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Monday night football returns to the King Power Stadium as Leicester City host West Bromwich Albion in a clash defined by mid-table frustration and defensive fragility. Here’s our Bet Builder pick for Leicester vs West Brom, which has been placed with Bet365:
Omar Marmoush to record over 1 shot on target
Shots on Target
The Egyptian striker is a focal point in a City team that has scored 105 goals. With 24 shots this season and 17 coming from inside the box, his high volume makes a shot on target highly likely against a Liverpool defence missing Alisson and several key defenders.
Nico O'Reilly to record over 1 shot on target
Shots on Target
Following his two-goal heroics in the EFL Cup against Arsenal, O'Reilly is a player in peak form. His 10 shots on target and significant aerial threat (10 headers) should exploit a Liverpool side that is weak at defending set-pieces.
Tijjani Reijnders to record over 1 shot on target
Shots on Target
A midfield threat with 37% shooting accuracy, Reijnders has already netted five times this season. His ability to strike from distance (14 shots from outside the box) makes him a constant danger to a depleted Liverpool backline.
Savinho to record over 1 shot on target
Shots on Target
Boasting an incredible 64% shot accuracy, Savinho is City’s most precise finisher. All 14 of his shots have come from inside the penalty area, ensuring that his attempts are high-quality and likely to test the keeper multiple times.
Leicester begin the round in 13th, desperately searching for the consistency that has eluded them, while the Baggies sit perilously in 18th, just three points behind but weighed down by a dreadful run of eight consecutive away defeats.
This isn’t just a battle for points; it’s a collision of styles. Leicester dominate the ball with 52.3% possession and look to carve openings through patient build-up, whereas West Brom are surprisingly trigger-happy, raining down shots despite their lower league standing. With the reverse fixture ending in a gritty 1-1 draw back in September, the margins here are razor-thin. The floodlights are on, the pressure is mounting, and the stats point toward a chaotic 90 minutes rather than a tactical masterclass.
Leicester vs West Brom Bet Builder Tip
Both Teams to Score
The most glaring narrative in this fixture is the inability of either side to keep the back door shut. Leicester City’s season has been a rollercoaster of high-scoring chaos. They average 1.42 goals scored per game, but they completely undo that good work by conceding an average of 1.50 goals every time they step onto the pitch. This defensive generosity is not a fluke; it is a habit. In 11 of their last 12 Championship matches, both teams have found the net. The Foxes play a high-variance game where they commit bodies forward, score goals, and inevitably leave gaps that opponents are all too happy to exploit.
West Bromwich Albion might be struggling on the road, but they are not shy about attacking. In fact, the Baggies are statistically more aggressive in the final third than their hosts. West Brom average 13.9 shots per game compared to Leicester’s 11.7. This is a massive indicator of intent. Even when results aren’t going their way, they are generating volume. Crucially, they don’t just blast away from distance; 68% of West Brom’s shots come from inside the box. They get into the danger zones repeatedly, and against a Leicester defence that leaks goals at a rate of one-and-a-half per game, that volume will eventually translate into chances.
The tactical mismatch here is specific and dangerous for the hosts. Leicester are terrible at defending set pieces. It is a noted weakness that has plagued them all season. West Brom, conversely, thrive in this exact area, boasting a strength in attacking dead-ball situations. When you combine Leicester’s inability to clear their lines with West Brom’s proficiency in the air, you have a recipe for an away goal.
However, West Brom are far from secure themselves. They have conceded 33 goals in 25 league games, and their “non-aggressive” defensive style often invites pressure. Leicester’s attack, led by the creative force of Abdul Fatawu (seven assists) down the right flank, is perfectly set up to punish a West Brom side that struggles to defend wide areas. With Leicester scoring 35 goals this term and West Brom shipping goals for fun away from home, a clean sheet for either side feels like a fantasy. The smart money says the nets at both ends will ripple.
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Jordan Ayew: 2+ Shots on Target
Leading the line for Leicester City is the experienced Jordan Ayew, a player who serves as the physical and technical pivot for the Foxes’ attack. While his goal tally of four might look modest, his underlying activity paints the picture of a striker who is constantly involved in the dirty work of creating shots. Ayew has registered 33 shots this season, making him a primary outlet for a team that likes to work the ball into the penalty area.
The absence of Harry Winks in midfield through suspension changes the complexion of Leicester’s build-up. Without Winks to recycle possession centrally, Leicester will likely lean even harder on their established strength: attacking down the right wing. This plays directly into Ayew’s hands. As Abdul Fatawu and Ricardo Pereira overload the flank to stretch West Brom’s left side, Ayew’s job is to occupy the centre-backs and find space in the box for the cut-back. His shot map confirms this tendency, with 18 of his efforts coming from inside the 18-yard box. He isn’t loitering on the periphery; he is right in the mixer where the highest-quality chances fall.
Ayew has already tested goalkeepers 12 times this season, and he faces a West Brom defence that is physically vulnerable. The Baggies concede an average of 1.31 goals per game and are prone to individual errors. Ayew is excellent at drawing fouls—winning 37 this season—and turning defenders in tight spaces. Against a backline that has lost eight straight away matches, confidence will be brittle. If Leicester dominate territory as expected, Ayew will be the man on the end of the final pass, and he has the quality to force the goalkeeper into action at least twice.
Aune Heggebø: 2+ Shots on Target
If West Brom are to get anything from this game, Aune Heggebø will be the catalyst. The Norwegian forward is having a standout individual campaign in a struggling team, netting eight goals and proving himself to be a handful for any Championship defence. His shot volume is immense: 43 shots this season. To put that in perspective, he is taking significantly more shots than anyone in the Leicester squad. He doesn’t need a second invitation to fire at goal.
The stylistic fit for Heggebø in this specific matchup is nearly perfect. He is a monster in the air, winning 68 aerial duels this season and recording 21 headed shots. This is where Leicester’s nightmares become reality. As mentioned, Leicester are woeful at defending set pieces. Every corner and wide free-kick West Brom win is a massive opportunity for Heggebø to dominate a Leicester marker and head on target. With West Brom’s strength lying in attacking these situations, the game plan will likely be designed to feed Heggebø high balls.
Furthermore, Heggebø is incredibly disciplined about where he shoots from. A massive 41 of his 43 shots have been taken from inside the box. He is a classic penalty-box poacher who lurks in the high-percentage zones. Recent form backs this up; he scored braces against both Swansea and Coventry in late November/early December, showing he can get hot and fire off multiple accurate efforts in a single game.
West Brom average nearly 14 shots a game, and Heggebø is the focal point of that artillery. Facing a Leicester defence that has conceded 37 times and is prone to errors, the Norwegian will get his chances. If he gets the service, hitting the target twice is well within his capabilities.
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