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Can West Brom turn The Hawthorns into a reset button against a Norwich side living on the edge? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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Both sides struggle defensively, conceding a combined 78 league goals this term. With BTTS landing in 18 of WBA’s last 29 and 21 of Norwich’s last 30 matches, neither side has the defensive control required to secure a clean sheet.
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Albion’s superior shot volume of 13.9 per game and Mikey Johnston’s creative threat give them the edge to outscore a Norwich side that is notably weak at defending wings and aerial duels at set pieces.
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West Bromwich Albion vs Norwich City Predictions and Best Bets
West Brom vs Norwich — BetMGM Market Snapshot
Key metrics and sample BetMGM pricing for the upcoming Championship clash at The Hawthorns.
West Brom have won only once in their last six league games, while Norwich have recorded four wins in their last six.
West Brom (38 conceded) and Norwich (40 conceded) have both struggled for clean sheets across 27 league games.
West Brom have scored in 18/29 matches, while Norwich have scored in 21/30 across all competitions.
- Late-Game Fragility: West Brom just conceded a 90th-minute winner last time out, and they’ve now won only once in their last six league games — pressure rises fast when the finish line keeps moving.
- Goals on Both Sides: Across all competitions, both teams have scored in 18 of West Brom’s last 29 matches and 21 of Norwich’s last 30 — this fixture screams momentum swings rather than control.
- Norwich’s Fast-Start Platform: Norwich have gone 12 straight matches in all competitions without trailing at half-time, giving them a base to grow into games even when results have been patchy away from home.
Defensive Pressure: Goals Conceded After 27 Games
Both squads have struggled for defensive consistency, frequently breached as they fight for stability in the Championship’s lower reaches.
Conceding a 90th-minute winner in their last outing highlights a fragile backline that often falters in high-pressure moments.
Statistically weak in aerial duels and wing defending, leaving them exposed to West Brom’s set-piece and crossing threats.
Match Control: Passing Efficiency
Both sides look to build through the middle with short combinations, placing a high premium on retaining possession.
With Mikey Johnston providing 9 assists, Albion rely on precision to unlock deep-sitting defensive lines.
Their style favors riskier vertical through-balls to exploit central lapses, often prioritizing threat over safety.
The Hawthorns doesn’t need any extra noise — this one brings its own. West Bromwich Albion welcome Norwich City on Tuesday night with both clubs stuck in the churn of the lower reaches, desperate for rhythm and a touch of calm. Albion sit 19th, Norwich are 22nd, and the table pressure is no longer a whisper.
West Brom arrive raw from that gut-punch finish against Middlesbrough, conceding a 90th-minute winner after fighting back from 2-0 down. Now it’s Eric Ramsay in the dugout, taking charge for just the second time in English football and hunting an instant response. Norwich, led by Philippe Clement, come in with a sharper recent edge — four wins in their last six — and a clear mission: get out of the relegation-zone shadow.
Team News & Lineups
West Bromwich Albion absences
- T. Bany (torn thigh muscle) — out until 28/04/2026
- D. Dike (thigh problems) — return date not listed
- J. Molumby — red card suspension
Norwich City absences
- No injuries or suspensions listed.
Probable West Brom XI
Griffiths; Campbell, Phillips, Mepham, Taylor; Styles, Bielik; Grant, Price, Johnston; Heggebo
Probable Norwich XI
Grimshaw; Springett, Medic, Chrisene, Mahovo; Marcondes, Ben Slimane, Schwartau, Jurasek, Kvistgaarden; Makama
Lineup implications (quick read)
- West Brom losing J. Molumby removes a natural edge in midfield duels — and with Albion already vulnerable late in games, control in the middle becomes non-negotiable.
- Norwich’s front line has punch on paper: Jovon Makama (10 Championship goals) with support and runners around him, and that can stress a West Brom side that’s conceded 38 in 27 league matches.
The Tale of the Tape
| Metric (League) | West Brom | Norwich |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 19th | 22nd |
| Points | 31 | 27 |
| Matches played | 27 | 27 |
| Goals scored | 31 | 30 |
| Goals conceded | 38 | 40 |
| Shots per game | 13.9 | 12.0 |
| Possession | 51.7% | 52.1% |
| Pass accuracy | 82.2% | 80.3% |
| Clean sheets (all comps listed) | 5 | 2 |
| Corners per game (all comps listed) | 5.41 | 5.03 |
What it suggests about game flow
This looks like a contest between two teams who both want the ball, both play short passes, and both try to hurt you through the middle. West Brom fire slightly more often, Norwich hold slightly more possession — but the big story is at the back: 38 conceded vs 40 conceded. It doesn’t take much for either side to wobble.
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Tactical Battle: How the Match Plays Out
Middle-first football… and a fight for the same space
Both sides want to play in similar lanes. West Brom build with short passes and look to attack through the middle, and Norwich mirror that with central combinations and a tendency to attempt through balls often. That usually creates one thing: congestion.
So the match may come down to who can escape the traffic first. West Brom’s attacking structure points toward Mikey Johnston as a key connector — he’s Albion’s standout creator with 9 assists in the league. If Norwich allow him time to turn, Albion’s shot volume (13.9 per game) starts to feel dangerous quickly.
West Brom’s big risk: leads, lapses, and the late minutes
Albion’s profile has some glaring red flags: they’re weak at protecting the lead, very weak at avoiding individual errors, and they’ve just lived the worst version of that story by conceding in the 90th minute against Middlesbrough. That matters because their strengths — attacking set pieces, creating chances, and coming back from losing positions — are the exact traits that can tempt a team into chaos.
If West Brom push for a statement under Ramsay, they must do it with their eyes open. Norwich are strong at creating chances through balls and stealing the ball from the opposition. A couple of sloppy central passes and suddenly West Brom are sprinting back towards their own box.
Norwich’s problem: wing defending that can get ugly
Norwich carry their own warning label: very weak defending against attacks down the wings, plus issues avoiding individual errors and protecting the lead. That’s where West Brom can lean into directness without ditching their identity.
Even if Albion prefer the middle, the easiest route to goals might be dragging Norwich out wide and forcing decisions. With Karlan Grant and Mikey Johnston in the supporting line behind Aune Heggebø, there’s a clear instruction: stretch them, make them defend facing their own goal, and win second balls around the box.
The striker headlines: who blinks first?
Norwich arrive with two league scorers that shape how West Brom must defend: Jovon Makama (10) and Josh Sargent (7). Albion can answer with Aune Heggebø (8) and Isaac Price (6), the latter offering real goal threat from midfield areas.
The match could swing on whether West Brom’s centre-backs — Nathaniel Phillips and Chris Mepham — can keep Norwich’s runners in front of them. Norwich’s through-ball tendencies don’t need a lot of possession to hurt you. They just need one clean angle.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces vs set-piece resistance: West Brom are strong at attacking set pieces, and Norwich are weak in aerial duels. That’s a classic stress point, especially if the game tightens.
- Half-time state: Norwich have gone 12 straight matches without losing the first half. If West Brom start slowly, the crowd tension could rise quickly.
- The final 15 minutes: West Brom’s recent pain is obvious, and both teams have issues protecting the lead. If it’s close late on, expect nerves and loose moments rather than calm game management.
What could go wrong? (volatility check)
West Brom’s urge to make a statement at home can turn into over-commitment — and Norwich are built to punish central mistakes with through balls and quick steals. Flip it the other way and Norwich’s wide defending can unravel if they get pinned back, especially if Albion turn pressure into corners and second balls. This one has the feel of a match where whoever scores first still isn’t safe.
Best Bet for West Brom vs Norwich
Can West Brom turn The Hawthorns into a reset button against a Norwich side living on the edge?
The Punter’s Cheat Sheet
| Factor | The Numbers | Betting Signal |
| Defensive Record | WBA concede 38; NOR concede 40 | Back BTTS |
| BTTS History | WBA 18/29 games; NOR 21/30 games | Back BTTS |
| Half-Time Trend | NOR 12 games unbeaten in 1st half | Lay WBA 1st Half |
| Clean Sheets | WBA 5; NOR 2 (Total Listed) | Back Over 1.5 |
Both Teams to Score
The fundamental profile of both West Brom and Norwich highlights a chronic inability to maintain defensive discipline. Combined, these two sides have conceded 78 goals in Championship action this season. This defensive instability means that even when a team manages to find a rhythm, they are highly prone to immediate setbacks through individual errors or late-game lapses.
West Brom’s defensive fragile nature was exposed in their most recent fixture against Middlesbrough, where they conceded a winner in the 90th minute. This trend of conceding late, coupled with the absence of Jayson Molumby’s midfield grit due to suspension, leaves Albion exposed to Norwich’s preferred method of attack: central through balls. Norwich possess high-quality strikers in Jovon Makama and Josh Sargent, who have combined for 17 league goals, making them perfectly suited to punish West Brom’s tendency for central lapses.
On the other side, Norwich are statistically very weak at defending attacks down the wings and competing in aerial duels. West Brom are built to exploit these specific vulnerabilities. Albion are strong at attacking set pieces and possess a top-tier creator in Mikey Johnston, who has recorded 9 league assists. By dragging Norwich out wide and utilizing their shot volume of 13.9 per game, West Brom will create high-quality chances.
Historical performance also validates this market. Both teams have seen goals at both ends in 18 of West Brom’s last 29 and 21 of Norwich’s last 30 matches across all competitions. This suggests a consistent pattern where match momentum swings rapidly rather than either side exerting prolonged defensive control.
What could go wrong? A cautious start from both managers, fearing the consequences of defeat in the lower reaches of the table, could lead to a congested midfield battle. If West Brom’s Eric Ramsay prioritizes defensive shape above all else, or if Norwich’s Philippe Clement decides to sit deep to preserve their 12-match “no trailing at half-time” streak, the game could become a low-event tactical stalemate.
Correct Score Lean
West Brom 2-1 Norwich
West Brom’s attacking metrics provide them with a slight advantage despite their low league position. They average nearly 14 shots per game and possess significant creative depth through Mikey Johnston. Norwich’s inability to defend aerial duels and wing play aligns perfectly with Albion’s set-piece strength. While Norwich’s proficiency with through balls ensures they will likely find the net against a West Brom defense that has conceded 38 times, the home side’s superior volume and Norwich’s defensive vulnerabilities out wide should allow Albion to secure a narrow victory at The Hawthorns.
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