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World Cup 2026 · MetLife Stadium · Tue 16 June · 20:00
Michael Olise
Over 0.5 Shots on Target
France v Senegal · Player Shots on Target · Group Stage
New & existing customers · T&Cs apply · 18+ · Max stakes apply
Odds correct at time of publishing and subject to change.
Why 1/1 is an extraordinary price
From 4/9 to 1/1 — the market is giving away value
At its standard price of 4/9, this market implies Olise has roughly a 69% chance of registering at least one shot on target. At the Super Boosted price of 1/1, bet365 are now quoting the same outcome at just a 50% implied chance — despite Olise averaging 1.56 shots on target per Bundesliga game this season across 32 appearances. He has achieved this threshold in the vast majority of his appearances all year. This is bet365 handing you genuine, structural value on a player who is already one of Europe’s most dangerous wide threats, now operating on the grandest stage of all.
Michael Olise — 2025/26 season in data
Michael Olise · Bayern München
Olise has been the standout wide player in European football this season. Across 32 Bundesliga appearances he has compiled 101 shots — over three per game — with exactly half landing on target, giving him an average of 1.56 shots on target per match. His 8.09 FotMob rating for the campaign places him among the top-rated attackers in the division, while his 15 goals and 19 assists underline a player operating at an elite level in both finishing and creation.
Most pertinently for this World Cup bet, he arrives in scorching international form. His most recent appearance for France delivered a hat-trick against Northern Ireland on 9 June — three goals, nine shots, 82 minutes — confirming that his domestic brilliance translates directly onto the international stage when given the licence to attack.
At the World Cup, Olise is expected to operate from the right flank, serving as one of the primary outlets for a French side that averages 21.5 shots per game as a team. Against a Senegal defensive block that will look to restrict central corridors, the wide areas become even more important — and Olise’s directness, left-foot delivery and elite shot volume make him the most likely individual to trouble the scoreboard in terms of attempts on goal.
Olise’s 5 most recent matches — shots on target in brackets:
France v Senegal — Group I, MetLife Stadium
The 2026 World Cup opens its Group I account with one of the tournament’s most eagerly awaited fixtures. France arrive at the MetLife Stadium in New York having made clear their intention to go one better than the Qatar final four years ago, while Senegal — unbeaten across an extraordinary run of 41 consecutive matches — arrive with the conviction and collective spirit to shock a genuine heavyweight from the off.
Why Olise will be central to France’s attacking plan
Senegal’s defensive organisation under their current setup is built to be compact, with an energetic central midfield block designed to shut down the spaces through the middle of the pitch. If those channels get closed, France’s natural response is to push the ball wide and use their attacking fullbacks and wide forwards to stretch the opposition defensive line.
That tactical reality is excellent news for Olise. Operating on the right flank, he is the player most likely to receive possession in the areas where Senegal are most vulnerable — the wide channels — and his ability to drive inside onto his stronger left foot and generate direct shots means he is almost structurally guaranteed to threaten the target.
France average 21.5 shots per game as a side, with over two-thirds of their attempts coming from inside the penalty box. With Kylian Mbappe, Marcus Thuram and Olise all competing for shooting positions, the volume is enormous — and Olise’s shot-creating numbers (79 chances created, 27 big chances this season) confirm he finds the ball in dangerous areas almost every time he takes the pitch.
The Senegal defensive challenge
Senegal have kept 13 clean sheets in 19 matches and concede an average of just 0.37 goals per game — defensive numbers that rank among the best at this tournament. However, their approach relies heavily on a disciplined midfield press and a back four that defends deep when threatened.
This shape actually creates space out wide — precisely the zones Olise exploits most ruthlessly. While Senegal’s backline, captained by the experienced Kalidou Koulibaly, is organised, dealing with Olise’s combination of direct running, left-foot power and rapid change of direction in the open stages of a World Cup is a different proposition to anything they have faced in their recent unbeaten run. At least one shot on target from the Bayern winger looks not just likely, but probable.
FAQs — bet365 Olise Super Boost
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Olise Over 0.5 SOT at 1/1 — don’t miss it
bet365 have created rare, structural value by boosting a near-certainty to Evens. Get on before kick-off at MetLife Stadium on Tuesday 16 June.
Claim the Super Boost at bet365 →18+ · Please gamble responsibly · BeGambleAware.org
Odds subject to change · Max stakes apply · #Ad · T&Cs apply
