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Can Norwich’s flying confidence at Carrow Road overwhelm West Brom’s stubborn streak in a cup tie that feels personal? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Read Rationale ▾
Norwich arrive with five wins from six, including a 5-0 hammering of West Brom recently. The Baggies are winless in six and struggling for goals, making a home win likely as Clement’s side use brisk combinations to exploit West Brom’s soft spots at Carrow Road.
Read Rationale ▾
West Brom have managed only three goals in five games, while Norwich have been prolific at home. Given the Baggies’ blunt attacking edge and individual errors, a comfortable 2-0 scoreline reflects Norwich’s superior confidence and West Brom’s inability to convert chances lately.
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Carrow Road is the stage at 15:00 for an FA Cup fourth-round scrap with recent history baked in. Norwich and West Brom know each other’s tells — and Norwich’s 5-0 win at The Hawthorns back on 20 January hangs over this one.
Norwich vs West Brom — bet365 Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample bet365 odds based on our match analysis.
Norwich have won 5 of their last 6 across all competitions, while West Brom arrive winless in their last 6 matches.
Norwich have scored 13 in their last 6 games, but West Brom have managed just 3 goals across their last 5 outings.
Norwich’s 5–0 league win over West Brom recently highlights the attacking mismatch between these two sides currently.
Norwich average 1.4 goals per game, significantly higher than West Brom’s average of 1.0 per match this season.
Match Preview
Philippe Clement has Norwich playing with belief: brisk combinations, through balls, and enough bite to steal possession high and turn it into chances. West Brom, under Eric Ramsay, arrive needing a spark. The results haven’t come lately, and the goals have dried up, but a cup tie can flip a season’s mood in one afternoon.
Expect Norwich to push tempo early. Expect West Brom to resist, slow the game, and hunt moments.
Attacking Output: Average Goals per Game
Norwich’s offensive efficiency is significantly higher than West Brom’s current conversion rate.
Norwich have found the net 49 times across 35 matches, maintaining a consistent threat.
The Baggies have managed just one goal per game on average this season.
Offensive Pressure: Average Shots per Match
While West Brom take more shots, Norwich’s lower volume results in higher goal yields.
Norwich focus on quality chances through threaded balls and quick combinations.
West Brom fire plenty of efforts but struggle with finishing quality lately.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Norwich City – injuries/absences
- F. Amankwah (unknown injury)
- M. Topić (cruciate ligament tear)
- A. Crnac (cruciate ligament tear)
West Bromwich Albion – injuries/absences
None listed.
Norwich probable XI (4-2-3-1)
Vladan Kovacevic; Kellen Fisher, Harry Darling, Ruairi McConville, Ben Chrisene; Pelle Mattsson, Kenny McLean; Jovon Makama, Anis Ben Slimane, Oscar Schwartau; Josh Sargent
West Brom probable XI (4-2-3-1)
Josh Griffiths; George Campbell, Nathaniel Phillips, Chris Mepham, Callum Styles; Alex Mowatt, Jayson Molumby; Mikey Johnston, Isaac Price, Samuel Iling-Junior; Aune Heggebø
Tactical Analysis & Lineup Implications
Norwich losing A. Crnac trims forward options, so the burden shifts to Sargent and the runners around him to keep the threat multi-layered. West Brom’s shape looks built for structure, but their big issue is the final touch — they’re very weak at finishing chances, and that can turn “solid” into “stuck”.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Norwich City | West Brom |
|---|---|---|
| Matches (all comps shown) | 35 | 34 |
| Goals scored | 49 | 35 |
| Goals per game | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per game | 1.34 | 1.44 |
| Shots per game | 11.7 | 13.5 |
| Possession | 52% | 51.2% |
| Pass accuracy | 80.4% | 81.8% |
| Clean sheets | 5 | 7 |
| Corners per game | 4.89 | 5.32 |
Norwich bring the sharper output in the attacking numbers — more goals, more regular scoring, and a recent run that screams confidence. West Brom shoot plenty, but the conversion problem looms large, and cup ties punish waste.
Tactical Battle
Norwich: steal it, slip it, hit you fast
Norwich’s best trait is nasty for visitors: stealing the ball from the opposition is a real weapon, and it pairs perfectly with their love of through balls and quick combinations through the middle. That’s not slow possession for the sake of it — it’s possession as a trap.
If West Brom build short, Norwich will press and pounce. If West Brom go direct, Norwich will try to spring the offside trap and reset quickly. Either way, Clement’s side will want the ball in central pockets, then one punchy pass to break lines.
Keep your eyes on the scorers and connectors: Jovon Makama (10 league goals) offers a direct, running threat, Josh Sargent (7 goals, 3 assists) links and finishes, and Anis Ben Slimane has produced in limited minutes with 4 goals and 1 assist, carrying a standout rating of 7.25. Norwich don’t need one route — they’ve got several.
West Brom: cautious base, set-piece bite, and control through the middle
Ramsay’s approach leans controlled and cautious: short passes, attacking through the middle, often operating in their own half before picking the moment to move. West Brom do have real upside in specific moments — attacking set pieces and direct free kicks are strengths, and they can rally after going behind.
The creative hub is obvious: Mikey Johnston has 9 assists, and he’s the one who can turn sterile possession into a chance. Aune Heggebø (8 goals) is the focal point, with Isaac Price (6 goals, 2 assists) arriving from deeper areas.
Key Zones and Mismatches
West Brom are vulnerable where Norwich like to hurt you. They struggle defending through balls, they’re very weak defending long shots, and individual errors can creep in. Norwich, meanwhile, are strong at creating chances through skill and threaded passes — a bad step from a centre-back and it can unravel quickly.
Key Moments to Watch
- First 20 minutes: Norwich have the form and the crowd; if they pin West Brom back early, the tie’s rhythm changes fast.
- Dead balls: West Brom’s best route into the game may be set pieces and direct free kicks — their most reliable “chance creator” in tight spells.
- Johnston’s delivery: If Mikey Johnston finds pockets and feeds runners, West Brom can drag Norwich out of shape and win territory.
- Game state pressure: Norwich have a weakness in protecting the lead, while West Brom are strong at coming back from losing positions — late swings feel very live.
Potential Pitfalls
Norwich’s risk is defensive volatility: they’re weak defending wide attacks, weak at dealing with long shots, and not always clean with individual errors. West Brom’s risk is simpler and harsher — if the chances come and the finishing stays cold, a solid performance can still drift into frustration, and Carrow Road won’t wait patiently.
Data Snapshot
- Confidence Surge: Norwich have won five of their last six across the Championship and FA Cup, scoring 13 and conceding only 4 in that spell.
- Baggies Blunt Edge: West Brom are winless in six (three draws, three defeats), and they’ve managed just three goals across their last five outings.
- Style Clash Coming: Norwich average 52% possession and 11.7 shots per game, while West Brom fire 13.5 shots per game but concede 1.44 goals per match overall.
Betting Market Explainer 📊
Match Result (1X2)
The most straightforward market where you predict the outcome after 90 minutes: Home Win (1), Draw (X), or Away Win (2). It offers a balance between risk and reward but doesn’t cover extra time or penalties.
Other opportunities: Double Chance (Home or Draw) provides more safety but at lower odds.
Correct Score
Predicting the exact final scoreline after 90 minutes. This is a high-volatility market with higher odds, as it requires pinpoint accuracy on both attacking and defensive outputs.
Other opportunities: Multi-scores (e.g., 1-0, 2-0, or 2-1) cover multiple scorelines for a lower price.
🎯 Tip 1: Norwich City to Win
Norwich City enter this FA Cup tie in a position of significant strength compared to their opponents. Having won five of their last six matches across the Championship and the FA Cup, the Canaries are playing with a level of belief and cohesion that West Brom currently lack. Their tactical setup under Philippe Clement focuses on brisk combinations and high-pressing, a style that has seen them score 13 goals while conceding only four in their recent purple patch. At Carrow Road, this momentum is expected to be a deciding factor.
Tactical Indicators:
- Norwich have won 5 of their last 6 matches in all competitions.
- West Brom arrive on a six-game winless streak (3D, 3L).
- The Canaries average a higher possession rate (52%) and better goal yield (1.4 per game).
Risk Factor: Norwich have shown defensive vulnerability against wide attacks and can be prone to individual errors.
🎯 Tip 2: Norwich City 2-0 West Brom
The 2-0 scoreline reflects the diverging form of these two attacking units. West Brom have struggled significantly in front of goal lately, managing just three goals in their last five outings. While they take a high volume of shots (13.5 per match), their finishing has been described as weak. Conversely, Norwich have become masters of the efficient attack, threading balls through central pockets to break lines. Given West Brom’s tendency for defensive errors and Norwich’s recent defensive solidity at home, a clean-sheet victory for the hosts appears the most plausible outcome.
Risk Factor: West Brom are strong at coming back from losing positions, which could threaten a clean-sheet lead late in the game.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Expert at threading passes through central pockets to break defensive lines.
Vulnerable to runners behind the defence and threaded passes in the final third.
Interactive Q&A ⊕
What is a Match Result bet? ⊕
A Match Result bet involves picking the winner of the game after 90 minutes. You can choose a home win, an away win, or a draw. It is the most common way to back a specific team based on their current form and momentum.
Does the Correct Score market include extra time? ⊕
No, standard Correct Score bets only apply to the scoreline at the end of the initial 90 minutes plus injury time. If the FA Cup tie goes to extra time, the result for betting purposes is recorded as the draw scoreline at the final whistle of normal time.
Why is Norwich favoured to win this tie? ⊕
Norwich have won five of their last six games, including a dominant 5-0 win over West Brom recently. Their home advantage at Carrow Road and West Brom’s six-match winless streak make them strong favourites in terms of momentum.
What are West Brom’s main strengths in this game? ⊕
West Brom are strong at attacking set-pieces and direct free-kicks. They also show resilience when falling behind, often rallying to find a way back into matches even when not playing at their best.
What does ‘Double Chance’ mean? ⊕
Double Chance allows you to cover two of the three possible outcomes in a single bet. For example, backing ‘Norwich or Draw’ means your bet wins if Norwich win or the match ends in a stalemate.
Who is the key creative player for West Brom? ⊕
Mikey Johnston is the primary creative spark for the Baggies, having recorded 9 assists this season. He is the player most likely to turn possession into clear-cut chances for forward Aune Heggebø.
What happens if the game ends in a draw? ⊕
In terms of the ‘Match Result’ market, the ‘Draw’ selection would be the winner. In the context of the FA Cup, the match would proceed to extra time and potentially penalties to decide who qualifies for the next round.
What is ‘Anytime Goalscorer’ betting? ⊕
This market allows you to bet on a specific player, like Josh Sargent or Aune Heggebø, to score at any point during the 90 minutes. It doesn’t matter when they score or what the final result is, as long as they hit the net.
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