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Will Leicester’s right-flank focus crack West Brom’s compact shape at the King Power? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
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This selection is heavily supported by Leicester City’s recent match history, where both teams have found the net in 11 of their last 12 Championship fixtures. Leicester average 1.42 goals scored and 1.50 goals conceded per game, reflecting a high-variance style. West Brom, while more conservative, average more shots per game (13.9) and are particularly strong at attacking set pieces—a noted weakness for Leicester. Given their 1-1 draw earlier this season and the defensive vulnerabilities present on both sides, a goal for each team is a statistically probable outcome.
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Leicester City are unbeaten in their last nine league matches against West Brom and have generally dominated recent head-to-head meetings with four wins in their last five. While West Brom are likely to score given Leicester's poor defensive record at set pieces, the Baggies have suffered eight consecutive away defeats. Leicester’s right-sided attacking strength, led by Abdul Fatawu’s creativity, should allow them to outscore a West Brom side that struggles on the road, making a 2-1 home win a consistent fit for the match narrative.
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Leicester City vs West Bromwich Albion Predictions and Best Bets
Leicester City vs West Brom — William Hill Market Snapshot
Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and sample William Hill odds based on our match analysis.
Current pricing suggests a tight encounter at the King Power, with both teams finding consistency a challenge in recent weeks.
With Leicester conceding frequently and West Brom maintaining high shot volumes, the goal markets offer an interesting narrative.
- Shot volume clash: West Brom average 13.9 shots per Championship match compared to Leicester’s 11.7, a hint that the visitors generate attempts frequently even when games feel tight.
- Chance creators on show: Mikey Johnston has nine assists for West Brom, while Abdul Fatawu has seven for Leicester, setting up a battle of delivery and final-ball quality from attacking midfield areas.
- Box presence versus variety: West Brom take 68% of their shots from inside the box compared to Leicester’s 61%, which can shape how each side looks to create — patient entries versus earlier efforts.
Attacking Volume: Shots per League Match
While Leicester dominate more possession, West Bromwich Albion have proven more efficient at generating shooting opportunities.
Leicester find 61% of their attempts from inside the area, relying on structured build-up to create chances.
The Baggies are even more focused on quality zones, with 68% of their shots originating from inside the box.
Defensive Reliability: Goals Conceded
Both teams have struggled to maintain a clean sheet lately, with their seasonal averages reflecting regular breaches.
Leicester’s weakness at set pieces and individual errors has contributed to a concession rate higher than their scoring rate.
West Brom have been slightly more resilient on average, though recent results have challenged this baseline.
Leicester City welcome West Bromwich Albion to the King Power Stadium for a Championship contest that arrives with both sides trying to turn their season’s direction into something a little more comfortable. Leicester begin the round in 13th, with West Brom three points back in 18th, so the table says “mid-table shuffle” — but the texture of the recent results suggests something edgier than that.
Leicester’s last six includes big swings: a 3-1 win over Ipswich Town, a 2-1 win over Derby County, but also heavy defeats at Queens Park Rangers (4-1) and Sheffield United (3-1), plus a home loss to Watford (2-1). West Brom’s most recent six has been harsher: four defeats, including 1-0 losses at Hull City and Swansea City, with their bright spots coming at home against Sheffield United (2-0) and QPR (2-1).
There’s also a recent head-to-head reference point. These teams drew 1-1 at West Brom on 26 September 2025. That alone is enough to frame this as a match where the details matter — the small battles, the timing of runs, the moments when either side decides to press the issue rather than wait for it to happen.
Team News and Likely Set-Ups
Leicester’s possible starting XI points strongly to the familiar 4-2-3-1: Stolarczyk; Pereira, Okoli, Nelson, Thomas; James, Choudhury; Fatawu, De Cordova-Reid, Mavididi; Ayew.
If that’s the shape, the balance of Leicester’s attacking line is intriguing. Fatawu and Mavididi either side of De Cordova-Reid suggests pace and carry from wide areas with a central link who can arrive into spaces rather than living on the last line. Ayew as the highest player hints at a forward who can play as a reference point and still bring others into the game. Behind them, the double pivot of James and Choudhury reads as a blend of mobility and bite — the sort of pairing that can help Leicester play quickly through midfield but also recover when the ball turns over.
There is also a clear selection issue listed: Harry Winks is suspended. That matters because Winks is named among Leicester’s assist providers in the league, and his passing numbers sit among the strongest in the squad list. Without him, Leicester’s “how” in possession may tilt more towards the other listed style points: playing with width, short passes, and attempting through balls often — but with different players taking responsibility for progression.
West Brom’s possible XI is less complete in the forward line as pasted, but the structure still reads like a 4-2-3-1: Wildsmith; Campbell, Phillips, Mepham, Styles; Diakite, Molumby; Johnston, Price, Grant; (forward not listed in that XI line).
Even with that missing name at the top, the rest tells a story. Phillips and Mepham together suggests a defence comfortable competing in the air, while Styles at left-back can influence how West Brom build and defend wide areas. The midfield pairing of Diakité and Molumby suggests a functional screen in front of the back four — and in front of that, Johnston and Grant offer attacking threats, with Price sitting as a connector who can also contribute goals.
How the Match Could Be Played
Leicester’s listed style profile is explicit: short passes, possession football, playing with width, and attacking down the right, with a note that the approach is aggressive. Put that next to the likely XI and you can see the outline. Pereira and Fatawu on the right side looks like the natural launchpad for Leicester’s most repeated patterns: an overlap to stretch the full-back, an underlap to attack the channel, or a quick combination that releases Fatawu early so he can drive at a recovering line.
That right-sided emphasis also shapes the rest of Leicester’s attacking spacing. If Leicester lean heavily into that lane, the opposite side becomes the balancing act: Thomas and Mavididi can hold width to stop West Brom sliding too far across, and De Cordova-Reid can choose when to join the right-sided overload or when to arrive into the box as a late runner. Ayew’s role becomes crucial here: if he stays central and pins the centre-halves, Leicester can attack the box with structure; if he drifts, Leicester might create space for others but risk losing a reliable target for the final pass.
West Brom’s stylistic notes point in a different direction: short passes, attacking through the middle, a non-aggressive approach, and playing in their own half. That combination can create a very specific match rhythm. Leicester may have more of the ball in West Brom’s territory, with West Brom content to sit compact, protect central lanes, and look for moments to play through midfield rather than forcing early crosses.
This is where the key match-ups begin to form. If Leicester’s width is the mechanism, West Brom’s weakness listed as “defending against attacks down the wings” is the potential fault line. That doesn’t guarantee anything — it just suggests the area Leicester will try to test again and again. Campbell and Styles could be pulled into repeated 1v1s, and if Leicester can get two attackers against one defender on the flank, it can force Phillips and Mepham into awkward covering positions.
At the other end, Leicester’s own list of weaknesses is blunt: defending set pieces, defending against attacks down the wings, defending against skilful players, stopping opponents from creating chances, and avoiding fouling in dangerous areas and individual errors. Read together, it hints at a side that can look good when the game is on their terms, but can also invite danger if the defensive concentration slips or if the game becomes ragged.
West Brom have strengths that fit that kind of opportunity. They’re listed as strong at creating chances through individual skill and strong at attacking set pieces, while Leicester are listed as weak defending them. So even if West Brom spend spells deeper, a well-won set piece or a moment of individual quality in the final third could flip the feel quickly. Johnston’s assist tally suggests a player who can make things happen from the wide/inside-right areas, and Price has the numbers of someone who can arrive from midfield and still threaten goal.
Tempo will matter. Leicester’s more aggressive style could lead to faster attacking sequences and more turnovers. West Brom’s non-aggressive approach might try to slow the match down, take the sting out, and force Leicester to break them down repeatedly. If Leicester get impatient — forcing through balls too early or taking long shots when better options exist — that plays into a game state where West Brom can keep it tight and pick their moments.
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The Numbers That Support the Story
Leicester’s league season totals underline a side that plays plenty of football without always getting the scoreboard reward it wants. They’ve scored 35 goals in 25 Championship games and conceded 37, which suggests a team that’s often involved in matches with movement at both ends. The per-match averages listed elsewhere reinforce that: 1.42 scored and 1.50 conceded across 26 games.
West Brom’s numbers point to a slightly tighter profile in terms of goals for, with 28 in 25, but they’ve also conceded 33 — a reminder that even a side content to play in their own half still has to survive key moments. Their per-match averages across 26 games are 1.12 scored and 1.31 conceded.
Shot volume is one of the clearest contrasts. Leicester are listed at 11.7 shots per game in the Championship, while West Brom are at 13.9. That matters because it can challenge the easy assumption that “more possession equals more attempts”. Leicester’s possession is listed at 52.3% in the league; West Brom’s at 52.0%. So this is not a match-up of one team hogging the ball and the other clinging on. It reads more like two sides who can share possession — but one of them gets shots away more frequently.
Where those shots come from also tells you something about how each might attack. Leicester are listed with 61% of attempts coming from inside the box, while West Brom are at 68%. That higher inside-box share suggests West Brom’s chances, when they do appear, may more often be built to reach prime areas rather than simply testing from range. Leicester’s profile also includes “take long shots” as a style point, which fits the idea of them sometimes shooting earlier in attacks.
Pass accuracy is almost identical: Leicester 83% accurate passes from 11,383 total; West Brom 83% from 12,073 total. That similarity hints that the difference in threat might not be about simple technical security, but about what each side does after those passes — the verticality, the risk, the timing of runs into the box.
Individually, Leicester have a midfield goal source in Jordan James with eight league goals, and a creative wide threat in Abdul Fatawu with seven assists (plus four goals). West Brom’s headline creator is Mikey Johnston with nine assists, with Aune Heggebø leading their scoring with eight. Those are the kinds of outputs that can decide a match even when the rest of the game is scrappy.
Key “Moments” to Watch
The first is Leicester’s right side against West Brom’s left. Leicester are explicitly described as attacking down the right, and a likely Pereira–Fatawu pairing can turn that into a constant stream of decisions for Styles. If West Brom double up, spaces open elsewhere; if they don’t, Leicester can keep feeding that lane until something breaks.
The second is set pieces. West Brom are listed as strong on attacking set pieces, while Leicester are listed as weak defending them. In a game where both teams have been inconsistent recently, a single well-delivered dead ball can feel like a shortcut to control. It’s not glamorous. It’s often decisive.
The third is the “error versus patience” battle. Leicester’s weaknesses include avoiding individual errors and avoiding fouling in dangerous areas, while West Brom’s include avoiding individual errors too. That combination can create a match where the cleanest passages don’t come from elaborate moves, but from whoever stays calmer under pressure — especially if the crowd, the temperature of the contest, and the league table all start to lean on the players’ shoulders.
What could go wrong with this read? The game could refuse to follow the neat tactical script. Leicester might not find their right-sided rhythm, or West Brom might turn their non-aggressive base into something more proactive if the match state nudges them that way. And if the early minutes bring a goal, the spacing, the risk levels, and the emotional temperature can all change in a heartbeat. Championship football rarely asks permission before it gets messy.
Best Bet for Leicester City vs West Bromwich Albion
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Both Teams to Score
The offensive profiles and defensive vulnerabilities of both Leicester City and West Bromwich Albion suggest a match where neither side is likely to keep a clean sheet. Leicester enter this fixture having scored 35 goals in 25 Championship matches, an average of 1.42 per game, while conceding 37 at a rate of 1.50 per match. Their recent form highlights this volatility; five of their last six matches have seen both teams find the net, including high-scoring affairs like a 3-1 victory over Ipswich Town and a 4-1 defeat at Queens Park Rangers. This trend is reinforced by the fact that both teams have scored in 11 of Leicester’s last 12 league outings.
Leicester’s aggressive style of play, which emphasizes width and short passing, is designed to create high-quality chances, particularly through the right flank where Abdul Fatawu and Ricardo Pereira operate. Fatawu has already provided seven assists this season, fueling an attack that sees 61% of its shots come from inside the penalty area. However, this forward-thinking approach leaves them exposed. Their list of defensive weaknesses is extensive, ranging from defending against individual skill to stopping opponents from creating chances and a specific vulnerability to set pieces.
West Bromwich Albion are well-positioned to exploit these gaps. Despite a more conservative, non-aggressive style that focuses on play in their own half, they average 13.9 shots per game—higher than Leicester’s 11.7. Crucially, 68% of their shots come from inside the box, indicating a high level of efficiency when they do break forward. They are noted for their strength in attacking set pieces and creating chances through individual skill, areas where Leicester are statistically weak. With playmakers like Mikey Johnston, who has recorded nine assists, and Aune Heggebø, who has scored eight goals, West Brom possess the clinical edge to punish a Leicester backline that has conceded 21 goals in away games alone this season. Given that their previous meeting in September ended in a 1-1 draw, another outcome where both teams contribute to the scoreline appears the most logical conclusion.
What could go wrong
The primary risk to this selection is a shift in tactical intensity from West Bromwich Albion. Their non-aggressive stylistic profile and tendency to play in their own half could lead to a cagey, low-tempo affair if they prioritize defensive solidity above all else. If Leicester struggle to break down a compact West Brom block without the suspended Harry Winks to dictate play, the match could starve for the service required to trigger a goal at either end.
Correct score lean
Leicester City 2-1 West Bromwich Albion
Leicester City’s home advantage and superior head-to-head record make them slight favorites to edge a high-scoring contest. They have won 13 of their 40 home matches against West Brom historically and remain unbeaten in their last nine league meetings with the Baggies. While West Brom are clinical inside the box, their away form has been a major struggle, having lost eight consecutive away league matches. Leicester’s ability to score at least twice at home—averaging 1.42 goals per game—combined with West Brom’s ability to exploit Leicester’s weak set-piece defense, points toward a narrow 2-1 victory for the hosts.
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