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Sunday afternoon serves up a Premier League classic at the Emirates, as Mikel Arteta and Michael Carrick go head-to-head in a fixture that rarely needs hyping. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Arsenal vs Man Utd, which has been placed with Bet365:
Why this pick
Manchester United’s away record is the definition of "score and concede." They have found the net in 11 consecutive games in all competitions but have conceded in every single away match of the 2025/26 season. Arsenal are unbeaten at home (W14) and will score, but United’s recent dominance in this fixture (winning 5 of the last 6) suggests they will find a way through.
Why this pick
Mbeumo is deadly accurate, hitting the target with 58% of his 45 shots this season. He has already racked up 26 shots on target in 17 starts. His threat on the "fast break" (6 shots) aligns perfectly with how United will approach the game at the Emirates.
Why this pick
Saka is a volume monster, ranking in the 92nd percentile for shot attempts with 47 efforts this season. He has 20 shots on target in 20 games and faces a United defence that has zero away clean sheets. He is Arsenal’s primary attacking outlet and set-piece taker.
We are backing a high-octane affair here. United’s inability to defend away, combined with their potent attack, sets the stage for goals. We then pair this with the two most statistically active forwards on the pitch—Mbeumo (efficiency) and Saka (volume)—to test the keepers in an end-to-end contest.
While a massive 15-point chasm separates the two sides in the table, the mood music has shifted significantly in recent weeks.
Arsenal sit seven points clear at the summit, ruthless and efficient, but Manchester United arrive in North London with their tails up after halting Manchester City’s momentum in the derby. It is a battle of title aspirations against top-four desperation, and if recent history is anything to go by, we are in for a frantic afternoon.
Arsenal vs Man Utd Bet Builder Tip
Both Teams To Score
If you are hunting for a clean sheet on Sunday, you are likely looking in the wrong place. Manchester United’s away form under Michael Carrick has become one of the most reliable trends in the division: absolute chaos at both ends of the pitch.
The statistics for the Red Devils on the road are startling. United have conceded in 100% of their away matches in the 2025/26 campaign. They simply do not do boring away days, having failed to keep a single clean sheet on their travels all season. This defensive fragility is baked into their current identity, yet it hasn’t stopped them from picking up points because their attack is functioning at an elite level.
Carrick’s men have found the back of the net in each of their last 11 games across all competitions. Focusing specifically on their away form, they have scored in nine consecutive matches on the road. They possess the firepower to hurt anyone—as Manchester City discovered last week—but they lack the structural discipline to shut up shop.
Arsenal, meanwhile, are a juggernaut at the Emirates. They are unbeaten in all 16 home games this season, winning 14 of them. Fresh from a 3-1 dismantling of a defensively stubborn Inter Milan side at the San Siro, the Gunners’ attack is purring. With Viktor Gyokeres likely returning to the starting lineup after a rest in midweek, and Gabriel Jesus in scoring form, Arsenal will inevitably create chances against a United backline missing Matthijs de Ligt.
However, Arsenal fans will be wary of their recent record against this specific opponent. United have become a genuine bogey team for Arteta, winning five of the last six Premier League meetings, including an agonising 1-0 victory in the reverse fixture in August. That psychological edge, combined with United’s streak of scoring in every game, suggests the visitors will land a blow. Given United’s inability to defend on the road and Arsenal’s imperious home scoring record, goals at both ends looks the most logical outcome.
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Bryan Mbeumo: 2+ Shots on Target
Manchester United’s resurgence has been spearheaded by a frighteningly efficient frontline, and Bryan Mbeumo is currently the sharpest weapon in Carrick’s armoury. The Cameroon international was instrumental in the 2-0 victory over Manchester City, and his underlying numbers suggest he is overpriced to test the goalkeeper twice on Sunday.
Mbeumo is not just taking shots; he is hitting the target with remarkable consistency. In the Premier League this season, he boasts a shooting accuracy of 58%—landing 26 of his 45 shots on target. For context, that is a lethal conversion rate for a forward player operating in high-pressure zones.
The game state at the Emirates suits him perfectly. Arsenal will dominate possession, leaving space in transition for United to exploit. Mbeumo’s season shot map reveals that he thrives in these moments, with six of his efforts coming explicitly from fast breaks. He is direct, pacy, and clinical when isolated against defenders.
Furthermore, Mbeumo is averaging well over 1.5 shots on target per 90 minutes across his 17 starts. He is the focal point of the United attack, and with confidence flowing after his derby heroics, he will not hesitate to pull the trigger. Against an Arsenal defence that plays a high line, Mbeumo will get opportunities to race through and work David Raya.
Bukayo Saka: 2+ Shots on Target
While Mbeumo relies on efficiency, Bukayo Saka relies on relentless volume. The Arsenal winger is having another standout campaign, and his influence on this team’s attacking output is undeniable. He enters this fixture in the 92nd percentile for shot attempts among wingers and attacking midfielders, highlighting just how central he is to everything Arsenal do.
Saka has unleashed 47 shots in the Premier League this season. He is a constant menace, drifting inside from the right to unleash efforts from his favoured left foot—a zone from which he has taken 34 of his shots this term. While his accuracy is lower than Mbeumo’s at 40%, the sheer number of chances that fall his way makes him a prime candidate for multiple shots on target.
He has already registered 20 shots on target in 20 matches, averaging exactly one per game, but big matches at the Emirates tend to see his output spike. With United conceding in every away game this season, and likely fielding a rotated defence due to injuries, Saka will have the beating of his full-back. Whether it’s from open play, cutting inside the box, or standing over set-pieces (he has scored penalty goals this season), Saka has multiple routes to goal. In a game Arsenal need to win to maintain their title cushion, expect their talisman to take responsibility and test the keeper frequently.
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