Football Stats Hub

Aberdeen crestAberdeen
v
Rangers crestRangers

Premiership | Sun 30 Aug, 12:00

Aberdeen v Rangers Stats

Data last updated: Wed 23 Sep 2026, 17:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aberdeen face Rangers in Premiership on Sun 30 Aug, 12:00. Rangers' shot volume and Aberdeen's Nisbet scoring support a 1-2 outcome in this fixture. Kevin Nisbet's scoring form supports Aberdeen's single goal in this plausible 1-2 outcome, despite the inherent volatility of exact score predictions.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Over 2

  • At 1.67, Over 2 implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Aberdeen and 50% for Rangers, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Aberdeen are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Rangers at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for Aberdeen and 100% for Rangers show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.
Price warning

Over 2 is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 60% while the model sits nearer 54% (-5.8 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Both Teams to Score shows a +12.3 pts edge at 1.57.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 54% for Over 2 sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Aberdeen and 50% for Rangers, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Negative
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Aberdeen and 50%.Visible data support
Positive
Aberdeen are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Over 2.5 Goals. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Aberdeen and 50% for Rangers, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for Aberdeen and 50% for Rangers, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Aberdeen are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Rangers at 1.

BTTS rates of 50% for Aberdeen and 100% for Rangers show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Aberdeen4
Avg corners for
Rangers8.5
Aberdeen9.5
Avg total corners
Rangers12.5
Aberdeen3
Avg yellow cards
Rangers2
Aberdeen10
Avg shots
Rangers23
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 69%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Premiership fixtures and predictionsAberdeen v Rangers predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aberdeen1
Avg goals scored
Rangers1
Aberdeen1.5
Avg goals conceded
Rangers1.5
Aberdeen50%
BTTS rate
Rangers100%
Aberdeen50%
Over 2.5 goals
Rangers50%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 60% · edge -5.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for Aberdeen and 50% for Rangers, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 60% · edge -5.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Aberdeen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Aberdeen to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 Goals is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aberdeen

LW
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
08 Aug 2026A Dundee0-2
01 Aug 2026H Heart Of Midlothian2-1

Rangers

LD
Last 50W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 1L
09 Aug 2026H Hibernian1-2
31 Jul 2026A Dundee Utd1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 52% · edge +3.5 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Aberdeen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Aberdeen to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Rangers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Aberdeen wins
2Draws
7Rangers wins
21 Mar 2026Rangers v Aberdeen4-1
11 Jan 2026Aberdeen v Rangers0-2
06 Jan 2026Rangers v Aberdeen2-0
11 May 2025Rangers v Aberdeen4-0
13 Apr 2025Aberdeen v Rangers2-2
15 Jan 2025Rangers v Aberdeen3-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 60% · edge -5.8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Aberdeen to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Premiership

Aberdeen7
Played
Rangers7
Aberdeen1
Avg goals for
Rangers1.1
Aberdeen1.1
Avg goals against
Rangers0.6
Aberdeen2
Clean sheets
Rangers4
Best odds for this sectionAberdeen Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 39% · edge +6.5 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Aberdeen to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Rangers to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Rangers Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season data supports Aberdeen Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Rangers1675114
7Aberdeen87223-1
Aberdeen sit in position 7, while Rangers sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2 assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Aberdeen Over 2.5
50%Rangers Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aberdeen sit at 50% and Rangers sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Aberdeen v Rangers prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

Premiership hubPremiership fixtures and predictionsAberdeen v Rangers predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre