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Arsenal vs Wigan Athletic: David Meets Goliath in North London. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Arsenal vs Wigan, which has been placed with William Hill:
Wales to Win
Full Time Result
Wales are a transformed technical unit, boasting 69% possession and a 89.8% pass success rate. Their high-intensity style under Craig Bellamy has seen them score 21 goals in eight qualifiers, averaging over 15 shots per game. While Bosnia-Herzegovina are resilient away from home, the Welsh tempo and home advantage in Cardiff should be enough to break the visitors' stubborn resistance and secure a vital home victory.
Both Teams To Score – Yes
Both Teams To Score
Patterns of play suggest goals at both ends are highly likely. Wales have scored in 14 straight qualifiers but have conceded 11 in eight games, showing defensive gaps. Bosnia-Herzegovina are aerially dominant, winning 16.1 duels per match, and with Edin Dzeko leading the line, they possess a direct route to goal that typically exploits Wales’ high-risk attacking system.
Harry Wilson over 1.5 shots on target
Over 1.5 shots on target
Wilson is the focal point of the Welsh attack, averaging a squad-high 7.77 rating. His high shot volume—66 attempts domestically this season—combined with Wales' 69% possession, ensures he will have ample opportunities to test the keeper. His xGOT of 8.93 suggests he is consistently accurate with his efforts from both open play and set-pieces.
Harry Wilson to score
To score
With five goals already this qualifying cycle and 10 goals for Fulham this season, Wilson is in the form of his life. He is a clinical finisher who frequently outperforms his xG metrics. Whether through late runs into the box or his elite free-kick delivery, Wilson is Wales' most probable goalscorer in a match where they are expected to dominate territory.
The magic of the FA Cup returns to the Emirates Stadium this Sunday as Arsenal play host to Wigan Athletic. On paper, it is a quintessential cup mismatch. Arsenal arrive as a side defined by elite discipline and tactical precision, looking to maintain their momentum. Meanwhile, Wigan Athletic travel south with a point to prove, carrying the underdog spirit that has historically seen them upset the odds in this very competition.
While the hosts are heavy favourites, the FA Cup fourth round has a habit of complicating reputations. For Arsenal, it is an exercise in professional dominance; for Wigan, it is a rare opportunity to test themselves against one of the most stable backlines in the country. With the stakes high and the atmosphere in North London building, this clash promises a fascinating tactical battle between a side that weaponises possession and an opponent built to absorb pressure and spring forward.
Brentford vs Arsenal Bet Builder Tip
Both Teams To Score (BTTS)
While Arsenal possess an elite defensive record, boasting 21 clean sheets across 40 matches and conceding a measly average of 0.65 goals per game, the prospect of both teams finding the net is more realistic than the league standings suggest. Arsenal’s recent 1-1 draw against Brentford served as a sharp reminder that control can vanish in a moment, and even a defence this stable can be breached when rhythm is disrupted. Furthermore, the hosts are navigating some significant injury concerns, with the absence of Bukayo Saka and Mikel Merino potentially forcing a reshuffle that could impact their usual defensive cohesion.
Wigan Athletic may be struggling for results, but they possess a specific set of tools designed to cause trouble. They average a goal per game and rely heavily on a style that involves attacking down the right and crossing often. This persistence in wide areas suggests they will ask questions of the Arsenal full-backs throughout the evening. They have already demonstrated their ability to find a way through in this competition, having edged past Preston North End to reach this stage.
In cup football, the “game state” often dictates the flow; if Arsenal take an early lead, Wigan are forced to abandon their defensive block and commit numbers forward, increasing the likelihood of a more open, end-to-end encounter. Wigan take over ten shots per match on average, reflecting a side that isn’t afraid to test the goalkeeper. Against an Arsenal side that might be missing key protective elements in midfield, the Latics have enough about them to snatch a goal, even if they spend much of the game on the back foot.
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Martin Zubimendi To Be Carded
The disciplinary battle is a fascinating subplot, particularly involving Arsenal’s Spanish midfielder Martin Zubimendi. While Arsenal have a clean disciplinary record as a team this season with zero red cards, Zubimendi often finds himself in the thick of the engine room battle. He has already accumulated four yellow cards in the Premier League this season, reflecting his role as the primary enforcer when the opposition attempts to break.
Zubimendi’s role is to act as the stabiliser, breaking up play and preventing counter-attacks. In a match where Arsenal are expected to dominate roughly 57% of the possession, Wigan’s primary strategy will be the fast break. When the Gunners lose the ball high up the pitch, Zubimendi is the man tasked with making the tactical foul to stop a transition before it becomes dangerous. Wigan’s tendency to use through balls to release their strikers means the Spaniard will be under constant pressure to track runners and make high-stakes tackles.
The contrast in discipline between the two clubs adds another layer of pressure. Wigan have recorded seven red cards this season, suggesting their matches often carry a high level of physical intensity and volatility. If the League One side manages to turn the game into a scrappy affair, Zubimendi will be forced into more frequent duels. Given that he has been dribbled past 15 times this term, he is occasionally left with little choice but to halt an opponent by any means necessary. In a high-pressure cup environment, a booking for the midfield anchor is a strong statistical probability.
Over 10 Corners
The statistical likelihood of a high corner count is supported by the clear tactical identity of both clubs. Arsenal are set-piece specialists, evidenced by the four goals they hit past Portsmouth from dead-ball situations in their previous cup outing. They average over 15 shots per game, and their relentless pressure in the final third naturally leads to deflections and clearances over the byline. With Wigan likely to deploy a defensive shape to contain the hosts, their defenders will be forced into repeated emergency clearances to deal with Arsenal’s high crossing volume.
Arsenal have already racked up 242 corners across 40 matches this season, showing a consistent ability to win restarts in dangerous areas. Their tendency to attack wide through Gabriel Martinelli and Noni Madueke ensures that the ball is constantly being forced into the corner quadrants. Martinelli, coming off a hat-trick of goals from set-plays recently, will be a primary target for these deliveries, further incentivising Arsenal to play for these situations.
Wigan also contribute significantly to this market. Their own tactical approach leans heavily on crossing, and they have recorded 197 corners of their own this season. They don’t just sit back; they try to win territory and use set plays to bridge the gap in quality. When you combine Arsenal’s territorial dominance with Wigan’s reliance on wide attacks and crosses, the total corner count is very likely to push into double figures. The game will likely be played in the wide channels, which is the perfect environment for a high-volume corner match.
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