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Can Leicester find the control they need at Hillsborough, or will Sheffield Wednesday lift the mood at home? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale ▾
Leicester City possess a significantly superior attacking record, scoring 53 goals compared to Wednesday’s 24. With Gary Rowett’s men desperate for survival points and the hosts already relegated and winless since September, the visitors’ technical quality and motivation should prove decisive in controlling possession and securing an away victory.
Read Rationale ▾
Sheffield Wednesday struggle for goals, averaging only 0.6 per game. Conversely, Leicester average over 1.3 goals per match and dominate possession. Given Wednesday’s vulnerability to wide attacks and Leicester’s need for a controlled performance, a multi-goal margin for the visitors without a home response aligns with both sides’ seasonal form.
Sheffield Wednesday host Leicester at Hillsborough in a tense Championship clash with survival pressure, fragile form and clear tactical fault lines.
Sheffield Wednesday vs Leicester City — Market Snapshot
Key markets and illustrative probabilities based on current Championship form and team statistics.
Leicester’s 53 goals compared to Wednesday’s 24 highlights a significant gap in quality that makes an away win highly probable.
Wednesday’s low scoring volume of 24 goals in 40 games suggests a controlled game with under 2.5 goals potential.
Leicester’s superior 51.2% possession and passing accuracy point toward a 2-0 scoreline given the hosts’ poor shot conversion.
Leicester’s 81.7% pass success rate is significantly higher than Wednesday’s 74.6%, allowing them to dictate the game’s flow.
- Leicester carry the cleaner attacking record: Leicester have scored 53 goals in 40 Championship matches to Sheffield Wednesday’s 24, and that gap tells the story of a side with more craft, more thrust and more ways to hurt teams.
- Wednesday’s margin for error is tiny: Sheffield Wednesday have managed just 8.7 shots per game and only 24 league goals, while failing to win since September, which leaves every missed chance feeling heavy.
- Possession points towards Leicester pressure: Leicester average 51.2% possession and an 81.7% pass success rate, while Sheffield Wednesday sit at 45.4% possession and 74.6% passing accuracy, shaping this as a game the visitors should control for long spells.
Attacking Volume: Total Goals Scored
A comparison of clinical finishing across 40 Championship fixtures shows a stark contrast in offensive threat.
With over 12 shots per game, the visitors generate significantly more scoring opportunities.
The hosts have struggled to find the net consistently, averaging just 0.6 goals per game.
Technical Quality: Pass Success Rate
Success in possession often dictates which side controls the tempo and territorial battle.
A high completion rate allows for sustained pressure in the opposition half.
A lower percentage reflects a more direct approach and less stability in central areas.
Match Preview
This fixture arrives with pressure all over it. Sheffield Wednesday are rooted to the foot of the table on -6 points, their relegation already confirmed, and they return to Hillsborough trying to give the home crowd something to hold onto in a grim campaign.
Leicester’s urgency is different, but it is still fierce. Gary Rowett’s side begin the day in 22nd, one point adrift of safety, and Friday’s 2-2 draw with Preston means the margin for slip-ups is shrinking fast.
So there is tension on both sides at 15:00. Wednesday are playing for pride, a response and some lift around the place. Leicester are chasing survival points and cannot afford a flat afternoon against a side with nothing to lose.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Sheffield Wednesday
Probable XI: Charles; Palmer, Iorfa, M Lowe; Fusire, Thornton, Ingelsson, Heskey, Adaramola; McNeill, Yates
Wednesday are expected to keep faith with a shape that leans on wing-backs and direct play.
Dominic Iorfa brings presence in the back line, while Barry Bannan remains the leading creative figure in the wider squad with 3 goals and 3 assists, even if he is not in the projected XI.
Charlie McNeill and Jerry Yates look set to carry the scoring burden in attack.
Leicester City
Probable XI: Stolarczyk; Pereira, Okoli, Nelson, Thomas; Winks, Skipp; Fatawu, Mukasa, Mavididi; Daka
Leicester’s front four has more natural incision and variety.
Abdul Fatawu is the standout threat with 9 goals and 7 assists, while Divine Mukasa has already produced 2 goals and 3 assists in limited Championship minutes.
Harry Winks and Oliver Skipp should give the visitors control in the middle, with Patson Daka leading the line.
Lineup Implications
- Wednesday’s setup suggests a side ready to scrap for territory, defend deep and spring forward quickly.
- Leicester’s XI looks built to dominate the ball, stretch the pitch and feed runners from wide and central pockets.
- The biggest issue for Wednesday is obvious: their weaknesses against counter attacks, set pieces and aerial duels could all be exposed in one game if Leicester find rhythm early.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Sheffield Wednesday | Leicester City |
|---|---|---|
| League position | 24th (-6 pts) | 22nd |
| Championship games | 40 | 40 |
| Championship goals | 24 | 53 |
| Shots per game | 8.7 | 12.1 |
| Possession | 45.4% | 51.2% |
| Pass success | 74.6% | 81.7% |
| Aerials won | 15.7 | 15.2 |
| Team rating | 6.39 | 6.58 |
The broad pattern is easy to spot. Leicester move the ball better, shoot more often and score far more goals. Wednesday are looser in possession and far less reliable in front of goal.
There is one area where the game could get messy, though. The aerial numbers are close enough to suggest that if Wednesday can turn this into a fight for first and second balls rather than a passing contest, they may drag Leicester into a less comfortable match.
Tactical Battle
Leicester Possession Dominance
This has the look of a Leicester-controlled game from the outset. Rowett’s team average more possession, complete passes at a far higher rate and naturally play with short passes, width and attacks down the right.
That matters against a Sheffield Wednesday side who already struggle to keep the ball. If Leicester settle early, they can pin Wednesday back, force them into long defensive stretches and move the hosts from side to side until gaps appear.
Winks and Skipp are central to that. They give Leicester the base to circulate possession and keep the game in the right areas. Ahead of them, Fatawu, Mukasa and Mavididi offer different problems: pace, dribbling, quick feet and the ability to attack isolated defenders.
Wednesday’s Direct Approach
Henrik Pedersen’s side are not built to dominate possession here. Their best chance is to make the game raw, direct and uncomfortable.
Wednesday like long balls, width and attacks down the left. That means quick deliveries into channels, wing-back support and trying to force Leicester into defensive duels rather than letting them settle into a clean passing rhythm.
The issue is that Wednesday’s weaknesses are brutal for a fixture like this. They are very weak at finishing chances, very weak at defending counter attacks and very weak in aerial duels. Even if they can create moments, turning them into goals has been a season-long problem.
Wide Overloads
This is where the match gets interesting. Wednesday are weak against attacks down the wings. Leicester also play with width and attack down the right. That points straight towards Fatawu and Pereira combining to overload one side of the pitch.
If Leicester can keep pulling Wednesday’s back line across, the spaces should open for cut-backs, long shots and late runs into the box. Leicester are strong at creating long-shot opportunities too, which is useful against a team likely to retreat into its own half.
There is also danger for Leicester, though. They are weak against skillful players, weak in aerial duels and weak at defending set pieces. Wednesday do not create loads, but this is the route they must chase. Free-kicks, corners, second balls and deliveries into crowded zones could be their best route to a goal.
Key Moments to Watch
- Fatawu against Wednesday’s left side: With 9 goals and 7 assists, he is Leicester’s sharpest attacking weapon and a clear danger in the one-v-one battles.
- Mukasa between the lines: His return of 2 goals and 3 assists in limited minutes shows real impact, and he could find space if Wednesday’s midfield gets stretched.
- Set pieces at both ends: Wednesday are weak at defending them, but Leicester are weak there too. Dead-ball moments could carry more weight than usual.
- Whether Wednesday can turn pressure into territory: If the hosts spend too long trapped in their own half, it becomes exhausting fast.
- McNeill and Yates on limited supply: Wednesday do not create much, so their forwards may need to be clinical with very few chances.
- Leicester’s game management: They are very weak at protecting the lead, which makes the final stages worth watching if they get in front.
What Could Go Wrong?
For Wednesday, the danger is obvious: too much chasing, too many defensive transitions and not enough quality when the rare openings arrive. For Leicester, the risk is a different kind of wobble. They have more control, more threat and better numbers, but they also have soft spots in set-piece defending and in protecting an advantage. If they do not turn control into goals, this could become far more nervous than they want.
📊 Match Insights & Betting Analysis
Match Result Market
This is a bet on the final outcome after 90 minutes. You choose between a Home Win, Draw, or Away Win. Pros: Straightforward and often offers clear value on favorites. Cons: A late goal can ruin a result even if one team dominates.
Correct Score Market
A high-precision bet where you predict the exact final scoreline. Pros: Significantly higher odds than match result markets. Cons: Extremely volatile; a single goal in the final seconds makes the bet lose regardless of the performance.
🎯 Main Selection Rationale: Leicester City to Win
Tactical Indicators:
- Leicester score 1.3 goals per game vs Wednesday’s 0.6.
- Visitors average 51.2% possession and 81.7% pass success.
- Wednesday have failed to win a league match since September.
Leicester City enter this fixture with a massive technical and tactical advantage. Gary Rowett’s side average 12.1 shots per game compared to just 8.7 for the hosts, reflecting a significantly higher offensive output. With Wednesday already relegated and struggling to find any momentum, Leicester’s motivation for survival should ensure they dominate the tempo. The visitors’ ability to circulate the ball with an 81.7% pass success rate will likely pin a struggling Wednesday side deep into their own half for long periods. Given the hosts’ winless streak dating back to September, a Leicester victory is the most logical outcome based on seasonal performance data.
Risk Factor: Leicester are historically weak at protecting a lead, and a desperate home crowd could inspire an emotional response from a Wednesday side playing without the weight of league standings.
⚽ Scoreline Rationale: Leicester City 2-0
Predicting a 2-0 victory for the visitors aligns with the severe lack of goals in the Sheffield Wednesday camp. The hosts have managed only 24 goals all season, the lowest in the division, and their low volume of shots (8.7 per game) suggests they will struggle to breach the Leicester defense. Leicester, who have scored 53 goals and possess clinical threats like Abdul Fatawu and Stephy Mavididi, have the quality to exploit Wednesday’s known weaknesses against wide attacks and counter-plays. A two-goal margin reflects Leicester’s superior conversion rate while acknowledging their need for a controlled, safety-first performance to secure vital survival points.
Risk Factor: Both teams share a weakness in defending set pieces, which could lead to an unpredictable goal that disrupts a clean sheet or a specific scoreline.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Fatawu (9 goals, 7 assists) combines with Pereira to stretch defenses through high-volume dribbling and pace.
Wednesday are statistically weak at defending attacks down the wings and vulnerable to clinical wide players.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
⊕ What is a Match Result bet in the Championship?
A Match Result bet is a wager on whether the home team wins, the away team wins, or the game ends in a draw. It is the most common form of football betting and covers the result at the end of regulation time.
⊕ Why is Leicester favoured despite being 22nd?
Leicester are favoured because they face the bottom-placed side, Sheffield Wednesday, who have already been relegated. Leicester’s attacking record of 53 goals is more than double that of their opponents.
⊕ How does the Correct Score market work?
The Correct Score market requires you to predict the exact final score of the match, such as 2-0. While harder to predict, it offers higher potential returns compared to simple win/loss markets.
⊕ What are the main goal threats in this game?
Abdul Fatawu is the primary threat for Leicester with 9 goals and 7 assists this season. Sheffield Wednesday will look to Jerry Yates and Charlie McNeill to carry their attacking hopes.
⊕ Can a Draw be a good option for this match?
A draw is a possibility if Wednesday defend stubbornly, but Leicester’s superior possession and passing accuracy suggest they are more likely to break the deadlock.
⊕ What does -6 points mean for Sheffield Wednesday?
Sheffield Wednesday started with a points deduction, leaving them at the bottom of the table. Their relegation is already mathematically confirmed regardless of this result.
⊕ What is the significance of possession stats in betting?
Higher possession often indicates which team will control the game and create more chances. Leicester’s 51.2% average possession suggests they will dictate play against Wednesday.
⊕ Why are wide attacks important in this tactical battle?
Leicester are strong at attacking down the right, while Wednesday are statistically weak at defending these areas. This mismatch is a key factor in predicting Leicester’s scoring chances.
Last Odds Update: April 6, 11:20 GMT | Editorial Policy
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