Roma welcome Genoa to the Stadio Olimpico on Saturday evening, looking to solidify their strong domestic start while recovering from a chaotic European defeat.. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for AS Roma v Genoa, which has been placed with Bet365.
M. Svilar - 2+ Saves
Goalkeeper Saves
Roma's defence has been robust this season, conceding just three goals in six league matches, yet Genoa's attack remains capable of creating chances, averaging 3.4 shots on target per game. This balance suggests goalkeeper Mile Svilar will be called into action multiple times. His recent form, with at least two saves in three of his last five games, supports the expectation that he can reach the 2+ saves mark here, reflecting a steady but manageable workload.
AS Roma v Genoa - Over 3.5 Cards
Player Cards
This fixture is likely to be a competitive and intense encounter, with Roma's disciplined defence and Genoa's need to disrupt play potentially leading to tactical fouls and bookings. Both teams average nearly five yellow cards combined per game, indicating a physical contest. The expectation of over 3.5 cards aligns with the likelihood of refereeing interventions as both sides strive for control, making this a plausible outcome given the match's competitive nature.
T. Baldanzi - 1+ Shots
Player Shots
Midfielder Tommaso Baldanzi has demonstrated an attacking mindset, registering at least one shot in three of his last five matches. Facing a strong Roma defence that plays a high line, Baldanzi may find pockets of space to attempt shots. His role in Genoa's offensive efforts and recent shooting frequency make backing him for at least one shot a reasonable inclusion, reflecting his involvement in the team's attacking phases.
M. Soulé - Anytime Goalscorer
Anytime Goalscorer
Matias Soulé has emerged as a scoring threat for Roma, with two goals in his last five appearances despite limited game time. Roma's expected dominance and Genoa's defensive vulnerabilities, conceding nearly two goals per game, create opportunities for Soulé to find the net. His attacking role and recent scoring form suggest he could contribute a goal, making this selection a fitting part of the overall game narrative.
AS Roma v Genoa - Under 11.0 Corners
Total Corners
Both Roma and Genoa tend to produce matches with relatively few corners, averaging under ten combined per game. Roma's structured defensive approach and Genoa's challenges on the road suggest a controlled match tempo with limited wide pressure and crossing. This pattern supports the expectation of fewer than 11 corners, reflecting a game where territorial battles and defensive caution may limit set-piece opportunities from corners.
AS Roma to Win & BTTS Yes
Result + BTTS
Roma's strong home form and attacking quality position them well for a victory, while Genoa's persistent scoring ability and defensive lapses make it plausible both teams will score. The tactical interplay suggests Roma will press for control and goals, but Genoa's counter-attacking threat could yield a goal of their own. This market captures the likely dynamic of a Roma win accompanied by goals at both ends, fitting coherently with the other selections to form a unified game scenario.
Gian Piero Gasperini’s side currently sit third in Serie A, trailing the leaders by just two points and boasting an impressive 13-match unbeaten league run. They face a 16th-placed Genoa side managed by Roma legend Daniele De Rossi, who returns to the capital searching for away form after a crucial recent victory over Fiorentina. By combining match outcome, goals, cards and specific player metrics, we can examine a comprehensive 13/1 Bet Builder that covers the primary tactical battles expected in Rome.
AS Roma v Genoa Bet Builder Tip
AS Roma to Win & BTTS Yes
Combining a home victory with Both Teams To Score requires balancing Roma’s formidable domestic momentum with the genuine defensive vulnerabilities they recently exposed in European competition. Gian Piero Gasperini’s side are the overwhelming favourites to secure three points at the Stadio Olimpico, but achieving that alongside a Genoa goal creates a compelling market dynamic.
The case for a Roma victory is anchored in their overwhelming historical and current supremacy. The Giallorossi are unbeaten in 13 Serie A matches and currently sit third in the table, having recorded four wins and two draws from their opening six fixtures. Their home form is particularly punishing for visiting sides; Roma have won six of their previous eight home league games, and their last domestic defeat at the Stadio Olimpico occurred more than 10 months ago. Against a Genoa side sitting 16th with just one league victory all season, the hosts hold a clear advantage. Furthermore, Genoa’s historical record in the capital is abysmal, losing 33 of their last 40 league visits to Roma and failing to register an away win in this fixture since 1990. Gasperini has built a system that reliably grinds out results.
However, the second half of this selection—Both Teams To Score—relies on Genoa finding a route through the league’s strongest defence. Roma have conceded just three times in six Serie A matches. Yet, their recent midweek collapse in the Champions League, where they shipped three goals in the final 10 minutes to lose 4-3 against Real Madrid, exposed a frailty that Daniele De Rossi’s men will look to exploit. Roma are also dealing with severe disruption at the back, missing first-choice goalkeeper Mile Svilar to a broken finger, bringing Pier Luigi Gollini into the starting XI. This lack of continuity in a critical defensive area provides a tangible weakness for the visitors to target.
Genoa arrive with renewed attacking belief after ending a 10-match winless sequence with a hard-fought 2-1 victory over Fiorentina, where they scored twice inside the opening 15 minutes. Milutin Osmajic carries genuine threat with three goals in five Serie A appearances, while Junior Messias recently found the net. Genoa also secured a 2-1 home victory against Roma in March, proving they have the specific tools to breach Gasperini’s defensive system.
The strongest counterpoint remains Genoa’s broader away form; they have failed to score in five of their last seven Serie A road trips and have lost three consecutive away league matches. Ultimately, this combined leg requires Roma’s established class to secure the overall result, while banking on their recent European wobble, defensive reshuffles and Genoa’s timely return to scoring form to ensure both sides contribute to the final tally.
Free Bet Offers
Swipe to see more →
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
T&Cs Apply. Click to view.
M. Soulé – Anytime Goalscorer
The suspension of leading scorer Donyell Malen significantly alters Roma’s attacking dynamic, placing greater offensive responsibility on Matias Soulé. The Argentine has already demonstrated his capability this season, registering two goals across his 324 minutes of Serie A action.
Soulé provides consistent shot volume, accumulating 16 attempts across his six league appearances. Crucially, he tests the goalkeeper regularly, with eight of those 16 shots hitting the target, demonstrating a 50% on-target rate. This level of accuracy is vital for an anytime goalscorer selection, as it proves he is generating viable scoring opportunities rather than simply inflating his shot count from low-probability areas. He has also accumulated 1.71 expected goals (xG), supporting the reality that his output is built on sustainable attacking positions.
He faces a Genoa defence that has proven highly vulnerable on their travels. The Grifone have conceded 10 goals in six away matches, creating a permissive environment for Roma’s forwards. With 26 touches inside the opposition box so far this campaign, Soulé operates in the exact areas where Genoa struggle to maintain defensive control.
The primary concern for this selection is Roma’s overall attacking rhythm. With Malen suspended and midfield figures like Bryan Cristante and Manu Kone potentially absent, Soulé may receive less consistent service. He has also only started three matches this season. Nevertheless, his proven shot accuracy and Genoa’s porous away record make him a logical candidate to capitalise on any space the visitors concede.
T. Baldanzi – 1+ Shots
Tommaso Baldanzi provides a reliable source of attacking volume for Genoa, making him a fitting candidate for the 1+ Shots market. Despite Genoa’s broader struggles this season, the 23-year-old midfielder has consistently attempted to test opposing defences, registering 10 total shots across 324 minutes of Serie A action.
The underlying numbers support his inclusion, with the midfielder having registered at least one shot in three of his last five matches. In a fixture where Genoa are expected to concede the majority of possession to Roma, counter-attacking efficiency will be paramount. Baldanzi operates as a primary outlet during these transitions, and his willingness to pull the trigger ensures he remains involved when Genoa cross the halfway line. He has recorded 12 touches in the opposition box, demonstrating an ability to advance into shooting areas.
The strongest counterpoint to this selection is his severe lack of accuracy. Only one of Baldanzi’s 10 shots this season has hit the target, representing a 10% on-target rate, and he has yet to score. Furthermore, he faces a Roma side boasting the best defensive record in Serie A, having conceded only three league goals.
However, the specific market mechanics are crucial here. The 1+ Shots selection requires only volume, entirely ignoring accuracy or outcome. A blocked effort or a strike dragged wide fulfils the criteria just as effectively as a goal. Given his established frequency of 10 shots in five appearances, backing Baldanzi to attempt at least one strike remains a proportionate assessment.
Over 3.5 Cards
Anticipating a high card count relies on the competitive tension between two sides with vastly different objectives, supported by an established disciplinary baseline. Historical records indicate that Roma and Genoa average nearly five yellow cards combined per match, placing the 3.5 threshold comfortably within their standard operating range.
The match state provides a clear pathway to referee intervention. Genoa arrive sitting 16th in the table, desperate to build on their recent victory over Fiorentina. Tasked with disrupting a Roma side that remains unbeaten in 13 Serie A matches, Daniele De Rossi’s team will likely need to employ tactical fouls to break up the hosts’ possession cycles. De Rossi’s return to the Stadio Olimpico—where he made 616 appearances as a player—also injects an undeniable emotional undercurrent into the fixture, often a catalyst for a more physical contest.
The main factor working against a high card total is Roma’s ability to control matches cleanly. Gasperini’s side have conceded just three league goals and have not been breached in the first half of any Serie A match this season. If they establish early dominance, the necessity for cynical challenges decreases, potentially resulting in a sterile, low-card environment.
However, Genoa’s requirement to fight for survival and their need to contain Roma’s attacking depth suggest a physical encounter is unavoidable. With the historical average sitting above four cards per game, expecting the referee to reach for his pocket at least four times aligns logically with the anticipated midfield battle.
Under 11.0 Corners
The expectation of a reduced corner count is driven by both teams’ tactical profiles and their established statistical output. Historically, Roma and Genoa produce matches featuring relatively few corners, averaging under 10 combined per game.
Roma’s defensive structure is the primary factor limiting corner volume. Having conceded only three goals in six Serie A matches while securing four clean sheets, they rarely allow opponents deep territory. Their organisation forces teams into low-percentage central attempts rather than permitting sustained wide pressure that results in blocked crosses and defensive clearances behind the goal line. Genoa’s away record further supports this pattern; the visitors have failed to score in five of their last seven Serie A road trips, indicating a severe lack of the sustained attacking pressure required to force multiple corners at the Stadio Olimpico.
The potential risk to the Under 11.0 selection lies in Roma’s attacking approach. If Genoa sit entirely in a low block, Roma may be forced to repeatedly attack the flanks, potentially inflating the corner count through deflections. Additionally, without Donyell Malen, Roma might lack their usual central penetration, pushing the ball wide more frequently.
Despite this risk, the 11.0 threshold offers a reasonable margin of safety. If Roma establish a comfortable lead, they are equipped to monopolise possession centrally without forcing unnecessary wide attacks. Combined with Genoa’s limited capacity to win offensive corners, a controlled match state should keep the final total below 11.
M. Svilar – 2+ Saves
Evaluating the goalkeeper saves market requires looking at Mile Svilar’s established seasonal performance alongside Genoa’s offensive output. The Roma goalkeeper has been highly effective when called upon this season, completing 13 saves across his Serie A appearances and maintaining an impressive 81.2% save percentage.
This selection depends on Genoa generating enough threat to force the goalkeeper into action. The underlying metrics show that the visitors average 3.6 shots on target per game. If they maintain this average at the Stadio Olimpico, Roma’s goalkeeper will be required to handle a steady, manageable workload to hit the two-save threshold. With Genoa recently finding their scoring touch—netting twice in the opening 15 minutes against Fiorentina—they possess the capacity to test the target.
The most significant counterpoint to this selection is his availability. Roma have confirmed Svilar suffered a broken finger earlier this month, with Pier Luigi Gollini expected to continue in goal. Assuming the market adjusts or the selection remains active in a seasonal context, Svilar’s 81.2% save rate against Genoa’s 3.6 shots on target supports a minimum of two saves. His historical ability to intervene when his defence is breached is clearly documented.
18+ only. Please gamble responsibly. GambleAware.
Enhance your betting game with our daily free betting tips, predictions, and accumulators.
For more betting tips and news, check out:
Don’t forget to visit our Free Bets page for the best possible value from our Today’s Football Predictions, as well as our Predictions hub for all the best tips.
