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Match snapshot
- Kick-off (UK): 20:00
- Date: Wednesday 28 January 2026
- Competition: UEFA Champions League
- Stadium: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona
- Last meeting: Chelsea 4–1 Napoli (14 Mar 2012)
At-a-glance dashboard
Goals/Game
1.3 ⚽ 1.8
Shots/Game
12.8 🎯 13.6
Corners/Game
5.7 🚩 6.0
Cards/Game
1.5 🟨 2.3
Napoli Goals (1.31)
Chelsea Goals (1.77)
Napoli Shots (12.76)
Chelsea Shots (13.63)
Free Bet Offers
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Quick stat grid
| Metric | Napoli | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Averages per match | ||
| Goals scored | 1.31 | 1.77 |
| Goals conceded | 1.10 | 1.10 |
| Shots (total) | 12.76 | 13.63 |
| Shots on target | 4.24 | 4.90 |
| Corners won | 5.69 | 6.00 |
| Corners conceded | 2.86 | 4.03 |
| Fouls committed | 12.17 | 11.67 |
| Cards received | 1.48 | 2.33 |
| Hit Rates (Last 10 matches) | ||
| Matches with 3+ Goals | 6/10 | 8/10 |
| Matches with 20+ Shots | 10/10 | 10/10 |
| Matches with 5+ Cards | 4/10 | 10/10 |
| Matches with 22+ Fouls | 10/10 | 10/10 |
Form & tactics
Napoli: Managed by Antonio Conte, the hosts play a physically demanding 3-4-2-1 but have struggled for fluidity in Europe. They sit 25th in the league phase and have drawn 67% of their last six matches. Without key creators like Kevin De Bruyne, they rely heavily on set-pieces and the vertical running of Scott McTominay to generate chances.
Chelsea: Under Liam Rosenior, the Blues have found a strong rhythm, winning four of their last five games. They operate in a 4-2-3-1 that prioritizes high shot volume (averaging 13.6 per game) and quick transitions. Chelsea have been resilient away in Europe, remaining unbeaten in 5 of their last 6 Champions League outings, though they remain open at the back.
Formation & team news
Napoli
Expected shape: 3-4-2-1
Confirmed absences: Kevin De Bruyne, Romelu Lukaku, Billy Gilmour, Frank Anguissa, David Neres, Vanja Milinkovic-Savic.
Chelsea
Expected shape: 4-2-3-1
Confirmed absences: Romeo Lavia, Levi Colwill, Tosin Adarabioyo, Dario Essugo.
Key matchups
- Scott McTominay vs Moises Caicedo: With Napoli’s strikers injured, McTominay is their primary goal threat (9 goals) from midfield. Caicedo must track his late runs into the box.
- Rasmus Hojlund vs Wesley Fofana: Hojlund provides the physical outlet for Napoli’s direct play. Fofana will need to manage the aerial duels to stop Napoli bypassing the midfield.
- Chelsea Wingers vs Napoli Wing-backs: Napoli’s 3-at-the-back system leaves space in the wide channels, which Chelsea’s pacey wingers (like Garnacho) will look to exploit on the counter.
Key stats
- Chelsea matches have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 8 of their last 10 games.
- Both teams average over 12 shots per game (Napoli 12.76, Chelsea 13.63).
- Napoli are conceding an average of 1.71 goals per game in the Champions League this season.
- Chelsea have a 100% hit rate for 5+ cards in their last 10 matches.
- Chelsea have scored Over 2.5 goals in 100% of their last 3 away Champions League matches.
Suggested bet
Cheat Sheet Selection
Over 2.5 Goals
The stats point heavily towards a high-scoring affair. Chelsea have hit Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of their recent matches and have scored at least 3 goals in all of their last three Champions League away days. Combined with Napoli’s defensive fragility in Europe (conceding 1.71 per game), the data supports a game with chances at both ends.
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