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Amed crestAmed
v
Konyaspor crestKonyaspor

Süper Lig | Sat 17 Oct, 14:00

Amed v Konyaspor Stats

Data last updated: Fri 16 Oct 2026, 09:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Amed enters this Süper Lig clash in strong form, sitting third in the standings with 14 points and a potent attack averaging 2.8 goals per game. Konyaspor, struggling near the bottom with just 5 points, have been limited offensively, scoring only 0.4 goals per match. Amed's home advantage and attacking efficiency contrast sharply with Konyaspor's defensive solidity but lack of firepower, setting up a contest where Amed's offensive pressure and recent momentum are expected to dominate.

BT4Y best bet

Amed to Win

  • Amed ranks 3rd with 14 points, Konyaspor 16th with 5 points.
  • Amed averages 2.8 goals per game; Konyaspor only 0.4 goals per game.
  • Amed has a 100% Over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches; Konyaspor only 20%.
  • Amed averages 16.4 shots and 6 shots on target per game, well above Konyaspor's 11 shots and 2.6 on target.
  • No previous head-to-head meetings to inform this fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 74% chance for Amed to win, reflecting their superior recent form, attacking output, and league position. Amed's high shot volume and goal-scoring rate, combined with Konyaspor's struggles to score and lower league standing, create a strong football read for a home victory. The 1.8 offer positive value with an 18.4% edge, making this a confident selection without price sensitivity concerns.

Model Win Probability74%
Strong positive
Amed Goals Per Game2.8
Strong positive
Konyaspor Goals Per Game0.4
Negative
Shots on Target (Amed vs Konyaspor)6 vs 2.6
Strong positive
League Position Difference3rd vs 16th
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Amed's attacking control and superior league standing make them the clear favorite to win this match. Their ability to generate high-quality chances contrasts with Konyaspor's offensive struggles, suggesting a home victory is the most likely outcome.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Amed's consistent goal threat and strong home form set the stage for a win, while Konyaspor's lack of scoring punch leaves them vulnerable in this matchup.”

Key Data Signals

Amed to Win evidence

Amed ranks 3rd with 14 points, Konyaspor 16th with 5 points.

Amed averages 2.8 goals per game; Konyaspor only 0.4 goals per game.

Amed has a 100% Over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches; Konyaspor only 20%.

Amed averages 16.4 shots and 6 shots on target per game, well above Konyaspor's 11 shots and 2.6 on target.

What To Watch In The Data

Amed to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, Amed's games have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking style and high shot volume.
  • Konyaspor's matches rarely reach this threshold, suggesting that if goals occur, they will likely come from Amed's offensive efforts.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Amed2.8
Avg goals scored
Konyaspor0.4
Amed1.4
Avg goals conceded
Konyaspor0.6
Amed80%
BTTS rate
Konyaspor20%
Amed100%
Over 2.5 goals
Konyaspor20%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 78% · edge -1.3 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 41%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 44%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Amed's matches have seen a 100% rate of Over 2.5 goals recently, highlighting their offensive potency. Conversely, Konyaspor's low scoring and 20% Over 2.5 rate suggest they are less likely to contribute goals, making this fixture likely to feature goals primarily from Amed.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAmed to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Amed Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The 70.6% for Amed to Win sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Amed have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 5 for Konyaspor.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Amed

DWWDW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 1L
10 Oct 2026A Gençlerbirliği S.K.2-2
20 Sep 2026H Beşiktaş3-2
13 Sep 2026H Başakşehir5-0
06 Sep 2026A Kasımpaşa2-2
31 Aug 2026H Trabzonspor2-1

Konyaspor

DDWLL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 4L
11 Oct 2026H Başakşehir0-0
18 Sep 2026A Kasımpaşa0-0
12 Sep 2026H Trabzonspor1-0
05 Sep 2026A Erzurumspor FK0-1
29 Aug 2026H Kocaelispor1-2
Market aligned with main pickAmed to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Amed Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 86%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Amed's recent form is strong, accumulating 11 points with a high goal output and consistent wins, contrasting with Konyaspor's 5 points and limited scoring. This momentum gap favors Amed's and likelihood to control the match tempo and outcome.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Amed Over 2.5
20%Konyaspor Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Amed's games have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, driven by their attacking style and high shot volume. Konyaspor's matches rarely reach this threshold, suggesting that if goals occur, they will likely come from Amed's offensive efforts.

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