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Aalesund crestAalesund
v
Brann crestBrann

Eliteserien | Wed 20 May, 19:00

Aalesund v Brann Stats

Data last updated: Fri 24 Jul 2026, 11:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Aalesund face Brann in Eliteserien on Wed 20 May, 19:00. Brann have scored 21 goals in nine league matches, averaging 2.33 goals per game. Brann carry high attacking variety and are on a three-match winning run.

BT4Y best bet

Wins, but a 2-0 Brann victory or a draw results in a loss

  • At 15/8, Wins, but a 2-0 Brann victory or a draw results in a loss implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Match Result and Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
  • Aalesund show a 60% BTTS rate and Brann show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Aalesund average 1.2 goals scored and Brann average 2.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Wins, but a 2-0 Brann victory or a draw results in a loss sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. Aalesund show a 60% BTTS rate and Brann show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Match Result and Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Strong positive
Aalesund show a 60% BTTS rate and Brann show a.Visible data support
Positive
Aalesund average 1.2 goals scored and Brann average 2.6, so.Visible data support
Positive
Match Result and Both Teams to Score (BTTS)Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because match Result and Both Teams to Score (BTTS) Aalesund show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Brann show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Those figures matter because they reveal not just style, but territory.

Main risk

Those figures matter because they reveal not just style, but territory.

Key Data Signals

Wins, but a 2-0 Brann victory or a draw results in a loss evidence

Match Result and Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aalesund show a 60% BTTS rate and Brann show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Aalesund average 1.2 goals scored and Brann average 2.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Wins, but a 2-0 Brann victory or a draw results in a loss notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Aalesund1.2
Avg goals scored
Brann2.6
Aalesund1.8
Avg goals conceded
Brann1.2
Aalesund60%
BTTS rate
Brann80%
Aalesund60%
Over 2.5 goals
Brann80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Aalesund and 80% for Brann, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

full betting preview for Aalesund v Branncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Brann to WinBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Aalesund Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Aalesund4.2
Avg corners for
Brann5.8
Aalesund12.4
Avg total corners
Brann10
Aalesund2.8
Avg yellow cards
Brann2
Aalesund12.8
Avg shots
Brann12.6

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Aalesund

WLDLD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 4L
16 May 2026A Rosenborg3-2
03 May 2026A Sandefjord0-1
26 Apr 2026H Kristiansund BK1-1
18 Apr 2026A Bodo/Glimt0-3
12 Apr 2026H KFUM Oslo2-2

Brann

WWWDL
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 4L
16 May 2026H KFUM Oslo2-1
02 May 2026H Fredrikstad3-1
29 Apr 2026A Tromso5-0
25 Apr 2026A Rosenborg1-1
18 Apr 2026A Viking2-3
Best odds for this sectionBrann to WinBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
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Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Aalesund Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.89
Check odds @ 1.89
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
4
Check odds @ 4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Aalesund wins
3Draws
6Brann wins
22 Apr 2026Brann v Aalesund2-1
20 Aug 2023Brann v Aalesund5-1
07 Jun 2023Aalesund v Brann3-3
04 Jun 2023Aalesund v Brann1-3
09 Feb 2023Aalesund v Brann0-3
19 Mar 2022Aalesund v Brann0-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Brann to WinBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 19%
4
Check odds @ 4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Aalesund13
Played
Brann14
Aalesund1.4
Avg goals for
Brann2
Aalesund2.2
Avg goals against
Brann1.6
Aalesund0
Clean sheets
Brann1
Best odds for this sectionBrann to WinBetUK guide price · Model 69% vs implied 54% · edge +15 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Brann Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Aalesund Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Aalesund to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Season data supports Brann to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Brann19146176
14Aalesund1213265-10
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Aalesund Over 2.5
80%Brann Over 2.5
4.2H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Aalesund sit at 60% and Brann sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4.2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Aalesund v Brann prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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