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Qatar Goodwood Festival Day 4 Tips

After tipping 8/1, 10/3 and 6/4 winners yesterday at Goodwood, Steve Ryder previews the action from the Qatar Goodwood Festival on 4th August. P&L +5.69

1:50 Lord Yeats 6/1 (1pt ew)

On Wednesday evening, I posted an e/w trixie with Lord Yeats at 10/1 for this race on my twitter account (SteveRyder13). Since the ground has then softened significantly at Goodwood, he has been well backed into as short as 4/1 with some firms. Lord Yeats is the most solid option on the soft ground with all of his other rivals either unraced or not suited by the ground. Lord Yeats won on his reappearance on soft ground at York when making all of the running in a handicap and followed up that victory with a win in a listed race at Newmarket when again making all the running on Good to Soft ground. He beat Second Step by a neck at Newmarket receiving 3lb from that rival and today they race off level weights in a Group 3. Although Second Step is weighted to reverse that form, Lord Yeats will be more suited by the conditions at Goodwood. He looks sure to get an uncontested lead and the return to softer ground will be in his favour so Lord Yeats is a confident e/w selection.

2:25 Make Time 7/2 (1pt)

Make Time was another horse in my e/w trixie, posted at 12/1 (Rule 4 45p) and is now trading at as short as 11/4. He is another who is guaranteed to enjoy the soft ground having won a maiden impressively by 5 lengths on soft ground at Salisbury last season. He disappointed in the Greenham Stakes on Good to Firm ground on his reappearance this season but went off a short price at 15/2 for a horse trained by David Menuiser showing he is highly regarded. Make Time then bounced back to winning ways last time when winning a handicap at Sandown last time and has been raised 12lb by handicapper for that. He then steps back into Group 3 company today and although he has 9lb to find with Beat The Bank on official ratings, we know that Make Time will go on the soft ground compared to Beat The Bank being unraced on ground softer than good.

3:00 Withernsea 16/1

The draw is always a huge factor in these big field handicaps, and based on yesterdays races it looks best to be drawn low. Withernsea is drawn 7 in this race and is well proven on soft ground. He won on Heavy ground at Doncaster in 2015 and won at Newbury on soft ground in May this year. He is an inconsistent horse but bounced back to form when finishing 3rd in the Gigaset International at Ascot last time at 22/1. He runs in this race off the same mark and I think he is worth chancing at another big price with draw and ground to suit.

3:35 Profitable 11/4 (4pt)

Profitable was the final horse backed in the e/w trixie at 4/1. He has also been well backed into 5/2 due to having form on the softer going compared his market rivals. Battash has been impressive on his last two starts at Sandown but these were both on Good to Firm ground when racing against the rail. Marsha is unraced on ground softer than good and has slightly disappointed in her last two runs when beaten favourite at Royal Ascot and at 1/2 at the Curragh. Profitable won 3 Group races in a row last season winning the Palace House (GS), Temple Stakes (GS) and King Stand (Soft). His form then slightly tailed off later in the season on the faster ground. Profitable finished best of these rivals last time in the King Stand when finishing 2nd behind Lady Aurelia on Good to Firm ground showing that he is still in the same form as last season. As he is suited by the ground and in good form, Profitable rates a confident selection in the King George Stakes.

4:10 Holy Tiber 7/1 ew

This looks a really open Nursery but a chance is taken on Holy Tiber as he is confirmed to be suited by the soft ground. All 3 of his starts have been on the ground, resulting in two victories and a 6th placed finish. His opening mark of 80 looks fair and he looks a solid e/w selection.

4:40 Al Jazi 7/2 (1pt)

French trainer Francois Rohaut obviously targets this race as he has won the last two renewals of the race. He won the race in 2015 with Amy Eria at 33/1 and then repeated the victory with Al Jazi at 12/1 last year. Al Jazi runs in the race again this year following a win in a listed race in France and a 9th place finish in the Diamond Jubilee at Royal Ascot. She has winning form on ground ranging from Good to Firm to Heavy ground and looks sure to go well.

5:15 Londinium 7/2

Londinium was an impressive winner on Wednesday at Goodwood on soft ground. He bids to follow up under a 6lb penalty and if he runs to same form he looks sure to go close. Mark Johnston campaigns his horses aggressively throughout the season so they are often suited by running frequently. This looks to be the case with Londinium as his victory on Wednesday came only 3 days after his previous run.

Betting Tips:

1:50 Lord Yeats 6/1 (1pt ew) click here for best odds

2:25 Make Time 7/2 (1pt) click here for best odds

3:35 Profitable 11/4 (4pt) click here for best odds

4:40 Al Jazi 7/2 (1pt) click here for best odds