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Accrington ST crestAccrington ST
v
Bradford crestBradford

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 17 Jul, 19:30

Accrington ST v Bradford Stats

Data last updated: Thu 16 Jul 2026, 13:45 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Accrington ST face Bradford in Friendlies Clubs on Fri 17 Jul, 19:30. Accrington ST come in with 1 recent points and 0 goals per match, while Bradford have 6 points and 4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.5, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Bradford are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Accrington ST at 0.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Accrington ST and 100% for Bradford show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Bradford are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Accrington ST at 0.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Strong positive
Bradford are carrying more of the scoring load at 4.Visible data support
Positive
BTTS rates of 0% for Accrington ST and 100%.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Bradford are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Accrington ST at 0. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Bradford are carrying more of the scoring load at 4 goals per match, with Accrington ST at 0.

BTTS rates of 0% for Accrington ST and 100% for Bradford show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Accrington ST0
Avg goals scored
Bradford4
Accrington ST0
Avg goals conceded
Bradford1
Accrington ST0%
BTTS rate
Bradford100%
Accrington ST0%
Over 2.5 goals
Bradford100%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 40% · edge +16.5 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionAccrington ST Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 19% · edge +26 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Accrington ST to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Bradford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Accrington ST Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Accrington ST

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
11 Jul 2026H Blackburn0-0

Bradford

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
11 Jul 2026A FC Halifax Town6-1
04 Jul 2026A United of Manchester2-1
Best odds for this sectionAccrington ST Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 19% · edge +26 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Accrington ST to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Bradford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Accrington ST wins
3Draws
5Bradford wins
29 Mar 2025Accrington ST v Bradford0-0
11 Feb 2025Bradford v Accrington ST1-0
09 Mar 2024Accrington ST v Bradford0-3
25 Nov 2023Bradford v Accrington ST1-0
08 Aug 2023Accrington ST v Bradford1-1
31 Jul 2021Accrington ST v Bradford0-2
Best odds for this sectionAccrington ST to WinBetfred guide price · Model 27% vs implied 15% · edge +11.6 pts
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Load more odds for this section
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetfred guide price · model 18%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 48%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The head-to-head sample gives context for Accrington ST to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Accrington ST2
Played
Bradford3
Accrington ST0.5
Avg goals for
Bradford2.7
Accrington ST0
Avg goals against
Bradford1
Accrington ST2
Clean sheets
Bradford0
Best odds for this sectionAccrington ST Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 45% vs implied 19% · edge +26 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Accrington ST to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Bradford Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.16
Check odds @ 1.16
Bradford to WinBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Season data supports Accrington ST Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Accrington ST Over 2.5
100%Bradford Over 2.5
1.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Accrington ST sit at 0% and Bradford sit at 100% with the H2H average at 1.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.