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Albacete crestAlbacete
v
Sabadell crestSabadell

Segunda División | Sat 31 Oct, 20:00

Albacete v Sabadell Stats

Data last updated: Fri 30 Oct 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sabadell arrives at this Segunda División clash with a clear advantage in league position and recent form, sitting 10th with 17 points compared to Albacete's 22nd place and 4 points. Sabadell's defensive solidity, conceding just 0.8 goals per game, contrasts sharply with Albacete's leaky backline allowing 2.4 goals on average. Both teams share a similar attacking output, but Sabadell's consistency and tactical discipline under pressure make them the favorites in this fixture. The match carries significant stakes for Albacete to escape the relegation zone, while Sabadell aims to consolidate their mid-table status.

BT4Y best bet

Sabadell to Win

  • Sabadell holds a strong 61.7% to win, with positive value at 2.5 .
  • Albacete concedes 2.4 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities Sabadell can exploit.
  • Sabadell's recent form includes 6 points from last matches, outperforming Albacete's 3 points.
  • Key Sabadell attackers like N. Gioacchini average 1.75 shots on target per 90 minutes, posing a consistent threat.
  • Albacete's lower league standing and goal difference underline the uphill battle they face at home.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sabadell to win due to their superior defensive record and more effective recent form. Sabadell concedes only 0.8 goals per game compared to Albacete's 2.4, indicating a more resilient backline. Despite similar attacking outputs, Sabadell's ability to limit opposition chances combined with key attacking players like N. Gioacchini, who averages 1.75 shots on target per 90 minutes, enhances their winning prospects. The model is high at 86%, reflecting consistent data signals supporting Sabadell's edge in this matchup.

Defensive StrengthSabadell concedes 0.8 goals per game vs. Albacete's 2.4
Strong positive
Recent FormSabadell earned 6 points recently vs. Albacete's 3
Positive
Attacking ThreatN. Gioacchini averages 1.75 shots on target per 90
Positive
League PositionSabadell 10th vs. Albacete 22nd
Positive
Model Confidence86% confidence in Sabadell win
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sabadell's tactical discipline and defensive resilience make them the logical pick to secure victory against a struggling Albacete side. Their superior recent form and league standing provide a solid data foundation for this selection, suggesting they can control the game and capitalize on Albacete's defensive weaknesses.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sabadell's compact defense and clinical attackers like Gioacchini give them a clear edge over Albacete, whose defensive lapses and low point tally make them vulnerable in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Sabadell to Win evidence

Sabadell holds a strong 61.7% to win, with positive value at 2.5 .

Albacete concedes 2.4 goals per game, highlighting defensive vulnerabilities Sabadell can exploit.

Sabadell's recent form includes 6 points from last matches, outperforming Albacete's 3 points.

Key Sabadell attackers like N. Gioacchini average 1.75 shots on target per 90 minutes, posing a consistent threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Sabadell to Win notes

  • In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating generally low-scoring encounters.
  • Sabadell's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) compared to Albacete's 60% suggests a tendency for tighter matches when Sabadell is involved, reinforcing the expectation of a controlled game with limited goal-scoring chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Albacete0.8
Avg goals scored
Sabadell0.8
Albacete2.4
Avg goals conceded
Sabadell0.8
Albacete40%
BTTS rate
Sabadell60%
Albacete60%
Over 2.5 goals
Sabadell20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Goal trends indicate a low-scoring pattern for Sabadell, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, while Albacete's defense leaks more goals. Both teams have modest attacking outputs, with Sabadell's 60% BTTS rate slightly higher than Albacete's 40%, suggesting a moderate chance of both teams scoring but a likely controlled game overall.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSabadell to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Sabadell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The 55% for Sabadell to Win sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Sabadell have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 3 for Albacete.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Albacete

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 8L
25 Oct 2026H Eldense2-0
17 Oct 2026A Sporting Gijon1-2
12 Oct 2026A Valladolid0-5
03 Oct 2026H Eibar1-3
25 Sep 2026A Girona0-2

Sabadell

DLWDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
25 Oct 2026H Tenerife1-1
18 Oct 2026A Burgos0-1
10 Oct 2026A AD Ceuta FC2-1
04 Oct 2026H FC Andorra0-0
26 Sep 2026A Celta de Vigo II1-1
Market aligned with main pickSabadell to WinBetfred guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Sabadell Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Recent form data favors Sabadell, who have accumulated 6 points in their latest matches compared to Albacete's 3. Sabadell's ability to maintain defensive discipline and convert chances has improved, while Albacete struggles to keep clean sheets and has a higher goals conceded rate, reflecting their ongoing defensive challenges.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Albacete Over 2.5
20%Sabadell Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 1.5, indicating generally low-scoring encounters. Sabadell's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%) compared to Albacete's 60% suggests a tendency for tighter matches when Sabadell is involved, reinforcing the expectation of a controlled game with limited goal-scoring chances.

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