European silverware takes centre stage at Parc des Princes as Champions League holders PSG lock horns with Europa League winners Aston Villa in the 2026 UEFA Super Cup. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Paris Saint Germain v Aston Villa, which has been placed with Bet365.
F. Aursnes - 1+ Fouls Committed
Player Fouls Committed
Fredrik Aursnes is expected to play a pivotal role in Benfica's midfield, applying pressure and disrupting Celtic's attempts to build play. His combative style and involvement in duels naturally lead to fouls, especially in a high-stakes European fixture where midfield battles intensify. Given Benfica's aggressive approach and Celtic's need to advance the ball under pressure, Aursnes committing at least one foul seems a reasonable expectation, supported by his recent match data.
J. Forrest - 1+ Shots
Player Shots
James Forrest will likely be a key attacking outlet for Celtic as they seek to challenge Benfica's solid home defence. His ability to find shooting opportunities has been demonstrated recently, comfortably surpassing the one-shot threshold. With Celtic anticipated to press and create chances, Forrest’s involvement in attack and readiness to shoot make him a logical candidate to register at least one shot during the match.
Benfica v Celtic - Over 9.0 Corners
Total Corners
This fixture is poised for sustained attacking pressure from both sides, which typically generates numerous corners. Benfica’s home matches often feature high corner counts, while Celtic’s recent European outing was corner-heavy. The contest for territorial advantage and repeated entries into the penalty area should naturally lead to a corner count exceeding nine, reflecting the teams’ offensive intent and tactical styles.
Yang Hyun-Jun - Anytime Goalscorer
Anytime Goalscorer
Yang Hyun-Jun presents an intriguing scoring option for Celtic, especially as a midfielder with attacking responsibilities. Although he didn’t score in his last match, his positioning and Celtic’s likely need to chase the game against a strong Benfica side could create opportunities for him to find the net. His price reflects a reasonable chance of contributing a goal in a match expected to open up as it progresses.
Over 2.5 Goals
Goals Total
The prospect of over 2.5 goals aligns with the attacking profiles of both teams. Benfica’s recent scoring record at home is impressive, while Celtic have shown they can score even when under pressure. The combination of offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggests a match where goals are likely to feature prominently, making this market a fitting inclusion in the bet builder.
Benfica Asian Handicap -1
Asian Handicap
Benfica’s strong home form and attacking depth position them well to cover the -1 Asian Handicap against Celtic. Their consistent multi-goal performances contrast with Celtic’s defensive challenges and recent struggles, increasing the likelihood of a comfortable home victory. This selection complements the overall game script, reflecting Benfica’s potential to assert dominance and secure a win by at least two goals.
Both clubs arrive at this curtain-raiser following transformative summer periods and contrasting preparation schedules. PSG retained their European crown to cement their status at the summit of continental football, yet potential squad fatigue following deep international tournament runs presents a lingering question mark. Meanwhile, Aston Villa enter under the guidance of Unai Emery—a manager renowned for his remarkable European tournament record—seeking another statement victory. An exciting, high-tempo contest awaits in Paris.
Paris Saint Germain v Aston Villa Bet Builder Tip
Double Chance: Aston Villa or Draw (X2)
The opening selection of our Bet Builder zeroes in on Aston Villa to avoid defeat in normal time against PSG at Parc des Princes. Unai Emery’s side step into this fixture carrying immense positive momentum, having put together an unbeaten five-match sequence that saw them claim four victories and one draw while netting 15 goals in the process. Villa proved their pedigree against top-class opponents by defeating Manchester City 2-1 and dismantling Liverpool 4-2, while also cruising past Freiburg 3-0 and Nottingham Forest 4-0. Across their last five league encounters, Villa avoided defeat in 62% of their matches, highlighting an enduring resilience that makes them an extremely difficult proposition in cup football.
Although Villa underwent squad adjustments following the departures of Morgan Rogers and Youri Tielemans, Emery’s structural tactical setup ensures they remain exceptionally dangerous. Ollie Watkins leads their attack with 16 campaign goals, complemented by Lucas Digne’s creation of seven assists. Across their entire season, Villa amassed 33 victories from 56 outings while scoring 91 goals. They possess the necessary firepower to test any backline in European football.
Conversely, PSG arrive at this showpiece event following a period where their win rate dipped. Across their final stretch of matches, the French side failed to win in 66% of their outings. That run included 1-1 draws against Arsenal and Bayern München, as well as a 2-1 defeat against Paris. While PSG produced strong general metrics over the full campaign—winning 35 of 55 matches and scoring 127 goals at an average of 2.31 per game—their recent outings reveal vulnerabilities that Aston Villa can exploit.
Furthermore, PSG face complications regarding match sharpness. Key figures returned late following deep World Cup runs, leaving their physical condition below maximum capacity for an intense showpiece encounter. When a top-tier team experiences a slight drop in sharpness, their ability to control game states diminishes. Villa’s high-energy transitions will place severe stress on a PSG backline that conceded 57 goals across 55 matches this season.
Given that Villa’s recent scoring record features three games in which they notched at least three goals, Emery’s men possess both the confidence and clinical edge to breach the Parisian defence. Backing the Double Chance X2 market covers both an Aston Villa victory and a level scoreline at the end of 90 minutes.
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Achraf Hakimi to Have 1+ Shots on Target
Achraf Hakimi remains one of the most destructive wide players in modern European football, operating far more like an advanced winger than a conventional right-back. The Moroccan international compiled an impressive attacking output during his campaign, providing eight assists alongside scoring two goals. His aggressive movement high up the pitch yields consistent shooting opportunities, reflected in his total of 14 shots taken, with four of those striking the target.
Hakimi’s role in PSG’s system involves constantly storming into the opposition penalty area to overload the right flank. He accumulated 15 touches inside the opponent’s box and 597 touches overall, underlining how frequently PSG funnel their offensive sequences through his side. With PSG maintaining a high seasonal scoring rate of 2.31 goals per game (127 goals across 55 matches), their tactics naturally force opposition defenders back, allowing wide defenders like Hakimi time and space to unleash shots from distance or inside the area.
Market odds establish a 47.6% implied probability for Hakimi to register at least one shot on target in this match. Facing an Aston Villa backline that conceded 62 goals across 56 matches at a rate of 1.11 per game, Hakimi will find space during transitions. When these two clubs clashed in the Champions League quarter-finals, they produced nine goals over two legs. That record points towards an open contest where Hakimi gets opportunities to test the Aston Villa goalkeeper.
Lamare Bogarde to Have 1+ Shots
The final selection in our 5/1 Bet Builder centres on Lamare Bogarde attempting at least one shot during the 90 minutes. Bogarde logged 1,047 minutes of action across 28 appearances this season, carving out a crucial role in Unai Emery’s midfield rotation. His tactical responsibilities require him to press aggressively and support Villa’s transitions when moving from defence into attack.
Aston Villa arrive at Parc des Princes in sensational goalscoring rhythm, having racked up 15 goals in their past five competitive matches. That high-tempo attacking style routinely creates second-ball opportunities and shooting lanes around the edge of the penalty area for central players. With Villa scoring four goals against both Liverpool and Nottingham Forest recently, their midfield runners consistently get involved in high-danger zones.
Market projections price Bogarde’s likelihood of taking a shot at approximately 50%, reflecting his willingness to strike when space opens up. PSG conceded 57 goals across 55 matches this season, proving that their defensive structure allows opponents to generate attempts on goal, particularly when pressed in transitional phases. In what promises to be a fluid, fast-paced encounter with chances at both ends, Bogarde needs only one moment of space to trigger a shot and fulfill this selection.
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