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AC Horsens crestAC Horsens
v
FC Nordsjaelland crestFC Nordsjaelland

Superliga | Sun 26 Jul, 17:00

AC Horsens v FC Nordsjaelland Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

AC Horsens face FC Nordsjaelland in Superliga on Sun 26 Jul, 17:00. The 1-2 scoreline reflects Nordsjaelland’s superior technical quality and history of high league finishes, balanced by Horsens’ solid defensive stability and home resilience.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Over 2

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 61%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 13/20, Over 2 implies roughly 61%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • The visitors have struggled for rhythm, face a quick turnaround after European action and possess a surprisingly poor record at Horsens’ home ground.
  • AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while FC Nordsjaelland sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 61% while the model sits nearer 43% (-17.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: AC Horsens Draw No Bet shows a +12.2 pts edge at 2.42.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Over 2 sits against roughly 61% implied by the current price. AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while FC Nordsjaelland sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. The visitors have struggled for rhythm, face a quick turnaround after European action and possess a surprisingly poor record at Horsens’ home ground.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 61% implied
Negative
AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while FC Nordsjaelland.Visible data support
Positive
The visitors have struggled for rhythm, face a quick.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: AC Horsens Win is the preferred angle because the visitors have struggled for rhythm, face a quick turnaround after European action and possess a surprisingly poor record at Horsens’ home ground. AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while FC Nordsjaelland sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. That schedule does not automatically mean they will be tired, but it could affect their intensity, selection and decision-making.

Main risk

That schedule does not automatically mean they will be tired, but it could affect their intensity, selection and decision-making.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

The visitors have struggled for rhythm, face a quick turnaround after European action and possess a surprisingly poor.

AC Horsens sit 7 in the table, while FC Nordsjaelland sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickAC Horsens to WinBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    AC Horsens to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    AC Horsens-
    Avg goals scored
    FC Nordsjaelland-
    AC Horsens-
    Avg goals conceded
    FC Nordsjaelland-
    AC Horsens-
    BTTS rate
    FC Nordsjaelland-
    AC Horsens-
    Over 2.5 goals
    FC Nordsjaelland-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.5 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
    2.15
    Check odds @ 2.15
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.2
    Check odds @ 1.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.62
    Check odds @ 2.62
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    AC Horsens

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for AC Horsens yet.

    FC Nordsjaelland

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for FC Nordsjaelland yet.

    Market aligned with main pickAC Horsens to WinBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2AC Horsens wins
    4Draws
    4FC Nordsjaelland wins
    27 Jun 2026FC Nordsjaelland v AC Horsens1-1
    28 Oct 2022FC Nordsjaelland v AC Horsens2-0
    16 Sep 2022AC Horsens v FC Nordsjaelland1-0
    07 Mar 2021FC Nordsjaelland v AC Horsens2-2
    25 Oct 2020AC Horsens v FC Nordsjaelland1-1
    19 Feb 2020FC Nordsjaelland v AC Horsens6-0
    Market aligned with main pickAC Horsens to WinBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 50%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for AC Horsens to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Superliga

    AC Horsens0
    Played
    FC Nordsjaelland0
    AC Horsens0
    Avg goals for
    FC Nordsjaelland0
    AC Horsens0
    Avg goals against
    FC Nordsjaelland0
    AC Horsens0
    Clean sheets
    FC Nordsjaelland0
    Market aligned with main pickAC Horsens to WinBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
    3.75
    Check odds @ 3.75
    Load more odds for this section
    AC Horsens Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2.42
    Check odds @ 2.42
    Season data supports AC Horsens to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7AC Horsens000000
    10FC Nordsjaelland000000
    AC Horsens sit in position 7, while FC Nordsjaelland sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2 assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -AC Horsens Over 2.5
    -FC Nordsjaelland Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The visitors have struggled for rhythm, face a quick turnaround after European action and possess a surprisingly poor record at Horsens’ home ground.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.