Aldosivi

Gimnasia L.P.

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 02 Aug, 18:30

Aldosivi v Gimnasia L.P. Stats

Data last updated: Sat 01 Aug 2026, 06:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Aldosivi hosting Gimnasia L.P. Aldosivi has struggled offensively, averaging less than a goal per game recently, while Gimnasia L.P. shows more attacking threat and defensive solidity. sits higher in the standings and has collected more points in recent matches, indicating better form and momentum. The away side's tactical discipline and sharper finishing could prove decisive in this contest, with Aldosivi needing to improve their goal threat to challenge effectively.

BT4Y best bet

Gimnasia L.P. to Win

holds a 70% to win, reflecting strong form and squad quality.
Aldosivi averages only 0.8 goals per game recently, while Gimnasia L.P. concedes fewer goals on average (0.8).
ranks 9th in the league, ahead of Aldosivi's 12th place, showing better overall performance.
Key attackers like M. Zalazar provide Gimnasia L.P. with consistent goal threat and shot volume.
Aldosivi's defensive vulnerabilities and lower points tally suggest a challenging home fixture ahead.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Gimnasia L.P. to win due to their superior recent form, higher league standing, and more effective attacking output compared to Aldosivi. concedes fewer goals and maintains a more consistent scoring rate, supported by key players like M. Zalazar who generate significant shot volume and goal threat. Aldosivi's lower scoring and defensive fragility further tilt the probability towards an away victory. No price warning is needed as the reflect a balanced view of these factors.

Recent FormGimnasia L.P. has 9 points vs Aldosivi's 3 in recent matches

Strong positive

Goal ScoringGimnasia L.P. averages 1.0 goals per game, Aldosivi 0.8

Positive

Defensive RecordGimnasia L.P. concedes 0.8 goals per game, Aldosivi 1.4

Strong positive

League PositionGimnasia L.P. 9th vs Aldosivi 12th

Positive

Player ImpactM. Torres and M. Zalazar provide key attacking threat

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

appears tactically more balanced and in better form heading into this match. Their ability to control tempo and create quality chances through key attackers like M. Torres gives them an edge. Aldosivi's recent struggles in attack and defense make it difficult to see them overcoming the visitors' momentum and organization.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and player impact analysis

“Gimnasia L.P.'s combination of defensive discipline and attacking variety, especially through players like Zalazar and Torres, makes them the stronger side in this matchup. Aldosivi's low scoring rate and defensive lapses put them at a disadvantage.”

Key Data Signals

Gimnasia L.P. to Win evidence

Holds a 70% to win, reflecting strong form and squad quality.

Aldosivi averages only 0.8 goals per game recently, while Gimnasia L.P. Concedes fewer goals on average (0.8).

Ranks 9th in the league, ahead of Aldosivi's 12th place, showing better overall performance.

Key attackers like M. Zalazar provide Gimnasia L.P. With consistent goal threat and shot volume.

What To Watch In The Data

Gimnasia L.P. to Win notes

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating moderately open games.
However, both teams' recent low Over 2.5 Goals rates (20%) suggest this match might be tighter and more tactical, with fewer goals than historical averages.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aldosivi0.8

Avg goals scored

Gimnasia L.P.1

Aldosivi1.4

Avg goals conceded

Gimnasia L.P.0.8

Aldosivi80%

BTTS rate

Gimnasia L.P.20%

Aldosivi20%

Over 2.5 goals

Gimnasia L.P.20%

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%

1.62

Check odds @ 1.62

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Recent trends show Aldosivi has a high BTTS rate (80%) but low scoring output, while Gimnasia L.P. has a lower BTTS rate (20%) and more controlled defense. Both teams have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate (20%), suggesting a tighter game with limited goals, likely favoring the side that can capitalize on chances.

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Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles latest football stats main football hub today's predictions best bets research acca fixture filtering

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aldosivi

LDDLD

Last 50W 3D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 5D 5L

29 Jul 2026A Barracas Central0-1

24 Jul 2026A Defensa Y Justicia1-1

03 May 2026H Independ. Rivadavia1-1

26 Apr 2026A River Plate1-3

19 Apr 2026H Racing Club1-1

Gimnasia L.P.

WLLWW

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 106W 0D 4L

29 Jul 2026H River Plate1-0

24 Jul 2026A Racing Club1-2

14 May 2026A River Plate0-2

11 May 2026A Velez Sarsfield1-0

03 May 2026H Argentinos JRS2-0

Market aligned with main pickGimnasia L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Gimnasia L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Gimnasia L.P.'s recent form is stronger, with 9 points compared to Aldosivi's 3 in recent matches. This momentum is underpinned by better defensive records and more consistent goal scoring, giving Gimnasia L.P. a psychological and tactical advantage heading into the fixture.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
6	Gimnasia L.P.	26	16	8	2	6	0
14	Aldosivi	8	16	0	8	8	-13
11	Gimnasia L.P.	3	2	1	0	1	0
13	Aldosivi	1	2	0	1	1	-1

sits 9th in the league, ahead of Aldosivi in 12th, reflecting better overall performance and consistency. While the table gap is modest, it indicates Gimnasia L.P. has been more successful in accumulating points, which may influence and tactical approach.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGimnasia L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

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Gimnasia L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

The market pricing for Gimnasia L.P. to win aligns well with the model's 70% chance, indicating a fair valuation without significant value or warning flags. This reflects in Gimnasia L.P.'s form and squad strength while acknowledging the competitive nature of the fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Aldosivi3.4

Avg corners for

Gimnasia L.P.2.8

Aldosivi8.8

Avg total corners

Gimnasia L.P.12.2

Aldosivi2.2

Avg yellow cards

Gimnasia L.P.3.2

Aldosivi9.2

Avg shots

Gimnasia L.P.10.8

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +14 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Aldosivi averages more corners (3.75) and fewer yellow cards (2) than Gimnasia L.P. (2.8 corners, 3.2 yellows), indicating Aldosivi may press more offensively but with less discipline. Gimnasia L.P.'s higher shots on target (3.8 vs 3.25) suggest better finishing opportunities, supporting their attacking efficiency.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Aldosivi wins

4Draws

6Gimnasia L.P. wins

02 Feb 2026Gimnasia L.P. v Aldosivi3-1

24 Aug 2022Gimnasia L.P. v Aldosivi0-0

25 Sep 2021Aldosivi v Gimnasia L.P.1-3

10 Nov 2019Aldosivi v Gimnasia L.P.0-3

25 Feb 2019Aldosivi v Gimnasia L.P.0-0

18 Apr 2017Gimnasia L.P. v Aldosivi1-0

Market aligned with main pickGimnasia L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 57%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, suggesting competitive encounters. While this supports a balanced contest, recent form and squad quality favor Gimnasia L.P., making the historical data a background factor rather than a decisive influence.

Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Aldosivi18

Played

Gimnasia L.P.20

Aldosivi0.4

Avg goals for

Gimnasia L.P.1.1

Aldosivi1.2

Avg goals against

Gimnasia L.P.1.2

Aldosivi4

Clean sheets

Gimnasia L.P.7

Market aligned with main pickGimnasia L.P. to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

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Gimnasia L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

Season-long stats show Gimnasia L.P. maintains a better balance between scoring and conceding, with a lower goals-against average (0.8) compared to Aldosivi's 1.4. This defensive solidity combined with steady attacking output supports Gimnasia L.P.'s likelihood to secure a win.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Aldosivi Over 2.5

20%Gimnasia L.P. Over 2.5

2.4H2H avg goals

Over the last ten meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4, indicating moderately open games. However, both teams' recent low Over 2.5 Goals rates (20%) suggest this match might be tighter and more tactical, with fewer goals than historical averages.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Aldosivi v Gimnasia L.P. Stats

Match Report

Gimnasia L.P. to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Aldosivi

Gimnasia L.P.

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Aldosivi v Gimnasia L.P. Stats

Match Report

Gimnasia L.P. to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Aldosivi

Gimnasia L.P.

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