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Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 12:00

Aarhus v Viborg Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 04:22 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aarhus hosts Viborg in a friendly encounter where Aarhus enters with stronger recent form, having secured 12 points compared to Viborg's 7 in their last matches. Aarhus has demonstrated a potent attack, averaging 3.25 goals per game, while Viborg's offense is more modest at 1.75 goals. The match offers Aarhus a chance to build momentum with their attacking style, while Viborg will seek to contain and counter. The friendly setting allows both sides to test tactics and players, but Aarhus' superior scoring and form suggest they hold the advantage going into this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Aarhus to Win

  • Aarhus has won 12 points recently versus Viborg's 7, showing better form.
  • Aarhus averages 3.25 goals per game, indicating strong attacking potential.
  • Viborg scores fewer goals on average (1.75), suggesting less offensive threat.
  • Aarhus has a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, supporting attacking play.
  • Head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals, indicating open games likely.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Aarhus to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form and attacking output. Aarhus' consistent scoring and ability to maintain offensive pressure in friendlies underpin this . The data shows Aarhus' matches often exceed 2.5 goals, reinforcing their attacking edge. No price warnings apply, making this a straightforward selection based on form and goal-scoring control. Limited data quality is not a concern here, allowing the model to rely on solid recent performance metrics.

Recent form advantageAarhus leads with 12 points vs 7
Strong positive
Goal scoringAarhus averages 3.25 goals per game
Strong positive
Over 2.5 goals rateAarhus at 100% recent matches
Positive
Head-to-head goal average3.3 goals per match
Positive
Data qualitySufficient data for both teams
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Aarhus' superior recent form and high goal-scoring rate make them the logical choice to win this friendly. Their ability to consistently find the net contrasts with Viborg's more modest offensive record, suggesting Aarhus will control the match tempo and create more chances. The data supports backing Aarhus for victory based on current momentum and attacking strength.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendlies often involve rotation and experimental line-ups, which can reduce predictability and allow for unexpected results.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Aarhus' attacking consistency and recent points haul position them well to dominate this friendly, especially given Viborg's lower scoring output. Expect Aarhus to leverage their offensive momentum effectively.”

Key Data Signals

Aarhus to Win evidence

Aarhus has won 12 points recently versus Viborg's 7, showing better form.

Aarhus averages 3.25 goals per game, indicating strong attacking potential.

Viborg scores fewer goals on average (1.75), suggesting less offensive threat.

Aarhus has a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, supporting attacking play.

What To Watch In The Data

Aarhus to Win notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 3.3, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games.
  • Aarhus' recent 100% over 2.5 goals rate further supports the expectation of a high-tempo, goal-rich fixture, making goal markets attractive for consideration.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aarhus3.25
Avg goals scored
Viborg1.75
Aarhus1.25
Avg goals conceded
Viborg1
Aarhus75%
BTTS rate
Viborg50%
Aarhus100%
Over 2.5 goals
Viborg50%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 88% vs implied 89% · edge -1.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Recent data shows Aarhus' matches consistently exceed 2.5 goals, with a 100% rate, while Viborg's matches do so half the time. The head-to-head average of 3.3 goals suggests open games with attacking intent from both sides, favoring a high-scoring encounter and supporting the likelihood of goals in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickAarhus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Aarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
The Aarhus to Win market aligns well with the model's 74% win probability, indicating a strong likelihood of victory. Without visible , the market appears stable and not price-sensitive, reflecting in Aarhus' form and attacking capabilities. This selection is supported by clear statistical advantages rather than speculative pricing.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aarhus

WWWW
Last 54W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 0D 0L
01 Feb 2026H FC Copenhagen4-0
26 Jan 2026A IF Elfsborg2-1
19 Jan 2026H Kryvbas KR4-2
15 Jan 2026A Hobro3-2

Viborg

WWDL
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
30 Jan 2026H Kalmar FF3-1
22 Jan 2026H Piast Gliwice3-0
17 Jan 2026A Vejle1-1
13 Jan 2026A Randers FC0-2
Market aligned with main pickAarhus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
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Aarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Aarhus' recent form is strong, with 12 points and an average of 3.25 goals scored per game, indicating effective attacking and consistent results. Viborg's 7 points and lower scoring average reflect less momentum. This form disparity underpins in Aarhus to control the match and secure a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Aarhus wins
3Draws
1Viborg wins
17 May 2026Aarhus v Viborg6-2
06 Apr 2026Viborg v Aarhus1-2
22 Feb 2026Aarhus v Viborg5-2
14 Sep 2025Viborg v Aarhus1-2
09 Mar 2025Aarhus v Viborg1-1
06 Oct 2024Viborg v Aarhus1-1
Market aligned with main pickAarhus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The ten previous meetings between Aarhus and Viborg have averaged 3.3 goals per game, reflecting open contests with attacking intent. This historical trend supports the expectation of a lively match with multiple scoring opportunities, reinforcing in Aarhus' ability to secure a win in this friendly.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Aarhus5
Played
Viborg5
Aarhus2.8
Avg goals for
Viborg1.6
Aarhus1.2
Avg goals against
Viborg1
Aarhus1
Clean sheets
Viborg1
Market aligned with main pickAarhus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 74% vs implied 63% · edge +11.5 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Aarhus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Seasonal data shows Aarhus as a high-scoring team with a solid defensive record, conceding 1.25 goals on average. Viborg's lower scoring and slightly better defensive numbers suggest a more cautious approach. Aarhus' offensive edge and ability to score multiple goals support the selection for their victory.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Aarhus Over 2.5
50%Viborg Over 2.5
3.3H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 3.3, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games. Aarhus' recent 100% over 2.5 goals rate further supports the expectation of a high-tempo, goal-rich fixture, making goal markets attractive for consideration.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.