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A. Italianov
Vasco DA GamaCONMEBOL Sudamericana | Wed 06 May, 23:00
A. Italiano v Vasco DA Gama Stats
BT4Y best bet
A. Italiano or Vasco DA Gama to Win
- At 1.73, A. Italiano or Vasco DA Gama to Win is priced at roughly 58% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 82%, so the current line is showing a +24.2-point value edge.
- A. Italiano have a recent record of 1W-2D-1L, while Vasco DA Gama come in at 1W-1D-1L across the same last-five lens.
- The result profile supports the A. Italiano or Vasco DA Gama to Win angle: A. Italiano have taken 1 win from their last 4 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.25 conceded.
- The result profile supports the A. Italiano or Vasco DA Gama to Win angle: Vasco DA Gama have taken 1 win from their last 3 matches, with BTTS landing in 33% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.73, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.2 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
25%A. Italiano Over 2.5
67%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
A. Italiano
DWLD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 2D 1L
29 Apr 2026A Barracas Central1-1
15 Apr 2026A Vasco DA Gama2-1
09 Apr 2026H Olimpia0-2
04 Mar 2026A Cobresal1-1
Vasco DA Gama
WLD
Last 51W 1D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 1D 1L
30 Apr 2026H Olimpia3-0
15 Apr 2026H A. Italiano1-2
07 Apr 2026A Barracas Central0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 75% · edge -3.4 pts
1.33
Bet HERE @ 1.33Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
A. Italiano1
Avg goals scoredVasco DA Gama1.33
A. Italiano1.25
Avg goals concededVasco DA Gama0.67
A. Italiano75%
BTTS rateVasco DA Gama33%
A. Italiano25%
Over 2.5 goalsVasco DA Gama67%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.2 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
1A. Italiano wins
0Draws
0Vasco DA Gama wins
15 Apr 2026Vasco DA Gama v A. Italiano1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.2 pts
1.83
Bet HERE @ 1.83Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
A. Italiano5.75
Avg corners forVasco DA Gama4.67
A. Italiano10.5
Avg total cornersVasco DA Gama10
A. Italiano2.25
Avg yellow cardsVasco DA Gama3
A. Italiano13.75
Avg shotsVasco DA Gama13.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 50% · edge +19 pts
2
Bet HERE @ 2Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Best player angleLukas Zuccarello Anytime GoalscorerLukas Zuccarello · 0 goals · 11.25 SOT/90
86/100
Bet HERELoad more player angles
Lukas ZuccarelloVasco DA Gama · Midfielder
Goal threat100/100
Shots /9011.25
SOT /9011.25
F. LoyolaA. Italiano · Midfielder
Goal threat84/100
Shots /902.09
SOT /902.09
C. SpinelliVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /903.67
SOT /901.84
M. SandovalA. Italiano · Midfielder
Goal threat43/100
Shots /903.1
SOT /903.1
J. RojasVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat38/100
Shots /904.62
SOT /901.15
F. TroyanskyA. Italiano · Attacker
Goal threat49/100
Shots /904.04
SOT /901.52
O. RojasA. Italiano · Midfielder
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
A. GómezVasco DA Gama · Attacker
Goal threat2/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
CONMEBOL Sudamericana
A. Italiano4
PlayedVasco DA Gama3
A. Italiano1.3
Avg goals forVasco DA Gama1.3
A. Italiano1.3
Avg goals againstVasco DA Gama0.7
A. Italiano0
Clean sheetsVasco DA Gama2
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 50% · edge +3.1 pts
2.02
Bet HERE @ 2.02Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vasco DA Gama | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| 2 | A. Italiano | 4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
