieonians but conceded twice, demonstrating defensive vulnerabilities. Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Annan Athletic. Definitions of a dangerous attack can vary, but the comparison still indicates that Annan are not incapable of advancing into threatening areas.

Main risk

Definitions of a dangerous attack can vary, but the comparison still indicates that Annan are not incapable of advancing into threatening areas.

Key Data Signals

Dundee in the straight Match market evidence

Dundee showed attacking power with four goals against Airdrieonians but conceded twice, demonstrating defensive vulnerabilities.

Dundee have the stronger recent points return, taking 3 points from the sample compared with 0 for Annan Athletic.

Dundee have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the Annan Athletic Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Dundee in the straight Match market notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Annan Athletic1
    Avg goals scored
    Dundee4
    Annan Athletic4
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundee2
    Annan Athletic100%
    BTTS rate
    Dundee100%
    Annan Athletic100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundee100%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
    1.11
    Check odds @ 1.11
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAnnan Athletic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
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    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Annan Athletic to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Annan Athletic

    L
    Last 50W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 1L
    11 Jul 2026H Ross County1-4

    Dundee

    W
    Last 51W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 0L
    11 Jul 2026H Airdrie United4-2
    Market aligned with main pickAnnan Athletic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 35%
    4.95
    Check odds @ 4.95
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Annan Athletic wins
    0Draws
    1Dundee wins
    23 Jul 2024Dundee v Annan Athletic3-1
    Market aligned with main pickAnnan Athletic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Annan Athletic to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    League Cup

    Annan Athletic4
    Played
    Dundee4
    Annan Athletic0.5
    Avg goals for
    Dundee3.5
    Annan Athletic4
    Avg goals against
    Dundee1
    Annan Athletic0
    Clean sheets
    Dundee2
    Market aligned with main pickAnnan Athletic to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 23% vs implied 8% · edge +15 pts
    13
    Check odds @ 13
    Season data supports Annan Athletic to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Annan Athletic Over 2.5
    100%Dundee Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Annan Athletic sit at 100% and Dundee sit at 100% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.