Newcastle United welcome Everton to St James’ Park for a Monday night Premier League fixture that offers the hosts an immediate opportunity to avenge their recent EFL Cup exit. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Newcastle v Everton, which has been placed with Bet365.
Newcastle v Everton - Over 4.5 Cards
Player Cards
This fixture between Newcastle and Everton is expected to be a physically charged encounter, with both teams known for their combative style and defensive vulnerabilities. Newcastle's tendency to commit fouls and concede goals, combined with Everton's intent to disrupt play on the road, suggests referees will have plenty to manage. With both sides averaging around two yellow cards each per game, surpassing 4.5 cards in total is a plausible outcome reflecting the anticipated intensity at St James' Park.
L. Horníček - 2+ Saves
Goalkeeper Saves
Given Newcastle's defensive struggles and Everton's ability to generate chances, goalkeeper L. Horníček is likely to be kept busy. Everton averages over four shots on target per game, providing Horníček with a steady stream of saves. His recent form, reaching the 2+ saves mark in each of his last five matches, supports this selection. The combination of Everton's attacking pressure and Horníček's consistent shot-stopping makes backing 2+ saves a reasonable expectation.
K. Dewsbury-Hall - 1+ Shots
Player Shots
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall plays a central role in Everton's attacking efforts and is expected to test Newcastle's defence with shots. He has recorded at least one shot in four of his last five matches, demonstrating his involvement in forward play. Facing a challenging away fixture at St James' Park, Everton will rely on players like Dewsbury-Hall to create chances, making his 1+ shots selection a sensible inclusion in this bet builder.
Y. Wissa - 1+ Fouls Committed
Player Fouls Committed
Yoane Wissa's midfield role naturally involves frequent duels and defensive responsibilities, especially in a demanding away match against Everton. Newcastle's recent difficulties suggest Wissa will need to press and disrupt Everton's build-up play, increasing the likelihood of fouls. His recent record of committing at least one foul in four of his last five games underlines this trend, making this selection a reasonable expectation for his involvement in the physical side of the game.
T. Barry - Anytime Goalscorer
Anytime Goalscorer
Thierno Barry has shown a promising goal-scoring touch, netting in two of his last five matches. Despite Everton's challenges on the road, Barry remains a key attacking figure and could exploit Newcastle's recent defensive lapses, as they have conceded around two goals per game. This fixture offers Barry a good opportunity to add to his tally, and backing him to score anytime reflects his role in Everton's limited goal threat and the match's potential for goals.
Newcastle to Win & BTTS Yes
Result + BTTS
This selection anticipates a competitive match where Newcastle edge a victory but both teams find the net. Newcastle's open style and defensive weaknesses often lead to goals in their games, while Everton has the capability to score even in challenging away fixtures. The combination of Newcastle's attacking threat and Everton's resilience supports the possibility of a close game with goals at both ends, making this a coherent outcome that fits well with the other player prop selections.
Matthias Jaissle’s side sit one point ahead of their visitors in the table, having secured a 2-0 victory at Crystal Palace in their previous league outing. Everton, by contrast, arrive searching for their first away league victory of the campaign following back-to-back 2-0 defeats. However, their commanding 3-1 cup victory over Newcastle on Tyneside just days ago provides David Moyes’ team with a proven blueprint for causing problems. Examining the supplied player metrics and underlying team performance figures highlights several distinct angles for building a multi-market approach.
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NEWCASTLE TO WIN & BTTS Yes
Newcastle United’s slight Premier League superiority pairs directly with their undeniable defensive flaws to support this combined market. Jaissle’s side sit one point ahead of Everton in the table and recently secured a 2-0 victory at Crystal Palace, while the visitors’ league momentum has stalled entirely. After an initially bright start to the campaign, Everton have suffered consecutive 2-0 league defeats against Chelsea and Arsenal. More pressingly for Moyes, his team have failed to secure a single away league victory this season, managing three draws and one defeat from their four trips. That established difficulty in turning away fixtures into three points makes the home side the logical focal point for the match result.
However, Newcastle’s inability to control matches at St James’ Park necessitates the inclusion of the Both Teams To Score element. The hosts have won just one of their four Premier League home fixtures. Their wider defensive record remains highly troubling, having conceded 14 goals across eight league matches. Only Chelsea have allowed more among the division’s top-half sides during that period. At home, that fragility is even more pronounced; Newcastle have failed to keep a clean sheet in all five home matches across competitions, with both teams scoring in four of those fixtures. Draws against Bournemouth and defeats to Aston Villa highlight their difficulty in maintaining defensive discipline on familiar territory.
Everton have already proven they can exploit these exact vulnerabilities. In their midweek EFL Cup meeting, James Garner, Hayden Hackney and Thierno Barry all scored as Everton established a commanding three-goal advantage. Newcastle’s midfield frequently struggles to retain possession or provide sufficient defensive protection, leaving their backline exposed to sustained pressure.
The primary counterpoint to an Everton goal is their recent sequence of league blanks against Chelsea and Arsenal. Translating cup success into league points remains a challenge for the Toffees. Nevertheless, Newcastle possess the attacking quality to secure a victory, while their documented structural gaps and complete lack of home clean sheets provide Everton with a clear route to finding the net.
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T. Barry – Anytime Goalscorer
Thierno Barry has already demonstrated his ability to dismantle Newcastle’s defensive structure, having scored during Everton’s 3-1 midweek cup victory on Tyneside. Beyond that single performance, the 24-year-old French striker carries a consistent seasonal threat that aligns with Newcastle’s specific weaknesses. Barry has scored three goals in his eight appearances, registering 5.08 expected goals from 685 minutes of football.
His shooting volume provides a strong foundation for this market. Barry has accumulated 27 total shots, averaging comfortably above three attempts per match, with 12 of those finding the target. Furthermore, he represents a major physical and aerial challenge, having recorded 14 headed shots and taken 41 touches inside the opposition box. This direct, penalty-area involvement is particularly relevant against a Newcastle side that has already conceded 14 league goals and struggles to protect its penalty area during transition moments.
The obvious argument against Barry scoring again is Everton’s broader league form, as the team failed to register a goal in their last two Premier League outings against Arsenal and Chelsea. If Everton are forced to defend deeply for long periods, Barry’s opportunities could be restricted. However, given Newcastle’s inability to keep a clean sheet in five home matches, his proven track record in this exact fixture makes him the standout candidate to capitalise on any defensive lapses.
K. Dewsbury-Hall – 1+ Shots
Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall’s consistent attacking involvement for Everton provides a highly reliable baseline for a single-shot threshold. Operating primarily as an attacking midfielder, he has generated 20 shots across his eight appearances, averaging 2.5 attempts per match during his 714 minutes on the pitch. That consistent output has translated into two goals, underlining his willingness to test the goalkeeper when given space.
His underlying creative numbers strengthen the case for his final-third involvement. Dewsbury-Hall has completed 87.5% of his passes, created 18 chances, and supplied four big chances for his teammates. Because he operates high up the pitch and frequently receives the ball in dangerous central areas, he does not rely solely on set pieces or rare counter-attacks to register an attempt on goal.
The main concern for any Everton attacking selection is their poor away league record, having failed to win in four attempts. If Newcastle successfully dominate possession, Dewsbury-Hall may be forced to spend more time executing defensive duties rather than breaking forward. Yet Newcastle’s midfield has repeatedly struggled to control matches at home, often allowing opponents to develop sustained pressure. Needing just one attempt, Dewsbury-Hall’s established shooting frequency offers substantial support for this leg.
L. Hornícek – 2+ Saves
Newcastle’s defensive openness ensures Lukás Hornícek remains one of the more active goalkeepers in the division, making a two-save threshold proportionate to his usual workload. The Czech goalkeeper has been forced into 27 saves across his eight matches, averaging over three stops per game. During that period, he has faced 42 total shots and 14.76 expected goals on target, highlighting the frequency and quality of chances the Newcastle defence allows.
Hornícek has faced 32 shots from inside his own penalty area, a figure that points directly towards Newcastle’s inability to restrict opponents to low-probability efforts from distance. With Jaissle’s midfield frequently struggling to protect the backline, attacking moves that break down often result in immediate pressure on the goalkeeper. Everton’s midweek success, where they scored three times at St James’ Park, proves they have the midfield personnel in Garner and Hackney to bypass Newcastle’s defensive shape.
The strongest counterpoint is Everton’s recent lack of offensive output in the Premier League, having gone two full matches without scoring. If the visitors fail to test the target, Hornícek’s save count will naturally remain low. However, given the goalkeeper has consistently met this threshold across the season and faces an opponent that recently scored three past his defence, the required two saves represent a realistic expectation.
Y. Wissa – 1+ Fouls Committed
Yoane Wissa’s physical engagement and defensive responsibilities naturally lead to regular disciplinary interventions. The Newcastle forward has committed 13 fouls in his eight appearances, averaging well over one infringement per match during his 622 minutes on the pitch. That consistent foul rate has already resulted in three yellow cards, demonstrating his willingness to disrupt opposition play, even at the cost of a booking.
Wissa’s broader physical metrics contextualise these fouls. He is heavily involved in physical contests, having won 46 duels, including 19 aerial battles, while also being dispossessed 10 times. When attacking players frequently lose possession or engage in high-intensity pressing, tactical fouls are a natural byproduct of attempting to regain the ball or stop a counter-attack. Everton’s midfield trio of Garner, Hackney and Dewsbury-Hall are adept at drawing contact, further increasing the likelihood of an infringement.
The standard counter-argument is positional; as a primary attacking outlet, Wissa’s main duties are offensive, and matches where Newcastle dominate possession could limit his need to make defensive tackles. Nevertheless, a single foul is a remarkably low threshold for a player with an established track record of heavy physical involvement and regular refereeing interventions.
Over 4.5 Cards
The competitive nature of this quick rematch, combined with both sides’ established disciplinary profiles, points towards a busy evening for the referee. Both Newcastle and Everton average approximately two yellow cards per match, establishing a strong mathematical baseline for a five-card threshold. Individual contributors like Wissa, who has already collected three yellow cards in eight matches, highlight the presence of players willing to cross the disciplinary line.
The match context adds further weight to the probability of bookings. Newcastle are under pressure to improve their poor home league form and avenge their recent 3-1 cup defeat to Everton. Conversely, the visitors are desperate to secure their first away league victory following three draws and a defeat. With Newcastle’s midfield often struggling to retain possession and Everton looking to exploit those transition spaces, tactical fouls are highly likely to occur as both sides attempt to disrupt promising attacks.
While certain regular starters like Everton’s Thierno Barry have maintained perfectly clean disciplinary records, the market relies on the collective aggression of the two squads rather than isolated individuals. The established team averages and the inherently high stakes of a Premier League fixture under the St James’ Park lights provide firm backing for this total.
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