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1899 Hoffenheimv
Werder BremenBundesliga | Sat 09 May, 14:30
1899 Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen Stats
BT4Y best bet
Over 3.5 Cards
- At 1.73, Over 3.5 Cards is priced at roughly 58% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 72%, so the current line is showing a +14-point value edge.
- The disciplinary read shows average yellow-card figures of 3.2 for 1899 Hoffenheim and 2 for Werder Bremen in detailed recent samples.
- The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: 1899 Hoffenheim have taken 2 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 2 goals scored and 1.8 conceded.
- The card data supports the Over 3.5 Cards angle: Werder Bremen have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 100% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 1.73, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +14 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
100%1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5
80%Werder Bremen Over 2.5
3.6H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
1899 Hoffenheim
DWWDL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 103W 4D 3L
02 May 2026H VfB Stuttgart3-3
25 Apr 2026A Hamburger SV2-1
18 Apr 2026H Borussia Dortmund2-1
10 Apr 2026A FC Augsburg2-2
04 Apr 2026H FSV Mainz 051-2
Werder Bremen
LDWLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 104W 1D 5L
02 May 2026H FC Augsburg1-3
26 Apr 2026A VfB Stuttgart1-1
18 Apr 2026H Hamburger SV3-1
12 Apr 2026A 1. FC Köln1-3
04 Apr 2026H RB Leipzig1-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 88% · edge -1.7 pts
1.14
Bet HERE @ 1.14Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
1899 Hoffenheim2
Avg goals scoredWerder Bremen1.4
1899 Hoffenheim1.8
Avg goals concededWerder Bremen2
1899 Hoffenheim100%
BTTS rateWerder Bremen100%
1899 Hoffenheim100%
Over 2.5 goalsWerder Bremen80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
71899 Hoffenheim wins
1Draws
2Werder Bremen wins
27 Jan 2026Werder Bremen v 1899 Hoffenheim0-2
16 Feb 2025Werder Bremen v 1899 Hoffenheim1-3
29 Sep 20241899 Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen3-4
03 Mar 20241899 Hoffenheim v Werder Bremen2-1
07 Oct 2023Werder Bremen v 1899 Hoffenheim2-3
02 Apr 2023Werder Bremen v 1899 Hoffenheim1-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Bet HERE @ 1.5Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
1899 Hoffenheim5.6
Avg corners forWerder Bremen4.6
1899 Hoffenheim9.4
Avg total cornersWerder Bremen10
1899 Hoffenheim3.2
Avg yellow cardsWerder Bremen2
1899 Hoffenheim15.8
Avg shotsWerder Bremen12.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 58% · edge +14 pts
1.73
Bet HERE @ 1.73Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
A. Kramarić1899 Hoffenheim · Midfielder
Goal threat80/100
Shots /902.04
SOT /901.34
G. Orban1899 Hoffenheim · Attacker
Goal threat71/100
Shots /906.39
SOT /903.2
F. Asllani1899 Hoffenheim · Attacker
Goal threat66/100
Shots /902.21
SOT /901.06
A. Hložek1899 Hoffenheim · Attacker
Goal threat60/100
Shots /904.29
SOT /904.29
M. Damar1899 Hoffenheim · Midfielder
Goal threat47/100
Shots /902.38
SOT /902.38
V. BonifaceWerder Bremen · Attacker
Goal threat45/100
Shots /903.32
SOT /901.66
N. StarkWerder Bremen · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900.37
SOT /900.12
K. Machida1899 Hoffenheim · Defender
Goal threat1/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Season team stats
Bundesliga
1899 Hoffenheim32
PlayedWerder Bremen32
1899 Hoffenheim2
Avg goals forWerder Bremen1.2
1899 Hoffenheim1.5
Avg goals againstWerder Bremen1.8
1899 Hoffenheim6
Clean sheetsWerder Bremen6
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 28% · edge +13.8 pts
3.55
Bet HERE @ 3.55Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 58 | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 16 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | -20 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
