Deportivo La Coruna welcome Levante to Estadio Abanca-Riazor on Friday evening, with both clubs desperate to arrest deeply concerning runs of form in La Liga. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Deportivo La Coruna v Levante, which has been placed with Bet365.
M. Svilar - 2+ Saves
Goalkeeper Saves
Roma's defence has been robust this season, conceding just three goals in six league matches, yet Genoa's attack remains capable of creating chances, averaging 3.4 shots on target per game. This balance suggests goalkeeper Mile Svilar will be called into action multiple times. His recent form, with at least two saves in three of his last five games, supports the expectation that he can reach the 2+ saves mark here, reflecting a steady but manageable workload.
AS Roma v Genoa - Over 3.5 Cards
Player Cards
This fixture is likely to be a competitive and intense encounter, with Roma's disciplined defence and Genoa's need to disrupt play potentially leading to tactical fouls and bookings. Both teams average nearly five yellow cards combined per game, indicating a physical contest. The expectation of over 3.5 cards aligns with the likelihood of refereeing interventions as both sides strive for control, making this a plausible outcome given the match's competitive nature.
T. Baldanzi - 1+ Shots
Player Shots
Midfielder Tommaso Baldanzi has demonstrated an attacking mindset, registering at least one shot in three of his last five matches. Facing a strong Roma defence that plays a high line, Baldanzi may find pockets of space to attempt shots. His role in Genoa's offensive efforts and recent shooting frequency make backing him for at least one shot a reasonable inclusion, reflecting his involvement in the team's attacking phases.
M. Soulé - Anytime Goalscorer
Anytime Goalscorer
Matias Soulé has emerged as a scoring threat for Roma, with two goals in his last five appearances despite limited game time. Roma's expected dominance and Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding nearly two goals per game, create opportunities for Soulé to find the net. His attacking role and recent scoring form suggest he could contribute a goal, making this selection a fitting part of the overall game narrative.
AS Roma v Genoa - Under 11.0 Corners
Total Corners
Both Roma and Genoa tend to produce matches with relatively few corners, averaging under ten combined per game. Roma's structured defensive approach and Genoa's challenges on the road suggest a controlled match tempo with limited wide pressure and crossing. This pattern supports the expectation of fewer than 11 corners, reflecting a game where territorial battles and defensive caution may limit set-piece opportunities from corners.
AS Roma to Win & BTTS Yes
Result + BTTS
Roma's strong home form and attacking quality position them well for a victory, while Genoa's persistent scoring ability and defensive lapses make it plausible both teams will score. The tactical interplay suggests Roma will press for control and goals, but Genoa's counter-attacking threat could yield a goal of their own. This market captures the likely dynamic of a Roma win accompanied by goals at both ends, fitting coherently with the other selections to form a unified game scenario.
The newly promoted hosts made an encouraging unbeaten start to the campaign but have since lost momentum entirely, taking just one point from their last four fixtures. Meanwhile, Luis Castro’s Levante travel to Galicia sitting precariously in 17th position, still searching for their first away victory of the season. With both sides demonstrating severe defensive vulnerabilities alongside genuine attacking capability, this encounter offers a volatile tactical landscape. By examining the underlying player metrics and broader disciplinary patterns, we can construct a comprehensive 7/1 Bet Builder for this crucial domestic clash.
Deportivo La Coruna v Levante Bet Builder Tip
Over 4.5 Cards
Deportivo La Coruna and Levante arrive at this fixture carrying significant tactical burdens, creating an environment exceptionally well-suited to consistent disciplinary interventions. The foundation for expecting over 4.5 total cards lies primarily in the sheer volume of fouls both sides commit as a baseline. Antonio Hidalgo’s Deportivo average over 11 fouls per match, while Levante commit nearly ten. This combined projection of approximately 21 fouls provides the referee with a constant stream of decisions, naturally elevating the probability of bookings as the match progresses, frustrations build, and physical fatigue sets in.
The tactical context amplifies this foul count significantly. Both teams are experiencing severe difficulties in managing defensive transitions. Levante have conceded a highly concerning 15 goals across just seven league appearances, an average of more than two per game. They have shipped ten goals in their last three outings alone, most recently featuring in a chaotic 3-3 draw with Sevilla. When a team consistently allows opponents to breach their defensive structure, recovering defenders and tracking midfielders are frequently forced into cynical challenges to halt dangerous attacking sequences.
Deportivo face identical transitional problems on home soil. The hosts have failed to keep a single clean sheet in their last seven matches, recently surrendering three goals in a narrow 3-2 defeat against Real Sociedad. That specific match perfectly illustrated their disciplinary floor when under pressure, with Deportivo midfielder Lorenzo Amatucci receiving a red card. When structured defending fails against capable attackers, tactical fouling rapidly becomes the primary mechanism for survival.
Furthermore, the broader league context adds genuine tension to the encounter. Levante currently sit one place above the relegation zone, carrying the psychological weight of failing to secure a single victory on the road this term. Deportivo, despite occupying a more comfortable mid-table position with ten points, know their early-season momentum has evaporated following three defeats in four matches. Furthermore, the hosts have been locked into three separate 1-1 draws this season, demonstrating a tendency to become embroiled in tight, frustrating contests where neither side can easily pull away.
The strongest counterpoint to a high card count is found in isolated individual discipline, such as Levante’s Manuel Sánchez managing to avoid a yellow card across 611 minutes of defensive action. However, individual restraint rarely dictates the overall temperature of a competitive match. Given the established foul averages, the documented defensive frailties requiring physical intervention, and the high-stakes nature of two struggling sides desperately seeking a positive result, surpassing four combined cards remains a highly logical expectation.
Free Bet Offers
Swipe to see more →
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
M. Ryan – 2+ Saves
The defensive fragility defining Levante’s season directly elevates the workload placed upon Mathew Ryan, making two goalkeeper saves a highly proportionate threshold. The Australian international has been a busy figure, facing 40 shots across 630 minutes of La Liga football. In response, he has registered 24 saves, establishing a reliable average of 3.4 saves per match while maintaining a 61.5% save percentage.
His consistent involvement is necessitated by a defensive unit that has conceded 15 times in just seven matches. Against Deportivo, Ryan will face an attack that routinely finds avenues to goal, even amidst poor overall team form. The hosts have scored in six of their last seven fixtures, with both teams finding the net in seven of Deportivo’s eight league games so far.
The primary concern is whether Deportivo’s recent slump—yielding just one point from four matches—might reduce their attacking output. However, their ability to score twice in a recent 3-2 defeat to Real Sociedad suggests their offensive mechanisms remain functional. Because Levante frequently allow opposition forwards to penetrate their penalty area, Ryan’s established shot-stopping volume provides a strong foundation for multiple saves.
P. Aubameyang – Anytime Goalscorer
Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang’s underlying numbers demonstrate exactly why he features as the primary goalscoring option in this market. Across 560 minutes of football this season, the striker has netted five goals, operating at a highly efficient rate of 0.71 goals per game. His output is supported by consistent volume; he has taken 17 shots, with ten hitting the target, resulting in a formidable 58.8% accuracy rate and a cumulative expected goals (xG) figure of 3.16.
The matchup against Levante provides an ideal environment for those metrics to translate into goals. Luis Castro’s side have conceded ten goals in their last three outings, demonstrating a recurring inability to manage central defensive spaces. Aubameyang’s movement, which has seen him register 26 touches in the opposition box, aligns perfectly with the gaps Levante consistently leave open during defensive transitions.
The most credible counter-argument stems from Levante occasionally discovering resilience, having managed two clean sheets across their seven fixtures. Yet, given Aubameyang’s clinical form—having scored in five separate matches already this term—his statistical profile points heavily toward him finding the necessary space to convert against a vulnerable rearguard.
Manu Sanchez – 1+ Fouls Committed
Operating on the left side of a struggling defence, Manuel Sánchez’s defensive workload justifies the expectation of a single committed foul. The full-back has played 611 minutes across seven appearances, committing exactly six fouls. While this translates to an average just marginally below one per 90 minutes (0.88), his sheer volume of engagement makes a mistimed intervention highly likely in this specific context.
Sánchez has registered 62 defensive contributions, including 32 tackles and 51 successful duels. Because Levante are routinely forced onto the back foot—conceding over two goals per game—their defenders are constantly engaged in physical battles to break up play. Facing a Deportivo side that has found the net in six of their last seven matches guarantees Sánchez will be heavily involved.
The opposing view is rooted in his clean disciplinary record, as he has yet to receive a yellow card this season. However, a foul committed does not automatically require a booking. Given the high tackling volume demanded of him in a porous defensive system, one foul represents a proportionate outcome for an active defender.
Jon Ander Olasagasti – 1+ Shots
Jon Ander Olasagasti’s involvement in Levante’s attacking patterns provides reliable support for a single shot attempt. Operating predominantly in midfield, he has recorded eight shots across 594 minutes, averaging 1.21 attempts per 90 minutes. This consistent willingness to test the opposition defence gives the selection a strong factual baseline.
The tactical environment further supports his shooting potential. Levante have displayed significant attacking intent despite their league position, scoring six times across their last three matches, including three against Sevilla. They face a Deportivo side completely devoid of a recent clean sheet, having failed to shut out the opposition in their last seven attempts. This lack of defensive control regularly affords opposition midfielders time and space on the edge of the penalty area.
The main counterpoint is Olasagasti’s shot accuracy, as only three of his eight attempts have hit the target, while his creative responsibilities (12 chances created) sometimes take precedence. Fortunately, the market demands only volume, not precision. Against a vulnerable Deportivo midfield, his established shooting frequency comfortably justifies the selection.
Over 10.5 Corners
The corner market naturally reflects the territorial battles and defensive clearances of a fixture, and the combined approaches of Deportivo and Levante suggest a busy night for the flag. Deportivo average nearly seven corners per match on their own, a high figure that points towards frequent wide attacking play and a persistent application of pressure on opposition full-backs.
Levante’s own contributions help bridge the gap to the required threshold. The visitors have shown they can force the issue, recently scoring three times against Sevilla and hitting five against Real Betis earlier in the season. Importantly, neither side defends particularly well. Deportivo have zero clean sheets in seven matches, and Levante have conceded 15 goals in seven. When structurally weak defences are subjected to pressure, they often rely on urgent clearances over the byline rather than controlled possession exits.
The risk to a high corner count is a potential lack of sustained possession in the final third, especially given Levante’s struggles on the road. However, an open match defined by rapid transitions and defensive panic frequently generates set-pieces, making eleven combined corners a coherent expectation.
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.
Enhance your betting game with our daily free betting tips, predictions, and accumulators.
For more betting tips and news, check out:
Don’t forget to visit our Free Bets page for the best possible value from our Today’s Football Predictions, as well as our Predictions hub for all the best tips.
