After a couple of near misses on Day 1 of the festival, Steve Ryder is back to preview the second day of the Qatar Goodwood Festival on Wednesday 2nd August. P&L -2.29 pt
1:50 Taws- 12/1 (1pt ew)
Taws runs in this race off a mark of 83, 7lb lower than when finishing 2nd in 2015. At the end of the 2015 season she was transferred from Rod Millman’s yard to go to David Pipe for a hurdling campaign. This proved a disappointment with her not winning a race for Pipe and resulted in her returning to Rod Millman last month. She has since opened her account over hurdles and returns to the flat off a very generous mark in a race we know suits her well from the past.
2:25 Secret Advisor 5/1 (1pt ew)
Secret Advisor comes into the race on the back of a superb run in the Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot last time where he stayed on late to finish 3rd. The form of this race has taken a few boosts since, most notably with the winner Stradavarius winning the Goodwood Cup yesterday. Others include the 4th Belgravia winning at Leopardstown and the 6th Desert Skyline finishing a close second in a Group 3 at Newmarket. The form of that race looks a lot stronger than the King George V Stakes at Royal Ascot, the race in which many of his rivals come from in this race. William Buick has chosen to ride him of the 3 Charlie Appleby horses and he looks sure to go well despite a 9lb rise in the handicap for his last effort.
3:00 Invincible Army 11/2 (1pt ew)
This race looks like it will turn into a speed duel for the lead between Happy Like A Fool and Havana Grey. Happy Like A Fool is a typical 2 year old filly from Wesley Ward who breaks well from the stall and tries to use her early pace to get others in trouble. She finished second in the Queen Mary at Royal Ascot but the form of that race has taken plenty of knocks since. Havana Grey’s only disappointment was at Royal Ascot when he raced midfield in the Coventry Stakes when only finishing 10th. He then bounced back at Sandown when allowed to dictate from the front, hopefully with the two of them in the line-up it will mean they will have a battle to lead and set the race up for a closer. This will hopefully be Invincible Army. He made a superb debut when second at Goodwood behind Masar who placed in the Chesham at Royal Ascot, thus showing he handles the track. He then bolted up in a maiden at Newmarket before returning to the same track to finish 4th when sent off favourite for the July Stakes over 6f. Invincible Army drops to 5f for the first time today but with the forecast rain and guaranteed strong pace I feel this will suit him perfectly.
3:35 Churchill 7/4 (5pt)
Churchill is a maximum point bet in Sussex Stakes to maintain the fantastic record 3 year olds have in the race. 3 year olds receive 7lb from the older horses in this race and they have an incredible record with 7 of the last 9 winners being from that age group. The only two older horses to win were Frankel who won at 1/20 in 2012 and Solow who won at 2/5 in 2015. Churchill was champion 2 year old last year winning 4 Group races before adding the 2000 Guineas at Newmarket and Irish 2000 Guineas to his record this season. He then proved a huge disappointment when only finishing 4th in the St James Palace Stakes at Royal Ascot but this clearly was not Churchill running to form. He finished behind Lancaster Bomber that day, having previously beaten that rival 5 times in the past and although no major reason has come to light for his disappointment, he would not be running unless they felt he was back to his best. Ribchester looks a worthy rival to him after winning the Lockinge Stakes and Queen Anne Stakes so far this season, but the form of both of these races could be questioned. Deauville who finished 3rd in the Queen Anne has been beaten in a Group 3 next time out and until Breton Rock won at 50/1 in the Lennox Stakes there hadn’t been a single winner come out of the Lockinge Stakes bar the winner. With the price disparity between both horses far too big in my opinion, and with Churchill receiving 7lb from his rival, I feel Churchill is worth backing to bounce back in what looks the typical ‘Duel on the Downs’.
4:10 Dizzy G 28/1 e/w
A chance is taken on Dizzy G who cost a huge 115,000 euros at the breeze up sales and these are often very forward for their debuts as a result. She is drawn in 18 so she will be up against the rail which will be of huge benefit on debut and she may run well at a huge price. Please not that a 100/1 won on debut in the maiden yesterday!
4:45 Skiffle 8/1 e/w
Skiffle burst onto the scene when winning a listed race on her second start over the course and distance last season. As a result she was sent off a 6/1 second favourite for the Oaks behind Minding but could only finish 5th in the end. She has disappointed in her two runs this season at Newmarket but an application of first time cheekpieces, return to Goodwood, and return to 10f may spark her back into the form of her win last season.
5:50 War Glory 8/1 e/w
War Glory finished a good 5th in the Silver Bunbury Cup at Newmarket when the 4 who finished ahead of him all raced on the stands side. War Glory raced in the centre of the track that day and won ‘his race’ and runs here today off the same mark. The form of the race has been boosted with Makzeem (2nd) running well at Ascot after and Fox Trotter (6th) winning next time. Hollie Doyle has been booked so she claims 3lb and that could prove beneficial in an open looking handicap to conclude the card.
1:50 Taws- 12/1 (1pt ew) click here for best odds
2:25 Secret Advisor 5/1 (1pt ew) click here for best odds
3:00 Invincible Army 11/2 (1pt ew) click here for best odds
3:35 Churchill 7/4 (5pt) click here for best odds