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Can Gerwyn Price set the tone as the evening session takes centre stage at Ally Pally?
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The PDC Tour’s return to Alexandra Palace rolls on from Thursday, December 11, 2025, through to Saturday, January 3, 2026, and day six brings that familiar split-screen feel: an afternoon session at 1pm and an evening session at 7pm, live on Sky Sports.
Read on for the best bet for the PDC World Darts Championship and the analysis in addition to the best betting offers to take full advantage of.
Darts betting tips: PDC World Darts Championship Day Six Best Bet
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Price’s higher 2025 average and stronger 180 rate point to control, but the match shape suggests a potentially quick finish if he settles early. With Gawlas operating at a lower baseline, the under leans on limited legs rather than low quality. Risk rises if it turns scrappy.
- Gerwyn Price’s 2025 three-dart average is listed at 97.75.
- Adam Gawlas’s 2025 three-dart average is listed at 85.93.
- Price’s 2025 180s per leg is listed at 0.31 (Gawlas 0.23).
Gerwyn Price vs Adam Gawlas — bet365 Market Snapshot
Tue 16 Dec, 21:00 • Alexandra Palace, London • Swipe through key markets with illustrative probabilities and example odds.
The numbers point to Price as the stronger scoring presence, with a meaningful gap in 2025 three-dart averages and a higher 180s-per-leg rate.
A clear edge on 2025 scoring indicators can translate into a controlled finish, but the longer the match runs, the more variance creeps in.
If the favourite starts sharply and keeps the match tidy, the contest can compress quickly; extra sets and scrappier legs naturally increase volatility.
Price’s 2025 three-dart average (97.75) and 180s per leg (0.31) set a demanding pace; Gawlas (85.93, 0.23) needs key moments to swing his way.
It’s a day that blends the hungry with the hardened. Four first-round ties run in the afternoon, with Scott Williams and Chris Dobey the standout names on paper, before the night session introduces bigger seeding and bigger expectation. Danny Noppert steps into the spotlight in the evening, and it’s the turn of 2021 world champion Gerwyn Price to begin his bid for a second crown, taking on Adam Gawlas in the penultimate match of the day. Elsewhere, Ricardo Pietreczko meets Jose de Sousa, and Niko Springer faces Joe Comito, adding a different kind of intrigue: newer stories, different rhythms, and a stage that tends to magnify every wobble.
Scoring Baseline: Three-dart Average (2025)
A simple snapshot of how each player scores across a leg: Price’s 2025 average sets a higher baseline, while Gawlas is chasing that pace on the biggest stage.
When Price is landing his first dart to set up clean routes, the pressure quickly shifts to the other side of the board.
If the early legs get away from him, the task becomes less about moments and more about sustaining a higher level for longer.
Power Scoring: 180s per Leg (2025)
This rate helps frame the match’s scoring ceiling. Price carries the stronger 180 output per leg, while Gawlas needs timely bursts to keep contact.
A higher 180 rate can flip legs quickly, especially if the match stretches into extra sets.
He can hit maximums, but the match shape often depends on whether those bursts arrive in the right legs.
Quick Profile: Average + 180 Rate (2025)
Two headline indicators in one place: the three-dart average sets the floor, while 180s per leg hints at how often the scoring jumps a gear.
When the baseline stays high and the maximums arrive, legs can disappear quickly.
Keeping legs close matters: the longer it stays tight, the more the match can swing on a couple of key visits.
Ally Pally doesn’t just test your throwing arm; it tests your ability to keep your head when the room is loud, the moments are sharp, and a single loose visit can turn into a set slipping away. That’s why the day-six menu matters: it’s first-round darts, but it rarely feels like “just” a first round when you’re trying to settle into the biggest room of the year.
Keeping it clear: one selection per match
There’s a temptation, on a schedule like this, to scatter attention across every angle and every market. We go the other way. The editorial stance is simple: we publish ONE primary pick per event to keep things clear and accountable. It doesn’t mean every match is screaming out for a play, and it doesn’t mean the pick is “certain” — it means we commit to one view when the listed metrics and the match shape point in a consistent direction.
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With that lens on, the evening session is the obvious place to focus. Noppert’s scoring profile, Price’s class gap against Gawlas, and Springer’s edge on the figures available over Comito all suggest matches where control and tempo can matter as much as fireworks. If the favourite imposes themselves early, the night can become less about drama and more about efficiency — and that’s where some of the cleaner angles often live.
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Under 6.5 180s in Gerwyn Price v Adam Gawlas
Gerwyn Price starting a campaign is always a moment in itself. He doesn’t drift into tournaments quietly; he tends to arrive with intent, and this particular opener sets him against Adam Gawlas, a player whose recent year has unfolded largely away from the main Tour grind. That matters because the Ally Pally stage isn’t a neutral venue. It’s a different kind of examination: brighter lights, thicker atmosphere, and an opponent across from you who doesn’t need an invitation to accelerate.
The logic behind going under on maximums is rooted in how a mismatch can play out when the stronger player lands their first punch early. If Price takes charge of the scoring and, crucially, converts on the outer ring without needing repeated visits, the match can shorten. Short matches often don’t give “both sides” enough time to run up a big 180 count, even when one player is capable of chunking them in. The listed metrics underline the starting point. Price’s 2025 three-dart average is 97.75, and his 180s per leg sits at 0.31. Gawlas, by contrast, is listed at 85.93 for the three-dart average with 0.23 for 180s per leg. In plain terms, you’re looking at one player operating at a significantly higher baseline while also carrying the heavier scoring threat.
That doesn’t automatically scream “over” on maximums, because the under can be supported by two plausible match scripts. The first is the swift, businesslike version: Price gets in front, keeps his doubles tidy, and the sets move quickly with fewer legs overall. Fewer legs means fewer opportunities for any 180 line to be threatened, even if Price has a couple of bursts. The second script is slightly messier but still under-friendly: Price controls the match without needing to chase huge numbers, while Gawlas doesn’t contribute enough maximums to inflate the total. Gawlas’s own 180 rate of 0.23 per leg suggests he can hit them, but it doesn’t suggest a player likely to stack them at a pace that forces the total upward on his own.
There’s also a psychological angle that fits the numbers. In an opener, especially when the class gap is obvious, a top player can be more focused on clean process than on showreel scoring. Price doesn’t need a 180-heavy performance to win if his first dart sets up tidy routes and he’s punishing any loose legs from the other side. If that happens, the match can feel like a controlled run rather than a shoot-out.
What could go wrong is equally straightforward. One early scrappy set — missed doubles, leg steals, or Price taking time to find his range — can add legs and add chances. And if the match stretches, Price’s 0.31 180s-per-leg rate starts to matter in a different way: volume. Give a prolific scorer enough trips to the board and totals can climb quickly. There’s also the possibility that Gawlas contributes more than the headline gap implies, landing just enough maximums to push the number toward the ceiling. The under doesn’t need a “poor” performance; it needs the match to keep moving.
Still, with the expectation of a clear gap in class and the listed metrics pointing to a one-sided flow, the under on 180s is a reasonable way to align with a likely quick finish without asking for anything dramatic.
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