Union Berlin vs Freiburg Predictions

Union Berlin vs Freiburg predictions for this Bundesliga fixture. Union Berlin, sitting seventh with 15 points, host sixth-placed Freiburg, who have 16 points, in a closely contested Bundesliga clash at Alte Foersterei on Friday. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Bundesliga | Nov 8, 2024 at 7:30pm UK at Die Alte Foersterei

Union Berlin vs Freiburg Predictions

Can Union Berlin’s Defence Halt Freiburg’s Top-Six Ambitions in a Low-Scoring Clash?

• Union’s Strong Defence at Home: Union Berlin have conceded just eight goals in their opening nine Bundesliga matches, making their defence one of the best outside the top two teams.
• Freiburg’s Limited Away Success: Freiburg have scored only six goals across their away fixtures this season, highlighting their struggle to break down resilient defences.
• Benedict Hollerbach’s Home Advantage: All seven of Hollerbach’s Union Berlin goals have come at home, showcasing his knack for delivering at the Alte Försterei when it matters.

Our Tips

Union Berlin face Freiburg this Friday at the Alte Försterei, with both sides eyeing valuable Bundesliga points that could further stabilise their seasons. Currently, Union Berlin sit seventh in the league table with 15 points from nine matches, while Freiburg narrowly lead them with 16 points in sixth place. Union’s season started on a high, with the team losing only once in their opening seven games, but recent form has thrown up concerns. After a respectable draw against Eintracht Frankfurt, they were soundly beaten by both Bayern Munich and, surprisingly, Arminia Bielefeld in the DFB-Pokal. This sequence has cast doubt on their ability to maintain the momentum they had at the season’s start.

For Union, home form has been their fortress. They remain unbeaten on home soil, where they have managed three wins and a draw, scoring six of their total nine Bundesliga goals. Yet, their struggle to find the net regularly has been apparent, a predicament heightened by their solid defence, which has often prioritised caution over ambition in front of goal. Freiburg, on the other hand, arrive with a bit more attacking flair but equally appreciate defensive solidity. Their last outing ended in a goalless draw with Mainz, a rare occurrence this year but one that exemplified their struggles in breaking down disciplined defences.

Freiburg’s record on the road has been somewhat erratic. They’ve experienced both high points and disappointments, including a recent 3-1 loss to RB Leipzig despite taking an early lead. Scoring first has been a trait of Freiburg’s away games, as they’ve struck first in their last three league matches away from home. However, converting this into consistent victories has been a challenge, making this clash against Union Berlin, known for their resilience at home, a tough assignment.

Best Bet: Under 2.5 Goals

Given the tight nature of both teams’ recent performances and the defensive strength Union Berlin exhibit at home, the most sensible bet for this encounter is Under 2.5 Goals. Union Berlin’s defensive discipline has been a standout feature, with only eight goals conceded across their nine Bundesliga matches. This record is bettered only by the top two teams, underscoring the defensive tactics that manager Urs Fischer has instilled. This approach, however, comes with its limitations at the attacking end, as Union have only scored nine goals, a tally that falls short of most teams in the top half. Interestingly, their last seven home wins have all been by narrow margins, often with fewer than three goals scored.

Freiburg also align with a low-scoring trend, particularly in away fixtures. They’ve managed to score just six goals on the road while conceding seven, a record that reflects their conservative approach in tough away games. This is a team that knows how to navigate tense encounters, as evidenced by their multiple close wins and low-scoring matches. Their ability to score first may put Union under pressure, but breaking down Union’s back line will require a level of precision that has eluded many visiting sides this season.

BettingTips4You.com expert Wolfgang Shotten summarises this approach well: “Union Berlin’s resilience at home and Freiburg’s structured defence make for a clash where goals will be hard to come by. With both teams prone to low-scoring affairs, Under 2.5 Goals is the standout choice.”

Both managers are likely to set up cautiously, each aware of the other’s defensive capabilities. Union will look to leverage their home advantage while Freiburg will aim to maintain control, possibly eyeing a point as an acceptable result. The stats support a tight game, and with both teams preferring a controlled approach, expecting a low scoreline seems entirely reasonable.

Correct Score Prediction: Union Berlin 1-0 Freiburg

Building on the expectation of a low-scoring affair, a 1-0 victory for Union Berlin feels like the most likely outcome. Union’s defence, combined with their marginally better home attack, should give them the edge over a Freiburg side that may struggle to break through. Union’s forward Benedict Hollerbach, who has scored all his seven goals at home, will be a focal point, and his clinical touch could make the difference in an otherwise tight contest. If he manages to find the net, it may well be enough to secure all three points.

Freiburg’s record of scoring first in recent away games hints at their ability to apply pressure early on, but against Union’s organised defence, they may find it difficult to convert chances. Their main creative outlet, Vincenzo Grifo, who has contributed to over half of Freiburg’s goals, will face an uphill task against Union’s disciplined back line.

Union’s 1-0 scoreline would continue their trend of narrow home victories, relying on their defensive solidity to secure points. Freiburg’s inconsistent away form further supports this prediction, as they’ve found goals hard to come by in games where the opposition are defensively robust.

Want to have exclusive tips from experts tipsters delivered right into your inbox? Subscribe Now To Our Newsletter. We will never spam, we fully respect your privacy!

Selected Bookmakers Offers