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Can Leicester City finally tighten their defensive lines, or will Norwich City’s central incision extend the King Power tension? Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.
Read Rationale▾
Leicester have conceded in 28 consecutive Championship matches, highlighting chronic defensive instability. However, they remain clinical finishers at home. With Norwich averaging over 1.2 shots on target and scoring regularly, both attacks are well-placed to exploit vulnerable backlines in what should be an open encounter.
Read Rationale▾
Norwich arrive with superior momentum, winning four of their last six. Leicester’s habit of conceding multiple goals and struggling to defend leads makes a narrow away victory plausible. Given the visitors’ central attacking sharpness and Leicester’s set-piece weaknesses, a 2-1 scoreline reflects the current disparity in form.
Readers’ Tip
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The King Power Stadium gets a proper Championship edge at 12:30 on Saturday as Leicester City welcome Norwich City. Leicester arrive off a 1-1 draw at Middlesbrough, but the mood is tense.
Leicester vs Norwich — William Hill Snapshot
Key Championship markets with implied probabilities and current William Hill pricing.
Leicester’s 22nd position contrast with Norwich’s recent momentum makes this a statistically balanced 1X2 market layout.
With Leicester conceding in 28 straight games and Norwich averaging 12.61 shots, markets lean toward a high-scoring outcome.
Leicester’s volatility vs Norwich’s central incision makes the 1-2 away victory a plausible tactical outcome.
Leicester’s 78% BTTS rate this season aligns with market pricing for both sides hitting the net today.
Match Preview: King Power Pressure
- Bold defensive alarm: Leicester have conceded in each of their last 28 Championship matches, a relentless pattern that turns every lead into a problem to manage.
- Bold away momentum: Norwich have won 4 of their last 6 overall matches and are unbeaten in 6 of their last 7 away Championship games, travelling with real bite.
- Bold contrast in control: Norwich average 53% possession with 12.61 shots per game, while Leicester sit at 52% possession with 11.92 shots — similar volume, different rhythm.
Defensive Volatility: Consecutive Goals Conceded
Leicester’s long-standing trend of failing to keep clean sheets defines their recent Championship outings.
A relentless pattern that puts significant pressure on their attacking unit to outscore opponents.
Underlines a style where they find the net frequently but remain fundamentally vulnerable at the back.
Attacking Volume: Shot Comparison
Reflects a team built for central incision and creating high volumes of chances.
Similar volume to Norwich, though often reliant on individual flashes and distance strikes.
The King Power Stadium gets a proper Championship edge at 12:30 on Saturday as Leicester City welcome Norwich City. Leicester arrive off a 1-1 draw at Middlesbrough — Caleb Okoli on the scoresheet — but the mood is tense: they haven’t won at home in their last three league matches and sit 22nd on 34 points.
Norwich roll in 17th on 42 points after a crisp 2-0 win over Sheffield Wednesday, with Mathias Kvistgaarden and Paris Maghoma doing the damage. The sub-plot is clear too: Norwich are winless in their last four league away games at Leicester, while Leicester are unbeaten in the league against Norwich in their last five. Something’s got to give — and both teams have the tools to make it loud.
Team News & Probable Lineups
Leicester City
Out: Jannik Vestergaard (groin surgery), Jamaal Lascelles (knock), Harry Souttar (Achilles tendon rupture), Victor Kristiansen (knee injury), Jordan James (hamstring), Hamza Choudhury (knee)
Probable XI (4-2-3-1): Asmir Begovic; Ricardo Pereira, Caleb Okoli, Ben Nelson, Luke Thomas; Oliver Skipp, Harry Winks; Bobby Reid, Divine Mukasa, Stephy Mavididi; Patson Daka.
Leicester’s injury list bites into depth, and the shape asks the double pivot to protect a defence that has struggled to keep clean sheets. With Mukasa in the line-up, there’s a clear route to play fast between the lines rather than forcing everything wide.
Norwich City
Out: Ante Crnac (cruciate ligament tear), Mirko Topić (cruciate ligament tear), Amankwah Forson (unknown injury), Matěj Jurásek (foot)
Probable XI (4-2-3-1): Vladan Kovacevic; Jack Stacey, Ruairi McConville, Harry Darling, Kellen Fisher; Jacob Wright, Kenny McLean; Liam Gibbs, Paris Maghoma, Ali Ahmed; Mathias Kvistgaarden.
Norwich look built for control and incision — short passing, through balls, and central attacks. The absences thin options, but the structure stays sharp: two screeners, three creators, and a striker in form.
Tale of the Tape
| Metric | Leicester City | Norwich City |
|---|---|---|
| League position (Championship) | 22nd | 17th |
| Points | 34 | 42 |
| Goals scored (league) | 47 | 45 |
| Goals conceded (league) | 54 | 44 |
| Shots per game | 11.92 | 12.61 |
| Possession | 52% | 53% |
| Pass accuracy | 82% | 81% |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 6 |
| Both teams scored | 78% | 63% |
This points to a game where Norwich try to own the middle and Leicester try to punch back with moments. Norwich look sturdier without the ball — fewer goals conceded, more clean sheets — while Leicester’s numbers scream volatility: they score plenty, but they give chances away and almost never shut the door.
Tactical Battle
When Leicester have the ball
Leicester’s best work comes when they’re bold. They’re strong at finishing chances, and they can create openings through individual moments and shots from distance. That’s key with Mukasa and Mavididi likely operating in pockets, trying to turn one touch into a shooting lane.
But Leicester have problems that don’t hide. They’re very weak defending set pieces, very weak avoiding individual errors, and very weak defending a lead. That’s a nasty cocktail against a Norwich side built to create through balls and play through the centre.
When Norwich have the ball
Norwich play with a clear identity: short passing, through balls, attacking through the middle, and a willingness to play in their own half before snapping forward. They’re also strong at stealing the ball, which matters if Leicester try to build with risky passes from deep.
The danger for Norwich is in the air and in discipline. Norwich are weak in aerial duels and avoiding fouls in dangerous areas — and Leicester can hit from distance and create moments that flip a match without needing 20 passes.
Key Zones
- Norwich’s central attacking style collides with Leicester’s weakness preventing chances and defending quality players.
- Leicester’s willingness to shoot and play through balls can target Norwich’s weakness at avoiding individual errors and defending attacks down the wings.
- If the game becomes set-piece heavy, Leicester’s “very weak” label there is a flashing warning light.
Key Moments to Watch
- Set pieces at both ends: Leicester’s set-piece defending has been a problem, and Norwich are strong defending them.
- Turnovers in midfield: Norwich’s ball-winning strength versus Leicester’s direct intent.
- The first goal: Leicester’s first goal in matches lands around 45’, Norwich’s around 42’.
- Shots from distance: Leicester are strong at creating long-shot chances.
What Could Go Wrong?
If Leicester chase the match emotionally, it can get loose fast — and they’ve already shown they can concede in bunches at the King Power. If Norwich dominate the middle without turning it into clear chances, they risk giving Leicester the kind of scrappy moments they thrive on.
📊 Market Explainer & Tactical Insights
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)
This selection requires both sides to score at least one goal during the 90 minutes. It is a popular choice for matches involving high-scoring teams with defensive weaknesses. Pros: Remains active until the final whistle. Cons: Highly dependent on finishing clinicality.
Correct Score
This market asks for the exact final result. It offers higher rewards due to the specific nature of the outcome. Pros: High potential return. Cons: High volatility; a single late goal can spoil the selection.
🎯 Main Selection: Both Teams to Score
Leicester City have established a remarkable but troubling pattern, having conceded in 28 consecutive Championship fixtures. This defensive instability is the primary driver for a high-scoring encounter at the King Power Stadium. Despite their struggle to keep clean sheets, Leicester remain dangerous in the attacking third, particularly through individual flashes from Divine Mukasa and Stephy Mavididi. They have shown a consistent ability to find the net at home, even during their recent winless run at the stadium.
Norwich City arrive with significant attacking momentum, having scored 1.83 goals per game over their last six matches. Their tactical setup, which prioritises central through balls and short passing, is perfectly designed to exploit a Leicester defence that is frequently caught out by individual errors. With Norwich averaging 12.61 shots per game, they are likely to create multiple openings against a backline that sits 22nd in the league. Given that 78% of Leicester’s matches this season have seen both teams find the net, the statistical and tactical evidence points towards a match where neither keeper is likely to finish with a clean sheet.
Risk Factor: A lack of clinical finishing or a cagey tactical battle in the first half could slow the scoring rate.
🎯 Scoreline Rationale: Norwich to Win 2-1
The 2-1 victory for Norwich reflects the widening gap in momentum between these two sides. Norwich have been unbeaten in six of their last seven away Championship games, demonstrating a resilience on the road that Leicester currently lack at home. While Leicester have the individual quality to score, their “very weak” rating in defending set pieces and managing leads suggests they are prone to conceding multiple goals. Norwich’s ability to win the ball high up the pitch provides them with the counter-attacking opportunities needed to secure a lead.
Leicester’s history of losing control in high-pressure home games, such as their recent 3-4 defeat after leading, indicates a psychological fragility that a disciplined Norwich side can exploit. Norwich’s central sharpness is expected to generate enough high-quality chances to overcome Leicester’s attacking threat. A narrow 2-1 scoreline aligns with Norwich’s sturdier defensive record (6 clean sheets compared to Leicester’s 4) and their superior league position.
Risk Factor: Leicester’s strong record of distance shooting could result in an equaliser that changes the match dynamic late on.
Key Tactical Mismatch
Utilising short passing and through balls to penetrate the middle of the pitch.
Ranked as very weak at defending dead-ball situations and preventing chances through the middle.
❓ Frequently Asked Questions
⊕ What does “Both Teams to Score” mean in football?
⊕ Why is the 2-1 scoreline a popular choice for this game?
⊕ How does Leicester’s defensive record affect the predictions?
⊕ What are Norwich City’s main tactical strengths?
⊕ Can Leicester City win despite their poor defensive form?
⊕ What are the risks of a Correct Score bet?
⊕ Does home advantage matter for Leicester in this match?
⊕ What time is the kick-off for Leicester vs Norwich?
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Last Odds Update: Feb 26, 21:20 GMT | Editorial Policy
