RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund predictions for this Wednesday’s DFB Pokal quarter-final. Can Leipzig bounce back after a difficult period with a win over Dortmund? Read on for our free betting tips and match preview.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund
Match Live On Wed, 5th April at 7:45pm. In:
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RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Predictions

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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Key Stats
– Leipzig has shipped 11 goals in their last three games.
– Both teams have scored in four of the last six matches played by Dortmund.
– Marco Reus has an average of 0.9 fouls and 1.4 tackles per game.

Who Will Bounce Back?

It has been a very up-and-down season so far for RB Leipzig. With Domenico Tedesco, they struggled initially, with only 3 wins in their first 11 games, but after that, they went on a run, under Marco Rose, of 18 games unbeaten in all competitions.

During that stretch, they were even capable of drawing against Manchester City in the first leg of the Champions League, and things did look bright for them. All changed, however, in the second leg, when they suffered a humiliating 7-0 defeat, with Haaland, who must still be in their nightmares.

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It is very interesting to see how a single game can sometimes change the course of the whole season in one way or another. As we have seen in the UK with Manchester United, the 7-0 defeat against Liverpool has caused them a drop in form, and the same has happened to Leipzig, who following the defeats against Mainz and Bochum are now in serious danger of reaching the top four, which is their primary objective this season.

Can the DFB Pokal Cup help them? They won the competition last time, and surely a win in the quarterfinal against Borussia Dortmund will go a long way towards regaining some confidence.

Dortmund have been pretty consistent in recent years by finishing either in 2nd or 3rd place in the Bundesliga, but this season they looked capable of winning the title for the first time since the 2011/12 season.

After 25 rounds, they even reached the top spot, but in the last weekend they lost a crucial match 4-2 against Bayern Munich and moved back into second place again. Similarly to Leipzig, it would be interesting to see if that defeat would actually affect them.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Betting Tips: Over 3.5 Goals

Confidence Level


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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

Both teams have been very prolific this season, and I don’t see this changing today. Leipzig, who have lost four of their last six matches, will be very motivated to bounce back at home in a competition they won last year, and goals are likely to come in abundance.

Leipzig has shipped 11 goals in their last three games, but they are normally pretty effective in attack if we exclude the recent games. Six of the last seven head-to-head clashes between these two teams have seen both teams to score at least three goals, while both teams have scored in four of the last six matches played by Dortmund.

Although the Over 2.5 is a safer option, I believe that we will see more goals as both teams are likely to make some limited rotations for this cup game. So the value is on the Over 3.5 goals as far as I am concerned.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Value Bet: Marco Reus to be shown a card

Confidence Level


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Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

For the value bet for today, I have been looking at the cards market, where Marco Reus to be shown a card has been boosted by BetVictor for this clash at 15/4 from 17/5, at the moment of writing. Leipzig have quality players in attack and midfield, and Marco Reus will have the duty to control the likes of Dani Olmo to create opportunities for the likes of Timo Werner and Andre Silva.

The Spaniard is one of the most fouled players in the Bundesliga, and Marco Reus has already been booked twice this season and has an average of 0.9 fouls and 1.4 tackles per game. The referee will be Felix Brych, who is not shy about getting his cards out, with an average of 4.24 per game. Backing Reus to get carded looks valuable in a match that we anticipate to be nervy, with both teams keen to progress and bounce back from recent disappointments.

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund Correct Score Prediction: Draw 2-2

Confidence Level


£10 return £75

Odds corrects at time of posting and subject to change

When these teams play, the games are often exciting and have a lot of goals, which is fun to watch for neutral fans. In six of the past seven competitive head-to-head encounters, both teams scored and the game featured at least three goals. Therefore, we anticipate a similar outcome in this upcoming match, as both teams possess strong attacking capabilities, and the 2-2 draw makes appeals.

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Gram Dodd
15-year veteran in the sports writing industry who has written betting previews for NFL, golf, football, racing, and tennis. Sports event of all time: the Miracle of Istanbul.