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Al Kholood crestAl Kholood
v
Al-Ettifaq crestAl-Ettifaq

Pro League | Sat 24 Oct, 16:05

Al Kholood v Al-Ettifaq Stats

Data last updated: Fri 23 Oct 2026, 08:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Al Kholood and Al-Ettifaq meet in a Pro League clash where both teams have shown contrasting defensive and attacking styles. Al Kholood concedes heavily with an average of 2.6 goals against per game, while Al-Ettifaq is more solid at 1.6. Both sides average a similar 1.2 goals scored per match, indicating balanced offensive output. Al Kholood's aggressive approach and higher over 2.5 goals rate (80%) suggest a game with open play and frequent attacking transitions, setting the stage for numerous corners. Al-Ettifaq's more measured style and defensive discipline may still invite pressure, contributing to corner opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Al Kholood averages 7 corners per game, significantly higher than Al-Ettifaq's 4.
  • The model estimates a 63.3% chance for over 9.5 corners, offering positive value at 2.1 .
  • Recent form shows Al Kholood concedes more, leading to more attacking phases and corners.
  • Both teams have moderate fouling rates, likely resulting in set-piece opportunities and corner kicks.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 9.5 Corners due to Al Kholood's high corner average (7 per game) combined with Al-Ettifaq's 4 corners per match, creating a strong total above 9.5. Al Kholood's defensive vulnerabilities increase attacking pressure from Al-Ettifaq, generating more corners. The positive of 15.7% and at 81% reinforce this pick as a solid statistical and tactical choice. No data limitations affect this match, supporting the reliability of the corner count projection.

Al Kholood avg corners7 per game
Strong positive
Al-Ettifaq avg corners4 per game
Positive
Model chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Value edge62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Confidence81%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with frequent attacking exchanges, especially from Al Kholood, who generate many corners through sustained pressure. Al-Ettifaq's defensive solidity may not prevent corner accumulation given Al Kholood's aggressive wing play and set-piece focus. The statistical corner averages and tactical tendencies strongly support Over 9.5 Corners in this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · corner market analysis

“Al Kholood's high corner rate combined with Al-Ettifaq's willingness to attack on transitions creates a fertile ground for a corner-heavy game. This match is poised for frequent set-piece situations from wide areas, making Over 9.5 Corners a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Al Kholood averages 7 corners per game, significantly higher than Al-Ettifaq's 4.

The model estimates a 63.3% chance for over 9.5 corners, offering positive value at 2.1 .

Recent form shows Al Kholood concedes more, leading to more attacking phases and corners.

Both teams have moderate fouling rates, likely resulting in set-piece opportunities and corner kicks.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating open games.
  • Al Kholood's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) in recent matches supports a fast tempo and attacking style that typically leads to more corners.
  • This trend suggests a match environment conducive to Over 2.5 goals and a high corner count through sustained offensive pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Al Kholood1.2
Avg goals scored
Al-Ettifaq1.2
Al Kholood2.6
Avg goals conceded
Al-Ettifaq1.6
Al Kholood60%
BTTS rate
Al-Ettifaq60%
Al Kholood80%
Over 2.5 goals
Al-Ettifaq40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 64% · edge +6.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams average 1.2 goals per game, but Al Kholood concedes 2.6 goals on average, indicating defensive frailty and open play. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, suggesting attacking intent from both sides. This openness often leads to more corners as teams push forward and defenses are tested.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 58% · edge +12.7 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Al-Ettifaq to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Al-Ettifaq Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Al Kholood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The 62.6% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Al Kholood lead the corner sample at 7 per match, with Al-Ettifaq lower at 4.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Al Kholood

LLLWD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 3L
15 Oct 2026A Al-Faisaly FC2-3
09 Oct 2026H Al-Qadisiyah FC0-5
13 Sep 2026A Al Riyadh0-2
09 Sep 2026H Al Shabab2-1
03 Sep 2026A Al-Fayha2-2

Al-Ettifaq

LWDDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
20 Oct 2026H Al-Ittihad FC1-4
17 Oct 2026A NEOM1-0
10 Oct 2026H Al Khaleej Saihat1-1
11 Sep 2026A Al-Qadisiyah FC3-3
08 Sep 2026H Al-Faisaly FC0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 80% vs implied 67% · edge +13.6 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Al-Ettifaq to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Al-Ettifaq Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Al Kholood Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Al Kholood to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Recent form data shows Al Kholood has an 80% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, reflecting open and attacking games that generate many corners. Al-Ettifaq's 40% over 2.5 rate is lower but balanced by their solid defense, which can invite pressure and corners. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, reinforcing the likelihood of open play and corner opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Al Kholood Over 2.5
40%Al-Ettifaq Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
In the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3, indicating open games. Al Kholood's high over 2.5 goals rate (80%) in recent matches supports a fast tempo and attacking style that typically leads to more corners. This trend suggests a match environment conducive to Over 2.5 goals and a high corner count through sustained offensive pressure.

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