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Premier League Outright Betting
2026/27 Outright Insights
Deep dive into market trends, betting slip breakdowns & transfer odds
View Latest PL OddsOdds correct as of July 28, 2026 and subject to change.
Anatomy of the 2026/27 ante-post market
As the 2026/27 Premier League kickoff approaches, bet365’s trading floor has processed over 50,000 outright wagers across title, relegation, top-four, and Golden Boot markets.
Below, we examine where the money has settled, highlighting bet365’s exclusive bet slip statistics and expert insight ahead of matchday one.
Best backed teams to win the league
Arsenal (6/4) enter the 2026/27 campaign as firm fan favourites to retain their crown. Having captured their first league title in over two decades last season, Mikel Arteta’s side has absorbed an overwhelming 34.4% of all title wagers placed at bet365.
| Team | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Arsenal | 34.4% | 6/4 |
| Manchester City | 23.4% | 11/4 |
| Manchester United | 13.8% | 6/1 |
| Liverpool | 8.9% | 5/1 |
| Chelsea | 8.6% | 9/1 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 4.3% | 20/1 |
Manchester City (11/4) represent the second most backed club, making up 23.4% of outright slips. Entering their maiden season under new manager Enzo Maresca, City aim to resolve a rare two-year top-flight trophy drought. Meanwhile, Manchester United (6/1) have quietly attracted 13.8% of wagers, outstripping third-favourite Liverpool (5/1) on total slip volume.
Back Premier League Winner →Best backed teams to be relegated
The battle to avoid relegation looks merciless. Newly promoted Hull City (1/4) dominate the market, commanding a massive 28.29% of all relegation bets as punters overwhelmingly predict a quick return to the Championship.
| Team | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Hull City | 28.29% | 1/4 |
| Ipswich Town | 15.81% | 4/6 |
| Newcastle United | 13.13% | 20/1 |
| Manchester City | 10.87% | 12/1 |
| Sunderland | 5.71% | 11/4 |
| Coventry City | 5.29% | 8/13 |
The biggest headline in the drop zone market belongs to Newcastle United (20/1). The Magpies are currently the third most backed club to go down (13.13% of slips), reflecting widespread fan concern over an underwhelming summer window following missed deals for Victor Munoz, Johan Manzambi, and goalkeeper James Trafford.
A speculative 10.87% of bettors have also backed Manchester City at 12/1 for relegation, anticipating potential disciplinary sanction fallout.
View Relegation Odds →Best backed teams to finish in the Top 4
With Champions League places carrying immense financial weight, over 8,600 wagers have been recorded on bet365’s Top 4 Finish market. Rebuilt under Xabi Alonso, Chelsea (10/11) lead all clubs with 20.32% of total bets.
| Team | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Chelsea | 20.32% | 10/11 |
| Manchester United | 18.65% | 4/7 |
| Manchester City | 14.61% | 2/7 |
| Arsenal | 12.39% | 1/8 |
| Tottenham Hotspur | 10.89% | 3/1 |
| Liverpool | 10.13% | 4/9 |
Manchester United (4/7) follow closely behind with 18.65% of wagers. Meanwhile, Tottenham Hotspur (3/1) offer the largest odds among the six most backed teams, attracting 10.89% of slips as bettors sniff value on Spurs securing a return to Europe’s elite tier.
Bet On Top 4 Finish →Best backed player to be top goalscorer
The Golden Boot market is heavily one-sided. Manchester City talisman Erling Haaland (4/6) commands an astonishing 61.83% of all top goalscorer bets after winning the award in three of his first four campaigns in England.
| Player (Club) | % of Slips | Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Erling Haaland (Man City) | 61.83% | 4/6 |
| Alexander Isak (Liverpool) | 6.00% | 9/1 |
| Benjamin Sesko (Man Utd) | 4.25% | 20/1 |
| Joao Pedro (Chelsea) | 4.20% | 16/1 |
| Viktor Gyokeres (Arsenal) | 3.96% | 20/1 |
| Cole Palmer (Chelsea) | 3.85% | 40/1 |
Liverpool striker Alexander Isak (9/1) ranks second with 6.00% of wagers. Despite an underwhelming debut year at Anfield (3 goals in 14 league games), over 1,000 punters are tipping the Swede to bounce back under Arne Slot. Man United newcomer Benjamin Sesko (20/1) and Arsenal target Viktor Gyokeres (20/1) also feature prominently.
Back Golden Boot Winner →Key Player Transfer Odds & Rumours
With the summer transfer window entering its defining phase, bet365 has priced up potential destinations for several high-profile stars:
Adam Wharton (Palace)
Crystal Palace remain 4/6 favourites to retain the English midfielder, with Chelsea (7/2) and Liverpool (6/1) monitoring.
Rodri (Man City)
Real Madrid sit heavily odds-on at 2/7 to land the Spanish midfield general, with Man City priced at 5/2 to keep him.
Julian Alvarez (Atleti)
Atletico Madrid lead the chase at 1/3, while Barcelona (3/1) and Arsenal (5/1) remain outside possibilities.
Marcus Rashford (Man Utd)
Man United hold 1/2 odds to keep Rashford, though Aston Villa (5/1) and Chelsea (5/1) are keeping close tabs.
Rafael Leao (AC Milan)
Turkish giants Fenerbahce (4/6) and Galatasaray (7/2) lead the market for the Portuguese winger.
Junior Kroupi (Lorient)
Bournemouth are 10/11 favourites to sign the French starlet, ahead of Barcelona (9/4) and Man City (13/2).
Premier League Outrights Q&A
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